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12033 Santa Rosa St
C+ Composite 60.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$125,000

12033 Santa Rosa St · Detroit, MI 48204
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · Townhouse public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1927 3,920 sqft lot $62/sqft · 30% above area Est $96k · 30% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained duplex with separate upper and lower units * Upper unit is larger and has two balconies * Both are two bedrooms, one bath, full kitchen/formal dining room, large living rooms w/ decorative brick fireplace * Original hardwood floors plus ceramic in baths and laminate in kitchens * All home mechanicals have been updated within last 15 years & each unit has separate heat/electric/hot water * Perfect for investors and also perfect to live in one unit and rent out the other as an individual * Both units NOT occupied so immediate possession * Brick exterior with vinyl siding and trim for easy exterior maintenance * Good paint top to bottom; vinyl windows thru-out both living areas; both furnaces and hot water tanks are 8 years old; roof 15 years old; plumbing is primarily copper & PVC piping; separate 100A electric panels with circuit breakers; all steel entry doors including both balconies; basement has one large storage room plus two sets of laundry hookups including separate gas dryer hookups/exhaust * Gas hookups in both kitchens for stove * Lead abatement professionally performed in 2013 * Full driveway with gate plus extra parking in rear yard from alley * Seller providing certificate of occupancy for resale purposes *

Key facts

  • Two balconies
  • Laminate in kitchens
  • Ceramic in baths

Tags

SEPARATE UPPER AND LOWER UNITSTWO BALCONIESDECORATIVE BRICK FIREPLACEORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCERAMIC IN BATHSLAMINATE IN KITCHENS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Current actual rents listed: $800 and $850
  • HOA & community: Community features include sidewalks and curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Lighted, paved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story multi-family residential income property; Entry level information not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation; Built area above grade: approximately 2,000 (finished)
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Front porch; Paved road access; Sidewalks and curbs

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Separate meters for utilities; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Basement (full, block)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,477/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.51%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,920
List price
$125,000
Delta
30.32%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$85,775
Equity at exit
$112,610
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
7.82×
Total profit
$238,781
Equity at exit
$242,848

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,477 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,181/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,126
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $348 -5% $313 +0% $277 +5% $242 +10% $206
Rent -10% $161 -5% $219 +0% $277 +5% $336 +10% $394
Rate -1.0pp $340 -0.5pp $309 base $277 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $212

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12546 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1899 $1,250 $0.66 46d 1 0.48mi
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 45d 1 0.53mi
4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,680 $0.92 6d 1 0.58mi
13225 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2100 $1,700 $0.81 6d 1 0.61mi
3747 Tyler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2600 $1,700 $0.65 25d 1 0.94mi
3322 Webb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,250 $0.78 18d 1 1.01mi
3322 Webb St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 45d 1 1.01mi
3322 Webb St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 45d 1 1.01mi
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 26d 1 1.06mi
3241 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2636 $1,800 $0.68 18d 1 1.13mi
2986 Richton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2600 $1,200 $0.46 18d 1 1.17mi
3031 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,600 $0.94 18d 1 1.20mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 45d 1 1.26mi
3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,103 $0.71 45d 1 1.26mi
2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 18d 1 1.34mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 45d 1 1.43mi
2655 Collingwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1881 $2,700 $1.44 0d 1 1.43mi
3786 Carter St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,100 $0.79 26d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $125,000 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-05-08
    listed $125,000 Active 1266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1266 chars)

    Well maintained duplex with separate upper and lower units * Upper unit is larger and has two balconies * Both are two bedrooms, one bath, full kitchen/formal dining room, large living rooms w/ decorative brick fireplace * Original hardwood floors plus ceramic in baths and laminate in kitchens * All home mechanicals have been updated within last 15 years & each unit has separate heat/electric/hot water * Perfect for investors and also perfect to live in one unit and rent out the other as an individual * Both units NOT occupied so immediate possession * Brick exterior with vinyl siding and trim for easy exterior maintenance * Good paint top to bottom; vinyl windows thru-out both living areas; both furnaces and hot water tanks are 8 years old; roof 15 years old; plumbing is primarily copper & PVC piping; separate 100A electric panels with circuit breakers; all steel entry doors including both balconies; basement has one large storage room plus two sets of laundry hookups including separate gas dryer hookups/exhaust * Gas hookups in both kitchens for stove * Lead abatement professionally performed in 2013 * Full driveway with gate plus extra parking in rear yard from alley * Seller providing certificate of occupancy for resale purposes *

  11. 2026-05-08
    listed $125,000 Active 1266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1266 chars)

    Well maintained duplex with separate upper and lower units * Upper unit is larger and has two balconies * Both are two bedrooms, one bath, full kitchen/formal dining room, large living rooms w/ decorative brick fireplace * Original hardwood floors plus ceramic in baths and laminate in kitchens * All home mechanicals have been updated within last 15 years & each unit has separate heat/electric/hot water * Perfect for investors and also perfect to live in one unit and rent out the other as an individual * Both units NOT occupied so immediate possession * Brick exterior with vinyl siding and trim for easy exterior maintenance * Good paint top to bottom; vinyl windows thru-out both living areas; both furnaces and hot water tanks are 8 years old; roof 15 years old; plumbing is primarily copper & PVC piping; separate 100A electric panels with circuit breakers; all steel entry doors including both balconies; basement has one large storage room plus two sets of laundry hookups including separate gas dryer hookups/exhaust * Gas hookups in both kitchens for stove * Lead abatement professionally performed in 2013 * Full driveway with gate plus extra parking in rear yard from alley * Seller providing certificate of occupancy for resale purposes *

  12. 2022-02-03
    price $650
  13. 2008-01-30
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,181 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,181 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,720
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,181
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,418
− Management
−$1,418
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,441
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$346
After-tax cash flow
$2,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-06 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-06 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-03 Price Changed $650 RENT.
  • 2008-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,181 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…