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620 Post Rd #56
B- Composite 67.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$57,900

620 Post Rd #56 · Wells, ME 04090
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 420 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 2001 Est $52k · 12% over $746/mo HOA · 39% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Pool
  • Built 2001

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property is sold as personal property in a land-lease setting (land lease: yes)
  • HOA & community: Has association; Annual association fee of $8,950; Community clubhouse

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site parking with gravel surface; Space for 1–4 vehicles; 2-car vehicle storage
  • Utilities: Electric on site; Public sewer; Public and seasonal water
  • Home design: Mobile Home; Built in 2001; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Mobile construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Glassed-in porch; Mobile home park setting; Near golf course; Near public beach; Near shopping; Level lot; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on first floor
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Bathtub; Shower; One-floor living; Furnished; 3 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Coin laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $400 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.29%
Cap rate
14.50%
Cash-on-cash
29.30%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$51,660
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
620 Post Rd #64 0.00mi 1/1.0 408 (-3%) 14mo $64,000 $157 84
620 Post Rd #57 0.00mi 1/1.0 405 (-4%) 21mo $50,000 $123 76
620 Post Rd #13 0.00mi 1/1.0 396 (-6%) 24mo $45,000 $114 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$16,292
Equity at exit
$8,633
10-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$48,533
Equity at exit
$5,006

Cash invested: $16,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04090

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $409/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$746
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,402
Max offer price $57,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $429 -5% $412 +0% $396 +5% $379 +10% $363
Rent -10% $245 -5% $321 +0% $396 +5% $471 +10% $546
Rate -1.0pp $425 -0.5pp $411 base $396 +0.5pp $381 +1.0pp $366

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,475
Closing costs
$1,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$746 · $8,952/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $57,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $57,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $57,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $57,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $57,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $57,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    listed $57,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$409 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$598 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$189/yr (+$16/mo · 46.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,841
− Mortgage interest
−$3,243
− Property taxes
−$409
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,827
− Management
−$1,827
− HOA
−$8,952
− Depreciation
−$1,684
Taxable income
$4,608
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,106
After-tax cash flow
$3,644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wells-Ogunquit CSD
NCES district ID
2313490
Math proficiency
87% ▲ 42.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 26.00%
Median HH income
$61,341
Composite
75.79/100
National rank
#125
State rank
#32 of 112 in ME

Livability — Wells

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,544

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.52%
Current HPI
413.9951
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $57,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $409 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…