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1748 Blue Lagoon Cir 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0

$398,990

1748 Blue Lagoon Cir · Mascotte, FL 34753
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,434 sqft · Land · 42 Days on market
Built 2026 5,789 sqft lot $90/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. The Linden offers the perfect amount of space, complete with smart storage perfect for your lifestyle. Two stand out features upon entering the home are the large under-stair storage area, as well as a flex room that can be used as an optional fifth bedroom. The powder room can easily be customized into another full bath for optimal space for your loved ones or guests to spread out. Past the stairs is the large open living area stretching for nearly 40 feet; including the great room, dining room, and kitchen. The kitchen is complete with a massive island and a walk-in pantry. Additionally, the kitchen is just around the cor

Key facts

  • Massive island
  • Flex room
  • Customizable patio

Tags

UNDER STAIR STORAGE AREAFLEX ROOMLARGE OPEN LIVING AREAMASSIVE ISLANDWALK-IN PANTRYCUSTOMIZABLE PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Irrigation equipment included; Home warranty provided
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Edison Association Management; Monthly HOA fee $90 (covers maintenance of grounds); Community features include deed restrictions, playground, sidewalks; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 20); Covered driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Home faces south; Under construction (projected completion April 30, 2026)
  • Construction: Block, cement siding, stone and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction by Stanley Martin Homes (Linden C model)
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch and patio; Patio; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Sliding glass doors; Landscaped, cleared lot; paved surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan with eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Double pane, ENERGY STAR qualified windows
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Additional inside utility / great room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-683 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $300k (24.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (31.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $274k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Groveland Elementary School (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 744 students, 63% FRL); South Lake High School (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,169 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lake average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $273,908 (31.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.24%
Cash-on-cash
-7.34%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$173,867
Equity at exit
$359,442
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
5.89×
Total profit
$546,435
Equity at exit
$775,150

Cash invested: $111,717 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34753

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,739 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax est. 1.5%
$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$90
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$575
Net cashflow
$-683

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,604
Max offer price $300,093
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,748
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
405 Eventide Ave Mascotte, FL 4.0 3.0 2000 $2,250 $1.12 20d 1 0.14mi
1864 Piedmont Ct Mascotte, FL 5.0 3.0 1984 $2,290 $1.15 24d 1 0.80mi
1676 Gopher Tree St Mascotte, FL 5.0 3.0 1984 $2,285 $1.15 5d 1 0.93mi
1126 Union Ave Mascotte, FL 5.0 3.0 1984 $2,265 $1.14 24d 1 1.06mi
2425 Begonia St Mascotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1983 $2,350 $1.19 24d 1 1.44mi
1063 Bluegrass Dr Groveland, FL 4.0 2.0 2182 $2,500 $1.15 24d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$90 · $1,080/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-02
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-27
    listed $398,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,869
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$5,985
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,630
− Management
−$2,630
− HOA
−$1,080
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$15,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,698
After-tax cash flow
$-4,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Mascotte

Score
71/100
State rank
#405
US rank
#7156

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mascotte, FL
County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
33,565
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
7,985
Household income
$83,868
Rent vs Own
22.5% rent · 77.5% own
Severe rent burden
16.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 25% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 32%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.01%
Current HPI
281.96
Rent YoY
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $398,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $774 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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