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2416 Morris Dr
D Composite 42.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,900

2416 Morris Dr · Corsicana, TX 75110
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1985 0.27 ac lot $158/sqft · 13% above area Est $187k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cozy and peaceful home, featuring 3 bedrooms , 2 baths and a extra large room for an office or a workout room ! The Ac furnace been replace in 2025!The spacious backyard offers ample space for all the outdoor fun! Bring your families and friends to this one of a kind home !

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Built 1985
  • Listed 128 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $186k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($630/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
  • Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,592 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.21%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$187,096
List price
$185,900
Delta
-0.64%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2412 Morris Dr 0.01mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (-0%) 8mo $170,800 $146 87
204 Austin Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,133 (-4%) 10mo $160,000 $141 73
2208 N Beaton St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,322 (+12%) 10mo $229,900 $174 59
230 Hampton Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,332 (+13%) 3mo $250,000 $188 56
906 N Commerce St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+7%) 3mo $82,500 $65 52
104 Woodland Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,064 (-10%) 14mo $189,999 $179 44
150 E Rob Ave 0.56mi 4/1.0 1,286 (+9%) 16mo $147,000 $114 41
110 E Rob Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,096 (-7%) 16mo $155,000 $141 40
3420 N Beaton St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,285 (+9%) 22mo $199,900 $156 28
3508 Kings Cir 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,292 (+10%) 16mo $154,000 $119 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-31,594
Equity at exit
$27,718
10-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-41,805
Equity at exit
$16,073

Cash invested: $52,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75110

Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,642 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$975
Tax from tax record
$193 /mo · $2,310/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,576
Max offer price $185,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,475
Closing costs
$5,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3008 Winfield Dr Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1468 $1,450 $0.99 24d 1 0.43mi
303 E Thompson St Corsicana, TX 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,750 $1.21 2d 1 0.62mi
3128 Emhouse Rd Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.5 1216 $1,300 $1.07 43d 1 0.74mi
3505 Northpark Dr Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.5 1225 $1,700 $1.39 1d 1 0.84mi
1306 Liveoak Ave Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 5d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,900 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,900 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,900 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,900 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,900 Active 125 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,900 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $185,900 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,900 Active 119 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,900 Active 118 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,900 Active 117 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,900 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,900 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,900 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,900 Active 109 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    status Active 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy and peaceful home, featuring 3 bedrooms , 2 baths and a extra large room for an office or a workout room ! The Ac furnace been replace in 2025!The spacious backyard offers ample space for all the outdoor fun! Bring your families and friends to this one of a kind home !

  16. 2026-05-11
    historical Active Option Contract 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy and peaceful home, featuring 3 bedrooms , 2 baths and a extra large room for an office or a workout room ! The Ac furnace been replace in 2025!The spacious backyard offers ample space for all the outdoor fun! Bring your families and friends to this one of a kind home !

  17. 2026-03-27
    status Active 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy and peaceful home, featuring 3 bedrooms , 2 baths and a extra large room for an office or a workout room ! The Ac furnace been replace in 2025!The spacious backyard offers ample space for all the outdoor fun! Bring your families and friends to this one of a kind home !

  18. 2026-03-21
    historical Active Option Contract 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy and peaceful home, featuring 3 bedrooms , 2 baths and a extra large room for an office or a workout room ! The Ac furnace been replace in 2025!The spacious backyard offers ample space for all the outdoor fun! Bring your families and friends to this one of a kind home !

  19. 2026-02-10
    listed $190,000 Active 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy and peaceful home, featuring 3 bedrooms , 2 baths and a extra large room for an office or a workout room ! The Ac furnace been replace in 2025!The spacious backyard offers ample space for all the outdoor fun! Bring your families and friends to this one of a kind home !

  20. 2025-04-01
    soldstatus
  21. 2025-03-31
    soldstatus Closed 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Vaulted ceiling in den with stone fireplace, dine-in kitchen, split bedroom floorplan. There is a bonus room off kitchen that could be used for game room, office or possible guest room. Covered patio, large lot in back with privacy fencing. Information is deemed reliable and correct but should be verified by buyer or buyer's agent.

  22. 2025-03-08
    historical Active Kick-Out 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Vaulted ceiling in den with stone fireplace, dine-in kitchen, split bedroom floorplan. There is a bonus room off kitchen that could be used for game room, office or possible guest room. Covered patio, large lot in back with privacy fencing. Information is deemed reliable and correct but should be verified by buyer or buyer's agent.

  23. 2024-11-04
    listed $164,500 Active 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Vaulted ceiling in den with stone fireplace, dine-in kitchen, split bedroom floorplan. There is a bonus room off kitchen that could be used for game room, office or possible guest room. Covered patio, large lot in back with privacy fencing. Information is deemed reliable and correct but should be verified by buyer or buyer's agent.

  24. 2009-08-27
    soldstatus
  25. 2009-08-21
    historical
  26. 2009-07-21
    listed $54,900
  27. 2003-09-02
    soldstatus
  28. 2003-06-29
    historical
  29. 2003-04-13
    listed $71,900
  30. 1996-07-11
    soldstatus
  31. 1985-05-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,310 · $193/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,402 · $283/mo
Expected delta
+$1,091/yr (+$91/mo · 47.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,707
− Mortgage interest
−$10,413
− Property taxes
−$2,310
− Insurance
−$930
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,577
− Management
−$1,577
− Depreciation
−$5,408
Taxable loss
−$2,508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$602
After-tax cash flow
$1,232/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corsicana ISD
NCES district ID
4815330
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,948
Composite
31.89/100
National rank
#5862
State rank
#471 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corsicana

Score
71/100
State rank
#283
US rank
#6570

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corsicana, TX
County
Navarro County · 31,552 people
City population
31,552
Metro
Corsicana, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,552
Household income
$57,370
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,397 people
By 2030
48,096 · -0.6%
By 2040
47,394 · -2.1%
By 2050
46,541 · -3.8%
By 2075
44,940 · -7.1%
By 2100
42,288 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Navarro

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.01%
Current HPI
224.5566
Rent YoY
▼ -1.47%
Metro
Corsicana, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+164.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-03-21 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $190,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-03-31 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2025-03-08 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2024-11-04 Listed $164,500 NTREIS
  • 2009-08-27 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2009-08-21 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2009-07-21 Listed $54,900 NTREIS
  • 2003-09-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-06-29 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2003-04-13 Listed $71,900 NTREIS
  • 1996-07-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1985-05-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,310 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…