432 County Road 308 · Cleveland, TX 77327

$130,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 364 Days on market

Built 1994 0.92 ac lot $97/sqft · 35% below area Est $199k · 35% under ↓ 18% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

double wide, almost I acre lot quiet neighborhood. HAS SOLAR panels in back yard. Above ground pool

Key facts

• Almost 1 acre lot
• Above ground pool
• Has solar panels

Tags

• ALMOST 1 ACRE LOT
• QUIET NEIGHBORHOOD
• HAS SOLAR PANELS
• ABOVE GROUND POOL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.7% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,013 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
• Tarkington ISD (rural): math 43% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 1574 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.99%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.78%
• DSCR: 1.75
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $199,241
• List price: $130,000
• Delta: -34.75%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.36×
• Total profit: $12,968
• Equity at exit: $19,383

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.64×
• Total profit: $59,786
• Equity at exit: $11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77327

• Home prices YoY: -5.2%
• Rents YoY: 4.0%
• Active inventory: 1574
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,630 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$682
• Tax from tax record: −$43 /mo · $517/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$342
• Net cashflow: $509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $986

Max offer price $130,000

Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,500
• Closing costs: $3,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $130,000 Active 364 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $130,000 Active 363 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $130,000 Active 362 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   days on market $130,000 Active 359 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $130,000 Active 358 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $130,000 Active 357 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $130,000 Active 356 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $130,000 Active 355 DOM
9. 2026-01-11
   price $130,000 100-char remark

   Show marketing remark (100 chars)

   double wide, almost I acre lot quiet neighborhood. HAS SOLAR panels in back yard. Above ground pool

10. 2025-08-28
    price $155,000 100-char remark

    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    double wide, almost I acre lot quiet neighborhood. HAS SOLAR panels in back yard. Above ground pool

11. 2025-08-27
    price $155 100-char remark

    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    double wide, almost I acre lot quiet neighborhood. HAS SOLAR panels in back yard. Above ground pool

12. 2025-06-10
    listed $145,000 Active 100-char remark

    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    double wide, almost I acre lot quiet neighborhood. HAS SOLAR panels in back yard. Above ground pool

13. 2025-06-03
    status Active
14. 2025-06-03
    historical
15. 2025-05-30
    status Option Pending
16. 2024-11-11
    listed $159,000 Active
17. 2020-09-08
    soldstatus
18. 2014-08-19
    soldstatus
19. 2002-02-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $517 · $43/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,379 · $198/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,862/yr (+$155/mo · 360.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,566
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,282
• − Property taxes: −$517
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,565
• − Management: −$1,565
• − Depreciation: −$3,782
• Taxable income: $4,205
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,009
• After-tax cash flow: $5,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Tarkington ISD
• NCES district ID: 4842210
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,895
• Composite: 35.02/100
• National rank: #5044
• State rank: #373 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cleveland

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #1013
• US rank: #17943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Liberty County · 82,189 people
• City population: 17,208
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 42,685
• Household income: $62,219
• Rent vs Own: 14.4% rent · 85.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 437.0

Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 87,956 people
• By 2030: 92,161 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 100,784 · +14.6%
• By 2050: 109,471 · +24.5%
• By 2075: 133,470 · +51.7%
• By 2100: 147,372 · +67.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 54% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 42%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 0%
• Foreign-born: 22% · Canada
• Languages at home: 51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Liberty

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -12.39%
• Current HPI: 224.9222
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.00%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-18.2% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-11 Price Changed $130,000 HARMLS
• 2025-08-28 Price Changed $155,000 HARMLS
• 2025-08-27 Price Changed $155 HARMLS
• 2025-06-10 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
• 2025-06-03 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-06-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-05-30 Pending — HARMLS
• 2024-11-11 Listed $159,000 HARMLS
• 2020-09-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2014-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2002-02-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $517 · -63.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.