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33 Keystone Rd
B- Composite 66.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,499

33 Keystone Rd · Exeter, PA 19606
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 2022 Est $81k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4 year young single wide in Keystone Motor Home Park. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Eat-in kitchen with eating counter and enclosed laundry/storage area.

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchen
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 2022

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENENCLOSED LAUNDRY STORAGE AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership interest: Land lease
  • HOA & community: Lot is rented with a monthly land lease of $710; Land lease years remaining: 99

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (3 spaces); Total of 3 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Community water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Propane service; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Model: Amber; Make: Clayton; Dimensions approximately 16 ft wide by 66 ft long; Above-grade living only (no below-grade area listed); Shingle roof; Entry facing information not provided
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Building not winterized
  • Exterior features: Rented lot; Private, paved road access; Located in a community (park name: Keystone); Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range hood; Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric); 100 Amp electric service
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Hot water: Electric

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
  • Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 4.1% in Exeter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#392 in PA, #3,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Exeter Township SD (suburban): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #141 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $612 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,499

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.43%
Cap rate
21.24%
Cash-on-cash
53.37%
DSCR
3.37
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$81,312
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
327 Hampshire Ave 0.06mi 3/1.5 980 (-7%) 10mo $75,900 $77 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.5%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$55,881
Equity at exit
$13,195
10-year hold
IRR
56.8%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$139,150
Equity at exit
$7,652

Cash invested: $24,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19606

Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,153 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$464
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,178/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$1,102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $758
Max offer price $88,499
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,152 -5% $1,127 +0% $1,102 +5% $1,077 +10% $1,052
Rent -10% $932 -5% $1,017 +0% $1,102 +5% $1,187 +10% $1,272
Rate -1.0pp $1,147 -0.5pp $1,125 base $1,102 +0.5pp $1,079 +1.0pp $1,056

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,125
Closing costs
$2,655
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1251 Buddies Pl Birdsboro, PA 3.0 2.0 1040 $2,400 $2.31 13d 1 0.93mi
97 Wessex Ct Unit 97 Reading, PA 3.0 3.0 1473 $2,200 $1.49 44d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,499 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,499 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,499 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,499 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $88,499 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 166-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $88,499 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,178 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,288 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$110/yr (+$9/mo · 9.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,842
− Mortgage interest
−$4,957
− Property taxes
−$1,178
− Insurance
−$442
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,067
− Management
−$2,067
− Depreciation
−$2,575
Taxable income
$12,555
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,013
After-tax cash flow
$10,213/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Exeter Township SD
NCES district ID
4209480
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$71,744
Composite
45.21/100
National rank
#2669
State rank
#141 of 539 in PA

Livability — Exeter

Score
76/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#3546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lorane, PA
County
Berks County · 195,629 people
Metro
Reading, PA
Population (ZIP)
35,853
Household income
$85,557
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.56%
Current HPI
283.6138
Rent YoY
Metro
Reading, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $88,499 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,178 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…