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59 Powder Rd
B+ Composite 75.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

59 Powder Rd · Wellsville, MO 63384
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other · 13 Days on market
Built 1994 1.84 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away at the end of a gravel road, this 1.84 acre property offers the kind of privacy that's becoming increasingly difficult to find. The mobile home features a comfortable, livable interior and provides an affordable opportunity for full-time living, a weekend retreat, or a property to make your own over time. The long, secluded parcel offers room for outdoor activities, gardening, hobby projects, or simply enjoying a peaceful setting away from traffic and neighbors. Several outbuildings provide additional storage space for tools, equipment, and recreational items. The property is currently served by a deep well, lagoon, and leach field, with county water available nearby for future

Key facts

  • Deep well
  • 1.84 acre property
  • Long secluded parcel

Tags

1.84 ACRE PROPERTYLONG SECLUDED PARCELADDITIONAL STORAGE SPACEDEEP WELLCOUNTY WATER AVAILABLE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Three total parking spaces; One-car garage; Two-space carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Lagoon sewer; Single-phase electric service; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; One level
  • Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Approximately 1.84 acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#275 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wellsville Middletown R-I (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #433 of 535 in MO (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wellsville-Middletown Elem. (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 148 students, 60% FRL); Wellsville-Middletown Hs (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 163 students, 53% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
15.23%
Cash-on-cash
31.92%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.85% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$41,608
Equity at exit
$32,371
10-year hold
IRR
38.2%
Equity multiple
6.57×
Total profit
$101,367
Equity at exit
$52,483

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63384

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,116 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $352/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $503
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $65,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$352 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$630 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$278/yr (+$23/mo · 79.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,389
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$352
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,071
− Management
−$1,071
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,038
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,209
After-tax cash flow
$4,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wellsville Middletown R-I
NCES district ID
2931620
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,226
Composite
29.86/100
National rank
#11693
State rank
#433 of 535 in MO

Livability — Wellsville

Score
65/100
State rank
#275
US rank
#12860

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,148

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,582 people
By 2030
9,897 · -6.5%
By 2040
8,556 · -19.1%
By 2050
7,293 · -31.1%
By 2075
4,998 · -52.8%
By 2100
3,204 · -69.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3%
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.1) · D 19.5% · R 79.7%
2008→2024 swing
-41.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -60.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.1 2020: R+56.4 2016: R+55.4 2012: R+33.0 2008: R+18.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.85%
Current HPI
143.7565
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $352 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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