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9163 S Hwy 59
B- Composite 67.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

9163 S Hwy 59 · Marshall, TX 75670
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,008 sqft · Other public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1974 2.23 ac lot ↓ 37% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits just south of Marshall! Situated on approximately 2 acres along highly traveled Highway 59, this property offers endless potential for the right buyer or investor. Located just 4 miles south of I-20, the home is in need of a complete renovation but provides a rare chance to create your vision from the ground up. With plenty of space to add another home, this property could be ideal for multi-generational living, an additional rental, or future expansion. The property is serviced by co-op water and offers valuable highway frontage with convenient access to Marshall and Interstate 20. Whether you’re searching for a fixer-upper, investment opportunity, or future homesi

Key facts

  • Highway frontage
  • Future expansion
  • Co-op water

Tags

2 ACRESHIGHWAY FRONTAGECO-OP WATERCOMPLETE RENOVATIONMULTI-GENERATIONAL LIVINGFUTURE EXPANSION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Composition roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Barbed wire fencing; Storage building; Workshop

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating or cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#451 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall ISD (town): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #658 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.66%
Cash-on-cash
19.16%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$10,421
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$40,222
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75670

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $877/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $702
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $85,000 Active 827-char remark
  17. 2023-08-01
    historical
  18. 2023-07-28
    listed $135,000 Active
  19. 2023-07-28
    listed $135,000 Active
  20. 2005-08-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$877 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,556 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$678/yr (+$57/mo · 77.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,190
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$877
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,135
− Management
−$1,135
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$3,384
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$812
After-tax cash flow
$3,747/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall ISD
NCES district ID
4829160
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,095
Composite
24.43/100
National rank
#7680
State rank
#658 of 826 in TX

Livability — Marshall

Score
68/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#9156

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harrison County · 18,670 people
City population
18,670
Metro
Longview, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,670
Household income
$42,386
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
598.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,691 people
By 2030
69,317 · +0.9%
By 2040
69,973 · +1.9%
By 2050
70,090 · +2.0%
By 2075
70,607 · +2.8%
By 2100
67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 39% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.33%
Current HPI
100.3741
Rent YoY
Metro
Longview, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $85,000 LAAR
  • 2023-08-01 Delisted LAAR
  • 2023-07-28 Listed $135,000 LAAR
  • 2023-07-28 Listed $135,000 LAAR
  • 2005-08-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $877 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…