910 W 9th St · Coffeyville, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Big windows
- Original wood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 4.4% in Coffeyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#459 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Coffeyville (town): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #164 of 169 in KS (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.96%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $55,384
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 W 9th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,288 (0%) | 1mo | $48,000 | $37 | 99 |
| 1109 W 11th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,146 (-11%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $26 | 63 |
| 801 W 10th St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 1,450 (+13%) | 11mo | $54,000 | $37 | 62 |
| 111 Northpark Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-3%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $108 | 55 |
| 806 W 1st St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 6mo | $73,000 | $54 | 54 |
| 1104 W 4th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-14%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $50 | 51 |
| 907 W 2nd St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+13%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $58 | 48 |
| 1303 W 11th St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,137 (-12%) | 17mo | $19,000 | $17 | 47 |
| 809 W 1st St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-10%) | 8mo | $24,900 | $21 | 46 |
| 1312 W 3rd St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,238 (-4%) | 19mo | $52,900 | $43 | 45 |
| 912 W 4th St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (+13%) | 16mo | $69,990 | $48 | 44 |
| 1112 W 2nd St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,186 (-8%) | 15mo | $49,000 | $41 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $17,875
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $48,596
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67337
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $438/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $430 | -5% $416 | +0% $403 | +5% $389 | +10% $376 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $332 | -5% $367 | +0% $403 | +5% $438 | +10% $474 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $427 | -0.5pp $415 | base $403 | +0.5pp $390 | +1.0pp $378 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1503 W 5th St Coffeyville, KS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1252 | $900 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-02-18status Active
-
2026-02-14status Pending
-
2026-02-09$48,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $438 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $677 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$239/yr (+$20/mo · 54.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$438
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $4,309
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,034
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coffeyville
- NCES district ID
- 2004980
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,170
- Composite
- 14.57/100
- National rank
- #9414
- State rank
- #164 of 169 in KS
Livability — Coffeyville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #459
- US rank
- #19703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coffeyville, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,944
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,729 people
- By 2030
- 27,786 · -6.5%
- By 2040
- 24,201 · -18.6%
- By 2050
- 21,280 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 16,754 · -43.6%
- By 2100
- 14,088 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 9% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.6% · R 74.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -51.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.1 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.41%
- Current HPI
- 103.4247
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-14 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Listed $48,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $438 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…