332 Wood Valley Ln · Rockfish, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a quiet, established neighborhood, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch with 2 car garage, offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. The interior has been freshly painted throughout (with the exception of the bonus room), providing a clean, movein-ready canvas for its next owners. The living room featuring a warm cozy fireplace, perfect for chilly evenings. The heart of the home boasts a functional kitchen with plenty of counter space and an adjacent dining area for easy meal times. The Master bedroom serves as a private retreat, complete with a dedicated en suite and spacious walk-in closet. A laundry room is strategically located just off the living room for max
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Adjacent dining area
- Dedicated en suite
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property in the POTTERS RIDGE subdivision
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Privacy fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closet(s); Gas log fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($877/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.7% in Rockfish — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#108 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hoke County Schools (suburban): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #123 of 178 in NC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Scurlock Elementary (math 36% / reading 34%, grade F, #825 of 1,410 statewide, top 59%, 619 students, 100% FRL); Sandy Grove Middle (math 32% / reading 44%, grade F, #251 of 475 statewide, top 54%, 645 students, 99% FRL); Hoke County High (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #372 of 535 statewide, top 69%, 2,060 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 57% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 575 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 685 units permitted in Hoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hoke County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $167k; list at $280k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.12%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $276,668
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 878 Wicklow Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,725 (+2%) | 4mo | $287,990 | $167 | 63 |
| 269 Crowville St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,805 (+7%) | 1mo | $299,499 | $166 | 61 |
| 130 Sweetgum Ct | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,921 (+14%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $164 | 52 |
| 283 Crowville St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,866 (+11%) | 1mo | $302,099 | $162 | 52 |
| 588 Wicklow Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (-10%) | 4mo | $279,990 | $184 | 50 |
| 754 Wicklow Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (-10%) | 4mo | $274,990 | $181 | 50 |
| 354 Sacksonia St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,863 (+10%) | 4mo | $299,898 | $161 | 49 |
| 122 Spring Valley Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-10%) | 4mo | $259,000 | $171 | 44 |
| 464 Wicklow Ln | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,925 (+14%) | 3mo | $304,990 | $158 | 37 |
| 909 Wicklow Ln | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,925 (+14%) | 4mo | $304,990 | $158 | 36 |
| 634 Wicklow Ln | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,925 (+14%) | 4mo | $297,990 | $155 | 36 |
| 932 Wicklow Ln | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,925 (+14%) | 4mo | $297,990 | $155 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-43,225
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-41,781
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28376
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 575
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,242 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$471
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $231 | -5% $152 | +0% $73 | +5% $-6 | +10% $-85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-104 | -5% $-16 | +0% $73 | +5% $162 | +10% $250 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $214 | -0.5pp $144 | base $73 | +0.5pp $1 | +1.0pp $-73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283 Crowville St , NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 136 Bourbon St , NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2147 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 131 Bourbon (lot 13) ST Raeford, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1967 | $2,400 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 163 Bourbon St Raeford, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1967 | $2,400 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $279,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $279,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $279,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $279,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $284,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $284,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$284,900 Active
-
2018-10-31soldstatus $167,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,369 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,295 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$926/yr (+$77/mo · 67.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$1,369
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,153
- − Management
- −$2,153
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$3,985
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$956
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hoke County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702250
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,896
- Composite
- 31.82/100
- National rank
- #5880
- State rank
- #123 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rockfish
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #6802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hoke County · 44,880 people
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,880
- Household income
- $66,471
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 897.0
Population outlook (Hoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,354 people
- By 2030
- 68,361 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 78,074 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 86,384 · +36.4%
- By 2075
- 99,517 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 98,939 · +56.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hoke
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: 18.8pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.30%
- Current HPI
- 169.1801
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+70.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $284,900 LPRMLS
- 2018-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,369 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…