814 Benelli Ln · Grovetown, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great location by Fort Gordon in Columbia County. 3Bedroom 2.5 baths. New flooring and paint. Granite Counters in kitchen. Privacy fence back yard. Single car garage. Columbia County Schools.
Key facts
- Granite counters
- $60 HOA
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Has a view; Lot is level (approximately 0.04 acres); Zoning: residential
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $720 ($60/mo equivalent); Association provides trash service; Subdivision: Grovetown Crossing; Community sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Additional parking; Concrete driveway/parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhouse; Two stories; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Concrete, brick, vinyl siding and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as a townhouse
- Exterior features: Porch; Privacy fencing in back yard; Other exterior features; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range / Cooktop; Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; See remarks; Unfurnished; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-183/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $178k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.6% in Grovetown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#57 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Grovetown Elementary School (math 39% / reading 31%, grade F, #523 of 1,228 statewide, top 43%, 979 students, 56% FRL); Grovetown Middle School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #234 of 470 statewide, top 50%, 1,080 students, 49% FRL); Grovetown High School (math 15% / reading 25%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 2,236 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 26% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 737 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.31%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,408
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 Benelli Ct | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (0%) | 0mo | $209,900 | $151 | 95 |
| 723 Benelli Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (0%) | 0mo | $212,900 | $153 | 95 |
| 717 Benelli Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (0%) | 1mo | $207,000 | $149 | 94 |
| 727 Benelli Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (0%) | 1mo | $207,900 | $149 | 94 |
| 731 Benelli Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (0%) | 2mo | $213,900 | $154 | 94 |
| 919 Bryans Circle Cir | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,459 (+5%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 936 Bryan Cir | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,571 (+13%) | 8mo | $173,000 | $110 | 50 |
| 954 Bryan Cir | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,571 (+13%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $108 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-38,236
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-47,397
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30813
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 737
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,784 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,119/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $-15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $104 | -5% $44 | +0% $-15 | +5% $-75 | +10% $-134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-86 | +0% $-15 | +5% $55 | +10% $126 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $90 | -0.5pp $38 | base $-15 | +0.5pp $-70 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 Benelli Ct Unit 00 740 Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 326 Browning Dr Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1100 Outlook DR Grovetown, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $1,475 | $1.73 | 15d | 5 | 0.43mi |
| 611 Butler Springs Cir Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,800 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 846 Bryan Cir Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 630 Butler Springs Cir Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,895 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 664 Butler Springs Cir Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,825 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1010 Salford Pl Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 134 Barbara St Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1701 | $1,820 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 345 Washington St Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,961 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 444 Madison St Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 444 Madison St Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $1,700 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 302 Dorn St Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1698 | $1,960 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 721 Tarvin Cir Unit 721 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1163 | $1,505 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 626 Dobhill Ln Unit 626 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1163 | $1,505 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 614 Dobhill Ln Unit 614 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1163 | $1,480 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 205 Old Berzelia Rd Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 112 Fiske St Unit C Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 301 Joiner Cir Unit 301 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1202 | $1,465 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 302 Joiner Cir Unit 302 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1202 | $1,440 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 937 Arbor Springs Cir Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $1,950 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 937 Arbor Springs Cir Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 806 Whispering Willow Ct Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1135 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $209,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $209,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $209,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $209,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-27$209,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,119 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,119 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$2,119
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,713
- − Management
- −$1,713
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$3,768
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$904
- After-tax cash flow
- $721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Grovetown
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #5433
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grovetown, GA
- County
- Columbia County · 154,184 people
- City population
- 52,466
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,466
- Household income
- $86,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.24%
- Current HPI
- 233.821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $209,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,119 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…