CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1975 Townsend Rd
C- Composite 54.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,900

1975 Townsend Rd · Villa Rica, GA 30180
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1978 0.34 ac lot $195/sqft · 20% below area Est $270k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Large lot
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

LARGE LOTNEW FLOORINGLARGE FENCED BACKYARDGREAT LOCATION NEAR SCHOOLSGREAT LOCATION NEAR SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: New Georgia Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 427 students, 49% FRL); Carl Scoggins Sr. Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 760 students, 47% FRL); South Paulding High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,911 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $77k; list at $215k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,460 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.10%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$270,019
List price
$214,900
Delta
-20.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-26,072
Equity at exit
$32,042
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-14,649
Equity at exit
$18,581

Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30180

Home prices YoY
-12.8%
Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
669
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,915 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,685/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,718
Max offer price $214,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $277 -5% $216 +0% $156 +5% $95 +10% $34
Rent -10% $4 -5% $80 +0% $156 +5% $231 +10% $307
Rate -1.0pp $264 -0.5pp $210 base $156 +0.5pp $100 +1.0pp $43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,725
Closing costs
$6,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $214,900 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $214,900 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $214,900 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $214,900 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,900 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,900 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $214,900 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    status Price Change 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  17. 2026-05-06
    status Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  18. 2026-05-06
    price $214,900 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  19. 2026-05-06
    price $214,900 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  20. 2026-05-05
    historical 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  21. 2026-05-04
    historical 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  22. 2026-04-25
    status Back On Market 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  23. 2026-04-24
    historical 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER! Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  24. 2026-04-20
    status Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  25. 2026-04-10
    historical 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  26. 2026-02-13
    listed $225,000 New 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  27. 2026-02-13
    listed $225,000 Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    *MOTIVATED SELLER* Four-sided brick ranch on large lot! 3 bedroom/ 1 full bath home. Roof, windows, HVAC and water heater 3 years old! New flooring throughout (LVP in common areas, and carpet in bedrooms). Large fenced backyard. Great location near schools and shopping/ restaurants. This home has so many great possibilities to make even better!

  28. 2016-08-10
    soldstatus $77,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,685 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,977 · $165/mo
Expected delta
+$292/yr (+$24/mo · 17.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,975
− Mortgage interest
−$12,038
− Property taxes
−$1,685
− Insurance
−$1,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− Depreciation
−$6,252
Taxable loss
−$1,750
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$420
After-tax cash flow
$2,287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paulding County
NCES district ID
1304020
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$61,447
Composite
36.0/100
National rank
#4784
State rank
#33 of 174 in GA

Livability — Villa Rica

Score
65/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#13182

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carroll County · 124,888 people
City population
43,013
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
43,013
Household income
$88,514
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
853.0

Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,714 people
By 2030
186,082 · +5.9%
By 2040
204,414 · +16.3%
By 2050
217,040 · +23.5%
By 2075
236,980 · +34.9%
By 2100
238,314 · +35.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
German 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Paulding

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
2008→2024 swing
+14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.97%
Current HPI
321.1874
Rent YoY
▲ 2.42%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted FMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $214,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $214,900 FMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted FMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $225,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $225,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,685 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…