3630 NE 8th Pl #304 · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER
Key facts
- 1,040 sq ft lot
- Built 2007
- Listed 112 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (16.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (2.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.1% in Ocala — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ward-Highlands Elementary School (math 60% / reading 55%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 959 students, 59% FRL); Fort King Middle School (math 37% / reading 35%, grade F, #410 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 1,092 students, 71% FRL); Vanguard High School (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,661 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.07%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,474
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -32.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-34,977
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -48.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.43×
- Total profit
- $-56,111
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34470
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 297
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,364 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$235
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $-133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-54 | -5% $-93 | +0% $-133 | +5% $-173 | +10% $-212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-241 | -5% $-187 | +0% $-133 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-25 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-62 | -0.5pp $-97 | base $-133 | +0.5pp $-169 | +1.0pp $-206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1312 NE 33rd Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,499 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1529 NE 39th Ave Ocala, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,290 | $1.79 | 15d | 12 | 0.53mi |
| 720 NE 30th Ave Unit 720-H Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 720 NE 30th Ave Unit 720-U Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $995 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 720 NE 30th Ave Unit 720-P Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2935 NE 7th St #310 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $2,300 | $2.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1725 NE 36th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1186 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 15d | 5 | 0.74mi |
| 3651 NE 20th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2701 NE 7th St Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,424 | $1.43 | 15d | 16 | 0.92mi |
| 2701 NE 10th St #406 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 411 NE 26th Ct Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,299 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| NE 21st St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,199 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2305 NE 40th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,425 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2321 NE 3rd St Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $744 | $0.74 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2281 NE 2nd St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,499 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2152 NE 3rd St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $235 · $2,820/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-30remarks 285-char remark
-
2026-05-30status $140,000 Pending 112 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $140,000 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER
-
2026-05-03price $145,000 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER
-
2026-02-25price $149,999 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER
-
2026-02-23price $150,000 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER
-
2026-02-06$155,000 Active 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER
-
2025-03-06historical $1,400
-
2025-02-21price $1,400
-
2025-02-08$1,500
-
2025-01-22soldstatus $155,000 Closed 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Great condo in a convenient location - walk to grocery stores, restaurants, and public transportation. This well-maintained unit features two bedrooms & two bathrooms with a combination of ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout, fresh paint in neutral colors, large kitchen with pantry closet, W & D hookup, and nice backyard space. HOA includes exterior maintenance, exterior insurance, lawn care, exterior pest control, and trash collection.
-
2025-01-10status Pending 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Great condo in a convenient location - walk to grocery stores, restaurants, and public transportation. This well-maintained unit features two bedrooms & two bathrooms with a combination of ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout, fresh paint in neutral colors, large kitchen with pantry closet, W & D hookup, and nice backyard space. HOA includes exterior maintenance, exterior insurance, lawn care, exterior pest control, and trash collection.
-
2024-10-19$169,500 Active 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Great condo in a convenient location - walk to grocery stores, restaurants, and public transportation. This well-maintained unit features two bedrooms & two bathrooms with a combination of ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout, fresh paint in neutral colors, large kitchen with pantry closet, W & D hookup, and nice backyard space. HOA includes exterior maintenance, exterior insurance, lawn care, exterior pest control, and trash collection.
-
2011-10-05soldstatus $38,000
-
2007-05-01soldstatus $84,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,192 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,192 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,192
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,309
- − Management
- −$1,309
- − HOA
- −$2,820
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$3,881
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$932
- After-tax cash flow
- $-663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocala, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,443
- Household income
- $52,083
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 771.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.74%
- Current HPI
- 242.686
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.07%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+64.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $149,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-06 Rental Removed $1,400 STELLARMLS
- 2025-02-21 Price Changed $1,400 STELLARMLS
- 2025-02-08 Listed for Rent $1,500 STELLARMLS
- 2025-01-22 Sold (MLS) $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-19 Listed $169,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,192 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…