2022 Leroy Rd · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Highly accessible location near Highway 635 and Loop 12. This 3 bed, 2 bath residence features a bright living area, functional kitchen and good size bedrooms, large backyard with room to grow or customize your lifestyle. Well situated for convenience to shopping, dinning and transportation. A great started home or investment opportunity.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- 7,623 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($129/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John W Runyon El (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 434 students, 93% FRL); Young Men'S Leadership Academy At Fred F Florence (math 18% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 559 students, 81% FRL); W W Samuell H S (math 24% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 1,871 students, 95% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.24%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,264
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -5.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 Nantucket Village Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (+5%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $214 | 80 |
| 10922 Limestone Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (+4%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $213 | 74 |
| 1314 Lorraine Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-4%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $213 | 73 |
| 9914 Cedar Mountain Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,202 (-2%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $166 | 72 |
| 9957 Cedar Mountain Cir | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-2%) | 2mo | $188,000 | $157 | 71 |
| 10703 Eastham St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,046 (-14%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $153 | 69 |
| 1915 Red Cloud Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,241 (+1%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $145 | 68 |
| 10315 Oak Gate Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,110 (-9%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $158 | 66 |
| 9918 Cedar Mountain Cir | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,284 (+5%) | 3mo | $198,999 | $155 | 63 |
| 9912 Bluffcreek Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,101 (-10%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $200 | 59 |
| 10419 Blackjack Oaks Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,371 (+12%) | 2mo | $244,999 | $179 | 58 |
| 9666 Limestone Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,048 (-14%) | 4mo | $217,500 | $208 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-34,457
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-43,081
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75217
- Home prices YoY
- -4.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,863 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $66 | +0% $11 | +5% $-44 | +10% $-100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-136 | -5% $-63 | +0% $11 | +5% $84 | +10% $158 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $109 | -0.5pp $60 | base $11 | +0.5pp $-40 | +1.0pp $-91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10320 Nantucket Village Ct Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,645 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 10328 Chelmsford Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2041 New Haven Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1362 | $1,720 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 10503 Leroy Ct Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,941 | $1.55 | 9d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2315 Summit Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 9d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2123 Chatham Square Ct Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2255 Nantucket Village Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,625 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10315 Limestone Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10320 Carolina Oaks Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 9d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10340 Blackjack Oaks Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $1,650 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 10206 Shayna Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 10216 Blackjack Oaks Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,860 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1939 Naira Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9920 Bluffcreek Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,191 | $1.59 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9921 Cedar Mountain Cir Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1705 Allentown Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10611 Woodleaf Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 9d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10611 Woodleaf Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $1,695 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2540 Winter Oak St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $1,750 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10236 Hillhouse Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 10212 Hillhouse Ln Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1183 | $1,499 | $1.27 | 9d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2603 Winter Oak St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,921 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1937 Red Cloud Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,695 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2255 W Bruton Rd Mesquite, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,819 | $1.90 | 45d | 12 | 0.58mi |
| 1415 Amity Ln Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,780 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10125 Muskogee Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,999 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10125 Muskogee Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 26d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10121 Muskogee Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1381 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10348 Wood Heights Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1358 | $2,000 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9645 Limestone Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $2,000 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10410 Cymbal Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 1d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11405 S Blossom Cir Balch Springs, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,500 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2708 Briarbank Cir Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,840 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9415 Bruton Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $999 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9503 Olde Towne Row Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1140 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9467 Olde Towne Row Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $975 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2198 Aspen Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2198 Aspen Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2194 Aspen Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 9d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2025 Norcross Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-18price $195,000 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Highly accessible location near Highway 635 and Loop 12. This 3 bed, 2 bath residence features a bright living area, functional kitchen and good size bedrooms, large backyard with room to grow or customize your lifestyle. Well situated for convenience to shopping, dinning and transportation. A great started home or investment opportunity.
-
2026-02-06$200,000 Active 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Highly accessible location near Highway 635 and Loop 12. This 3 bed, 2 bath residence features a bright living area, functional kitchen and good size bedrooms, large backyard with room to grow or customize your lifestyle. Well situated for convenience to shopping, dinning and transportation. A great started home or investment opportunity.
-
2007-03-02soldstatus 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
INVESTORS, BRING ALL OFFERS! Charming property on a treed lot. Will make a great rental with minimal TLC. Schedule a showing today. This deal won't last long. * * * Buyer will verify all measurements, schools, & code violations (if any). ALL INQUIRIES ARE TO BE DIRECTED TO LINDSEY ELMQUIST @ (214)340-9306.
-
2007-03-01soldstatus
-
2007-02-13soldstatus
-
2007-02-08historical 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
INVESTORS, BRING ALL OFFERS! Charming property on a treed lot. Will make a great rental with minimal TLC. Schedule a showing today. This deal won't last long. * * * Buyer will verify all measurements, schools, & code violations (if any). ALL INQUIRIES ARE TO BE DIRECTED TO LINDSEY ELMQUIST @ (214)340-9306.
-
2007-02-05$16,900 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
INVESTORS, BRING ALL OFFERS! Charming property on a treed lot. Will make a great rental with minimal TLC. Schedule a showing today. This deal won't last long. * * * Buyer will verify all measurements, schools, & code violations (if any). ALL INQUIRIES ARE TO BE DIRECTED TO LINDSEY ELMQUIST @ (214)340-9306.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,290 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,290 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$4,290
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,078
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$739
- After-tax cash flow
- $868/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 85,028
- Household income
- $55,723
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2649.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 34% Black 20% White 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 68%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 65% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.04%
- Current HPI
- 382.5527
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.02%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+1053.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $195,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $200,000 NTREIS
- 2007-03-02 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-03-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-02-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-02-08 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-02-05 Listed $16,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,290 · +32.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…