33 Keystone Rd · Exeter, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,499
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 year young single wide in Keystone Motor Home Park. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Eat-in kitchen with eating counter and enclosed laundry/storage area.
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen
- 3 parking spots
- Built 2022
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership interest: Land lease
- HOA & community: Lot is rented with a monthly land lease of $710; Land lease years remaining: 99
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (3 spaces); Total of 3 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Community water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Propane service; Electric hot water
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Model: Amber; Make: Clayton; Dimensions approximately 16 ft wide by 66 ft long; Above-grade living only (no below-grade area listed); Shingle roof; Entry facing information not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Building not winterized
- Exterior features: Rented lot; Private, paved road access; Located in a community (park name: Keystone); Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range hood; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric); 100 Amp electric service
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Hot water: Electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 4.1% in Exeter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#392 in PA, #3,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Exeter Township SD (suburban): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #141 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $612 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.37%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $81,312
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 Hampshire Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 980 (-7%) | 10mo | $75,900 | $77 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $55,881
- Equity at exit
- $13,195
- IRR
- 56.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.62×
- Total profit
- $139,150
- Equity at exit
- $7,652
Cash invested: $24,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19606
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$464
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,178/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $1,102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,152 | -5% $1,127 | +0% $1,102 | +5% $1,077 | +10% $1,052 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $932 | -5% $1,017 | +0% $1,102 | +5% $1,187 | +10% $1,272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,147 | -0.5pp $1,125 | base $1,102 | +0.5pp $1,079 | +1.0pp $1,056 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,125
- Closing costs
- $2,655
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1251 Buddies Pl Birdsboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,400 | $2.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 97 Wessex Ct Unit 97 Reading, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1473 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,499 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,499 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,499 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,499 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $88,499 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 166-char remark
-
2026-06-13$88,499 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,178 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,288 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$110/yr (+$9/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,178
- − Insurance
- −$442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,067
- − Management
- −$2,067
- − Depreciation
- −$2,575
- Taxable income
- $12,555
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Exeter Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209480
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,744
- Composite
- 45.21/100
- National rank
- #2669
- State rank
- #141 of 539 in PA
Livability — Exeter
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #3546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorane, PA
- County
- Berks County · 195,629 people
- Metro
- Reading, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,853
- Household income
- $85,557
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 425,767 people
- By 2030
- 428,814 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 433,463 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 439,426 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 478,647 · +12.4%
- By 2100
- 518,507 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berks
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.56%
- Current HPI
- 283.6138
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Reading, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $88,499 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,178 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…