1618 3rd Ave · Beaver Falls, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid Home. Smart Investment. TONS of potential. Don't miss this spacious 3 bed, 1.5 bath two story packed with character, charm and opportunity. Hardwood flooring, dining room built-ins and oversized rooms, the home already has the warmth buyers love - it just needs your finishing touches to shine. The large kitchen opens to a back porch and fenced in yard, ideal for summer evenings, pets and entertaining. Plus, many of the big ticket items are already handled: newer windows, siding, front porch, sidewalk, furnace and H20 tank. Comfortable to live in while you update over time, this home is perfect for buyers wanting space, value and upside potential. Opportunities like this don't last - schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Large kitchen
- Newer windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 10.3% in Beaver Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#93 in PA, #675 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #467 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.63%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,489
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 0.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1503 3rd Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 3mo | $48,000 | $40 | 78 |
| 516 17th St | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 | 1,332 (+2%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $26 | 76 |
| 1512 3rd Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,238 (-6%) | 9mo | $66,000 | $53 | 74 |
| 420 20th St | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,286 (-2%) | 8mo | $113,500 | $88 | 71 |
| 1716 4th Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-13%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $26 | 67 |
| 2217 7th Ave Rear | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,236 (-6%) | 6mo | $137,000 | $111 | 61 |
| 1815 4th Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+15%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $50 | 59 |
| 2525 7th Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-5%) | 1mo | $192,500 | $154 | 59 |
| 1908 6th Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,144 (-13%) | 9mo | $116,000 | $101 | 52 |
| 173 Spruce St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (+6%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $111 | 42 |
| 2535 8th Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,182 (-10%) | 6mo | $22,000 | $19 | 41 |
| 812 2nd Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (+14%) | 6mo | $22,000 | $15 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $24,965
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $67,767
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15010
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,280 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,052/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $556
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $592 | -5% $574 | +0% $556 | +5% $537 | +10% $519 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $454 | -5% $505 | +0% $556 | +5% $606 | +10% $657 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $588 | -0.5pp $572 | base $556 | +0.5pp $539 | +1.0pp $522 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1503 3rd Ave Beaver Falls, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1613 4th Ave Beaver Falls, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1459 4th St New Brighton, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,625 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 418 Darlington Rd Beaver Falls, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 149 Colonial Oaks Beaver Falls, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 958 | $1,425 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 904 Penn Ave Unit 1 New Brighton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-08status $65,000 Pending 99 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $65,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $70,000 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Solid Home. Smart Investment. TONS of potential. Don't miss this spacious 3 bed, 1.5 bath two story packed with character, charm and opportunity. Hardwood flooring, dining room built-ins and oversized rooms, the home already has the warmth buyers love - it just needs your finishing touches to shine. The large kitchen opens to a back porch and fenced in yard, ideal for summer evenings, pets and entertaining. Plus, many of the big ticket items are already handled: newer windows, siding, front porch, sidewalk, furnace and H20 tank. Comfortable to live in while you update over time, this home is perfect for buyers wanting space, value and upside potential. Opportunities like this don't last - schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-19status Active 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Solid Home. Smart Investment. TONS of potential. Don't miss this spacious 3 bed, 1.5 bath two story packed with character, charm and opportunity. Hardwood flooring, dining room built-ins and oversized rooms, the home already has the warmth buyers love - it just needs your finishing touches to shine. The large kitchen opens to a back porch and fenced in yard, ideal for summer evenings, pets and entertaining. Plus, many of the big ticket items are already handled: newer windows, siding, front porch, sidewalk, furnace and H20 tank. Comfortable to live in while you update over time, this home is perfect for buyers wanting space, value and upside potential. Opportunities like this don't last - schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-04status Pending 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Solid Home. Smart Investment. TONS of potential. Don't miss this spacious 3 bed, 1.5 bath two story packed with character, charm and opportunity. Hardwood flooring, dining room built-ins and oversized rooms, the home already has the warmth buyers love - it just needs your finishing touches to shine. The large kitchen opens to a back porch and fenced in yard, ideal for summer evenings, pets and entertaining. Plus, many of the big ticket items are already handled: newer windows, siding, front porch, sidewalk, furnace and H20 tank. Comfortable to live in while you update over time, this home is perfect for buyers wanting space, value and upside potential. Opportunities like this don't last - schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-11$75,000 Active 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Solid Home. Smart Investment. TONS of potential. Don't miss this spacious 3 bed, 1.5 bath two story packed with character, charm and opportunity. Hardwood flooring, dining room built-ins and oversized rooms, the home already has the warmth buyers love - it just needs your finishing touches to shine. The large kitchen opens to a back porch and fenced in yard, ideal for summer evenings, pets and entertaining. Plus, many of the big ticket items are already handled: newer windows, siding, front porch, sidewalk, furnace and H20 tank. Comfortable to live in while you update over time, this home is perfect for buyers wanting space, value and upside potential. Opportunities like this don't last - schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,052 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,052 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,052
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,229
- − Management
- −$1,229
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,993
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,438
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,228/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203630
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,686
- Composite
- 21.85/100
- National rank
- #8241
- State rank
- #467 of 539 in PA
Livability — Beaver Falls
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #675
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beaver Falls, PA
- County
- Beaver County · 116,001 people
- City population
- 28,542
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,542
- Household income
- $71,200
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 519.0
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.25%
- Current HPI
- 261.2703
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $70,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-04 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,052 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…