38636 Remora Ave · Zephyrhills, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute, cozy, and ready for Florida living! Welcome to this quaint 2-bedroom, 1-bath singlewide home in SLEEPY HOLLOW Senior Mobile Home Park. This furnished home offers an open living room and kitchen layout, creating a comfortable space for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, including a stove and refrigerator that are approximately two years old. The bathroom has been nicely updated with a walk-in shower, and the A/C was replaced in 2025 for added peace of mind. A bonus room provides great flexibility and houses the washer and dryer. Use it as a guest space, craft room, home office, second TV room, or extra storage area. Outside, you&rs
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions apply; Furnished; Third party listing; Homestead exemption indicated
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $120 (total annual $1,440)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $120; Association fee includes pool, maintenance of grounds, and trash; Association approval required; Buyer approval required; Clubhouse; Deed restrictions; Senior community; Pets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Mobile home (single wide); Attached property; One story; Faces northwest; Completed condition; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal frame construction; Other roof type; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a completed residence
- Exterior features: Shed(s) and storage; Storage; Street dead-end; Paved road; Located within city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Window treatments; Bonus room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 3.7% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Woodland Elementary School (math 30% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 802 students, 82% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.06%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,296
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38641 Lansing Ave | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-2%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $74 | 94 |
| 6343 Ohio St | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (-2%) | 2mo | $63,500 | $94 | 80 |
| 38755 New Jersey Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (-2%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $112 | 77 |
| 39107 Hillcrest Dr | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-2%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $115 | 71 |
| 38533 Ethel Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+5%) | 1mo | $69,900 | $97 | 70 |
| 6349 20th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 644 (-6%) | 6mo | $37,000 | $57 | 68 |
| 6323 Ohio St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-12%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $58 | 62 |
| 39136 Flora Ave | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (+5%) | 2mo | $66,500 | $92 | 62 |
| 38988 Stapley Cir | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (-2%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $74 | 59 |
| 38734 Minnesota Ave | 0.26mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 600 (-12%) | 2mo | $51,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 39053 Flora Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+12%) | 1mo | $142,500 | $186 | 58 |
| 39239 Longview Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (+10%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $168 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $14,591
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $35,364
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33542
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,165 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $329/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$120
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38748 Calumet Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 39029 Kirkland Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 38706 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 445 | $974 | $2.19 | 17d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 6052 10th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,200 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 38112 Townview Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 38010 14th Ave Apt 3 Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 537 | $1,195 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5426 8th St #1 Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 432 | $1,150 | $2.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5611 1st St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5600 Jennie St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 730 | $1,100 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5548 Annette St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,049 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5603 Eugene Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,049 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5552 Annette St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,049 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 39041 Manor Dr Unit B Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5217 17th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,050 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5206 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $950 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5208 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $950 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,100 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $950 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 6991 Fort King Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $899 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 855 | $1,732 | $2.02 | 2d | 142 | 1.43mi |
| 5150 6th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $925 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $120 · $1,440/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$59,900 Active
-
2021-04-15historical
-
2021-01-15$44,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $329 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $497 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$168/yr (+$14/mo · 51.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$329
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,119
- − Management
- −$1,119
- − HOA
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,580
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,099
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zephyrhills, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 48,266
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,612
- Household income
- $49,316
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 831.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.25%
- Current HPI
- 313.3993
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.56%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+33.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-15 Listed $44,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $329 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…