🏗️ New Construction
1748 Blue Lagoon Cir · Mascotte, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
$398,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. The Linden offers the perfect amount of space, complete with smart storage perfect for your lifestyle. Two stand out features upon entering the home are the large under-stair storage area, as well as a flex room that can be used as an optional fifth bedroom. The powder room can easily be customized into another full bath for optimal space for your loved ones or guests to spread out. Past the stairs is the large open living area stretching for nearly 40 feet; including the great room, dining room, and kitchen. The kitchen is complete with a massive island and a walk-in pantry. Additionally, the kitchen is just around the cor
Key facts
- Massive island
- Flex room
- Customizable patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Irrigation equipment included; Home warranty provided
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Edison Association Management; Monthly HOA fee $90 (covers maintenance of grounds); Community features include deed restrictions, playground, sidewalks; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 20); Covered driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Home faces south; Under construction (projected completion April 30, 2026)
- Construction: Block, cement siding, stone and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction by Stanley Martin Homes (Linden C model)
- Exterior features: Covered front porch and patio; Patio; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Sliding glass doors; Landscaped, cleared lot; paved surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan with eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Double pane, ENERGY STAR qualified windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Additional inside utility / great room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-683 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $300k (24.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (31.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $274k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Groveland Elementary School (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 744 students, 63% FRL); South Lake High School (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,169 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lake average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.34%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $173,867
- Equity at exit
- $359,442
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.89×
- Total profit
- $546,435
- Equity at exit
- $775,150
Cash invested: $111,717 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34753
- Home prices YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,739 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$90
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $-683
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,748
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Eventide Ave Mascotte, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 20d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1864 Piedmont Ct Mascotte, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1984 | $2,290 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1676 Gopher Tree St Mascotte, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1984 | $2,285 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1126 Union Ave Mascotte, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1984 | $2,265 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2425 Begonia St Mascotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1983 | $2,350 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1063 Bluegrass Dr Groveland, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2182 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $90 · $1,080/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
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2026-04-22status Active
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2026-03-02status Pending
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2026-01-27$398,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$5,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,630
- − Management
- −$2,630
- − HOA
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$15,406
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,698
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Mascotte
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #405
- US rank
- #7156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mascotte, FL
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 33,565
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,985
- Household income
- $83,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 25% Black 20% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 32%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.01%
- Current HPI
- 281.96
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Listed $398,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $774 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…