11 Willow Ridge Dr · Hampton, GA 30228

$190,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,644 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market

Built 1996 0.71 ac lot Est $276k · 31% under ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.4/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +6.5/10.0
• 1% rule +6.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

Key facts

• 0.71 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1996

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
• Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $138k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $178,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.12% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.85%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.55%
• DSCR: 1.25
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $276,208
• List price: $190,000
• Delta: -31.21%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
124 Hampton Brooke Dr	0.43mi	3/2.0	1,802 (+10%)	14mo	$313,000	$174	52
224 Stillwater Ct	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,400 (-15%)	2mo	$265,000	$189	47
5091 Old Atlanta Rd	0.65mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,714 (+4%)	14mo	$165,000	$96	46
316 Cascade Ct	0.71mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,599 (-3%)	23mo	$325,000	$203	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-16,706
• Equity at exit: $28,330

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.99×
• Total profit: $-786
• Equity at exit: $16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30228

• Home prices YoY: -24.3%
• Rents YoY: 2.2%
• Active inventory: 547
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,123 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$355 /mo · $4,265/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$446
• Net cashflow: $246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,811

Max offer price $190,000

Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,500
• Closing costs: $5,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
230 Dillion Dr Hampton, GA	3.0	2.0	1757	$2,220	$1.26	1d	1	0.41mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-04-24
   status Back On Market 562-char remark

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

2. 2026-04-24
   status Active

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

3. 2026-04-22
   status Pending Offer Approval 562-char remark

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

4. 2026-04-22
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

5. 2026-04-04
   price $190,000 562-char remark

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

6. 2026-03-20
   price $195,000

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

7. 2026-03-20
   price $195,000 562-char remark

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

8. 2026-03-04
   listed $199,999 Active

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

9. 2026-03-04
   listed $199,999 New 562-char remark

   Show marketing remark (562 chars)

   Welcome to 11 Willow Ridge Dr in desirable Hampton! Priced below market value, this hidden gem offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a first-time homebuyer ready to add their personal touch.With solid bones and great potential, this home is perfect for light cosmetic updates and instant equity. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or a starter home to make your own, this property checks all the boxes. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood on a nice-sized lot, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for!

10. 2025-03-20
    soldstatus $137,717
11. 2017-06-29
    soldstatus $132,000
12. 2017-06-28
    soldstatus $132,000 Sold
13. 2017-05-19
    status Under Contract
14. 2017-03-27
    listed $134,000 New
15. 1996-08-29
    soldstatus $200,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,265 · $355/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,265 · $355/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,474
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,643
• − Property taxes: −$4,265
• − Insurance: −$950
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,038
• − Management: −$2,038
• − Depreciation: −$5,527
• Taxable income: $13
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3
• After-tax cash flow: $2,950/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Henry County
• NCES district ID: 1302820
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $62,594
• Composite: 26.13/100
• National rank: #7279
• State rank: #89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hampton

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #213
• US rank: #12664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Henry County · 316,359 people
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• Population (ZIP): 52,402
• Household income: $82,619
• Rent vs Own: 27.9% rent · 72.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1285.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 249,041 people
• By 2030: 264,369 · +6.2%
• By 2040: 294,459 · +18.2%
• By 2050: 322,249 · +29.4%
• By 2075: 392,310 · +57.5%
• By 2100: 437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -71.11%
• Current HPI: 222.0357
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.20%
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

-5.0% since first listed

15 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-24 Relisted — GAMLS
• 2026-04-24 Relisted — FMLS
• 2026-04-22 Pending — GAMLS
• 2026-04-22 Pending — FMLS
• 2026-04-04 Price Changed $190,000 GAMLS
• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $195,000 FMLS
• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $195,000 GAMLS
• 2026-03-04 Listed $199,999 GAMLS
• 2026-03-04 Listed $199,999 FMLS
• 2025-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $137,717 Public Records
• 2017-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
• 2017-06-28 Sold (MLS) $132,000 GAMLS
• 2017-05-19 Pending — GAMLS
• 2017-03-27 Listed $134,000 GAMLS
• 1996-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,265 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.