1975 Townsend Rd · Villa Rica, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
Key facts
- New flooring
- Large lot
- 0.34 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: New Georgia Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 427 students, 49% FRL); Carl Scoggins Sr. Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 760 students, 47% FRL); South Paulding High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,911 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $215k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.10%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $270,019
- List price
- $214,900
- Delta
- -20.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-26,072
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-14,649
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30180
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 669
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,915 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $156
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $277 | -5% $216 | +0% $156 | +5% $95 | +10% $34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4 | -5% $80 | +0% $156 | +5% $231 | +10% $307 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $264 | -0.5pp $210 | base $156 | +0.5pp $100 | +1.0pp $43 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $214,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $214,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $214,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $214,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $214,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $214,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $214,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $214,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $214,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $214,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $214,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $214,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $214,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $214,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Price Change 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-05-06status Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-05-06price $214,900 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-05-06price $214,900 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-05-05historical 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-05-04historical 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-04-25status Back On Market 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-04-24historical 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-04-20status Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-04-10historical 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-02-13$225,000 New 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
-
2026-02-13$225,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
*MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!
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2016-08-10soldstatus $77,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,685 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,977 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$292/yr (+$24/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,975
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$1,685
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,838
- − Management
- −$1,838
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable loss
- −$1,750
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$420
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulding County
- NCES district ID
- 1304020
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,447
- Composite
- 36.0/100
- National rank
- #4784
- State rank
- #33 of 174 in GA
Livability — Villa Rica
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #13182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll County · 124,888 people
- City population
- 43,013
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,013
- Household income
- $88,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 853.0
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,714 people
- By 2030
- 186,082 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 204,414 · +16.3%
- By 2050
- 217,040 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 236,980 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 238,314 · +35.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- German 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.97%
- Current HPI
- 321.1874
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+179.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $214,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $214,900 FMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $225,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $225,000 GAMLS
- 2016-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,685 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…