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38636 Remora Ave
B Composite 72.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

38636 Remora Ave · Zephyrhills, FL 33542
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 684 sqft · Manufactured public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1973 3,392 sqft lot Est $64k · 7% under $120/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute, cozy, and ready for Florida living! Welcome to this quaint 2-bedroom, 1-bath singlewide home in SLEEPY HOLLOW Senior Mobile Home Park. This furnished home offers an open living room and kitchen layout, creating a comfortable space for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, including a stove and refrigerator that are approximately two years old. The bathroom has been nicely updated with a walk-in shower, and the A/C was replaced in 2025 for added peace of mind. A bonus room provides great flexibility and houses the washer and dryer. Use it as a guest space, craft room, home office, second TV room, or extra storage area. Outside, you&rs

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Community pool
  • Covered carport

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWALK-IN SHOWERCOVERED CARPORTCOMMUNITY POOLCLUBHOUSESHUFFLEBOARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease restrictions apply; Furnished; Third party listing; Homestead exemption indicated
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $120 (total annual $1,440)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $120; Association fee includes pool, maintenance of grounds, and trash; Association approval required; Buyer approval required; Clubhouse; Deed restrictions; Senior community; Pets not allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Mobile home (single wide); Attached property; One story; Faces northwest; Completed condition; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal frame construction; Other roof type; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a completed residence
  • Exterior features: Shed(s) and storage; Storage; Street dead-end; Paved road; Located within city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Window treatments; Bonus room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 3.7% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Woodland Elementary School (math 30% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 802 students, 82% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
14.99%
Cash-on-cash
31.06%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,296
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38641 Lansing Ave 0.02mi 2/1.0 672 (-2%) 2mo $50,000 $74 94
6343 Ohio St 0.28mi 2/1.5 672 (-2%) 2mo $63,500 $94 80
38755 New Jersey Ave 0.29mi 2/1.5 672 (-2%) 5mo $75,000 $112 77
39107 Hillcrest Dr 0.53mi 2/1.0 672 (-2%) 1mo $77,000 $115 71
38533 Ethel Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 720 (+5%) 1mo $69,900 $97 70
6349 20th St 0.37mi 2/1.0 644 (-6%) 6mo $37,000 $57 68
6323 Ohio St 0.30mi 2/1.0 600 (-12%) 4mo $35,000 $58 62
39136 Flora Ave 0.51mi 2/2.0 720 (+5%) 2mo $66,500 $92 62
38988 Stapley Cir 0.69mi 2/1.5 672 (-2%) 5mo $50,000 $74 59
38734 Minnesota Ave 0.26mi 1/1.5 (-1) 600 (-12%) 2mo $51,000 $85 58
39053 Flora Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 768 (+12%) 1mo $142,500 $186 58
39239 Longview Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 756 (+10%) 1mo $127,000 $168 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$14,591
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$35,364
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33542

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,165 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $329/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$120
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$434

Break-even live

Break-even rent $616
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38748 Calumet Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 5d 1 0.24mi
39029 Kirkland Dr Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 500 $950 $1.90 24d 1 0.44mi
38706 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 445 $974 $2.19 17d 2 0.47mi
6052 10th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $1,200 $1.86 24d 1 0.55mi
38112 Townview Ave Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 24d 1 0.90mi
38010 14th Ave Apt 3 Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 537 $1,195 $2.23 24d 1 1.06mi
5426 8th St #1 Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 432 $1,150 $2.66 24d 1 1.16mi
5611 1st St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 17d 1 1.22mi
5600 Jennie St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 730 $1,100 $1.51 24d 1 1.22mi
5548 Annette St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 652 $1,049 $1.61 12d 1 1.24mi
5603 Eugene Dr Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 652 $1,049 $1.61 12d 1 1.26mi
5552 Annette St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 652 $1,049 $1.61 24d 1 1.27mi
39041 Manor Dr Unit B Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 450 $1,000 $2.22 24d 1 1.28mi
5217 17th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 540 $1,050 $1.94 24d 1 1.35mi
5206 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $950 $1.73 5d 1 1.37mi
5208 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $950 $1.73 5d 1 1.37mi
5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,100 $2.00 17d 1 1.37mi
5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $950 $1.73 5d 1 1.37mi
6991 Fort King Rd Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 500 $899 $1.80 24d 1 1.38mi
6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0–2.5 855 $1,732 $2.02 2d 142 1.43mi
5150 6th St Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $925 $1.54 24d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$120 · $1,440/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $59,900 Active
  15. 2021-04-15
    historical
  16. 2021-01-15
    listed $44,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$329 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$497 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$168/yr (+$14/mo · 51.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,984
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$329
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,119
− Management
−$1,119
− HOA
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$4,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,099
After-tax cash flow
$4,110/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Zephyrhills

Score
72/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#5760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Zephyrhills, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
City population
48,266
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,612
Household income
$49,316
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
831.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.25%
Current HPI
313.3993
Rent YoY
▼ -3.56%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-15 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-15 Listed $44,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $329 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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