703 W North St · Winterset, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom home on nice corner lot. Many updates which include wiring, plumbing, etc. Full unfinished basement. Fenced back yard. Wooden playset - negotiable
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Newer lvp flooring
- Gas stove
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Residential zoning; Concrete road access; Entry level: main level living
- Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Dining area; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-319 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (35.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (39.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (39.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.2% in Winterset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#139 in IA, #2,547 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Winterset Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #123 of 289 in IA (top 43%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (51 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $160k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.56%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,773
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -17.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Washington St E | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 942 (-1%) | 7mo | $107,500 | $114 | 70 |
| 703 N 3rd Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+1%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $234 | 67 |
| 324 W Filmore St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (+6%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $198 | 67 |
| 834 S 7th Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+0%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $194 | 66 |
| 1021 W South St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 912 (-4%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $247 | 62 |
| 202 S 7th Ave | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (+10%) | 7mo | $204,000 | $194 | 59 |
| 315 4th Ave N | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+13%) | 6mo | $84,000 | $78 | 58 |
| 1221 W Washington St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-14%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $260 | 56 |
| 501 W Hutchings St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 988 (+4%) | 3mo | $187,500 | $190 | 56 |
| 1509 W South St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 864 (-9%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $301 | 48 |
| 1424 W Jefferson St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+14%) | 9mo | $212,000 | $195 | 40 |
| 415 W Summit St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 810 (-15%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $209 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-46,270
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -35.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.48×
- Total profit
- $-66,479
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50273
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 13.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $970 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $-319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-229 | -5% $-274 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-365 | +10% $-410 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-396 | -5% $-358 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-281 | +10% $-243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-239 | -0.5pp $-279 | base $-319 | +0.5pp $-361 | +1.0pp $-403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 John Wayne Dr Winterset, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $820 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1407 W Mills St Winterset, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,108 | $1.01 | 3d | 3 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 364-char remark
-
2026-05-06price $160,000 364-char remark
-
2026-04-23$170,000 Active 364-char remark
-
2017-02-21soldstatus $87,500
-
2011-02-07soldstatus $71,000
-
2011-02-04soldstatus $71,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
2 bedroom home on nice corner lot. Many updates which include wiring, plumbing, etc. Full unfinished basement. Fenced back yard. Wooden playset - negotiable
-
2010-10-12$79,900 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
2 bedroom home on nice corner lot. Many updates which include wiring, plumbing, etc. Full unfinished basement. Fenced back yard. Wooden playset - negotiable
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,164 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,338 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$174/yr (+$14/mo · 8.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,164
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$932
- − Management
- −$932
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$6,800
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,632
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winterset Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1931860
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,350
- Composite
- 60.45/100
- National rank
- #848
- State rank
- #123 of 289 in IA
Livability — Winterset
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #139
- US rank
- #2547
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winterset, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,123
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,715 people
- By 2030
- 15,565 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 15,203 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 14,640 · -6.8%
- By 2075
- 13,384 · -14.8%
- By 2100
- 11,967 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Portuguese 4% Polish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.6) · D 30.1% · R 68.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -10.0pp · 2024: -38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+12.1 2008: R+10.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.44%
- Current HPI
- 276.4611
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+100.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $160,000 DMMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $170,000 DMMLS
- 2017-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 2011-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2011-02-04 Sold (MLS) $71,000 DMMLS
- 2010-10-12 Listed $79,900 DMMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,164 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…