CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3630 NE 8th Pl #304
D Composite 42.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

3630 NE 8th Pl #304 · Ocala, FL 34470
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Condo public records · 112 Days on market
Built 2007 $135/sqft · 32% below area Est $206k · 32% under $235/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER

Key facts

  • 1,040 sq ft lot
  • Built 2007
  • Listed 112 days

Tags

WELL-LOCATED CONDOMINIUMLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGCONVENIENT ACCESS TO SHOPPINGCONVENIENT ACCESS TO DININGINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (16.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.1% in Ocala — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ward-Highlands Elementary School (math 60% / reading 55%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 959 students, 59% FRL); Fort King Middle School (math 37% / reading 35%, grade F, #410 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 1,092 students, 71% FRL); Vanguard High School (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,661 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,524 (16.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.07%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$206,474
List price
$140,000
Delta
-32.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.4%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-34,977
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-48.4%
Equity multiple
-0.43×
Total profit
$-56,111
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34470

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,192/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$235
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$-133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,532
Max offer price $116,524
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-54 -5% $-93 +0% $-133 +5% $-173 +10% $-212
Rent -10% $-241 -5% $-187 +0% $-133 +5% $-79 +10% $-25
Rate -1.0pp $-62 -0.5pp $-97 base $-133 +0.5pp $-169 +1.0pp $-206

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1312 NE 33rd Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,499 $1.58 15d 1 0.52mi
1529 NE 39th Ave Ocala, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 720 $1,290 $1.79 15d 12 0.53mi
720 NE 30th Ave Unit 720-H Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 945 $1,195 $1.26 23d 1 0.66mi
720 NE 30th Ave Unit 720-U Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 945 $995 $1.05 23d 1 0.66mi
720 NE 30th Ave Unit 720-P Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 945 $1,100 $1.16 23d 1 0.66mi
2935 NE 7th St #310 Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1146 $2,300 $2.01 15d 1 0.69mi
1725 NE 36th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1186 $1,350 $1.14 15d 5 0.74mi
3651 NE 20th Pl Ocala, FL 2.0 1.5 1178 $1,350 $1.15 23d 1 0.88mi
2701 NE 7th St Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 998 $1,424 $1.43 15d 16 0.92mi
2701 NE 10th St #406 Ocala, FL 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,450 $1.21 15d 1 0.92mi
411 NE 26th Ct Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,299 $1.30 15d 1 0.99mi
NE 21st St Ocala, FL 2.0 1.5 1178 $1,199 $1.02 23d 1 1.09mi
2305 NE 40th Ave Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1110 $1,425 $1.28 15d 1 1.10mi
2321 NE 3rd St Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1010 $744 $0.74 15d 1 1.32mi
2281 NE 2nd St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,499 $1.50 23d 1 1.36mi
2152 NE 3rd St Ocala, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 15d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$235 · $2,820/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    remarks 285-char remark
  2. 2026-05-30
    status $140,000 Pending 112 DOM
  3. 2026-05-08
    price $140,000 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER

  4. 2026-05-03
    price $145,000 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER

  5. 2026-02-25
    price $149,999 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER

  6. 2026-02-23
    price $150,000 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER

  7. 2026-02-06
    listed $155,000 Active 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Well-located condominium in the heart of Ocala. This unit offers low-maintenance living with convenient access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways. Ideal for a primary residence or investment opportunity. Motivated SELLER

  8. 2025-03-06
    historical $1,400
  9. 2025-02-21
    price $1,400
  10. 2025-02-08
    listed $1,500
  11. 2025-01-22
    soldstatus $155,000 Closed 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Great condo in a convenient location - walk to grocery stores, restaurants, and public transportation. This well-maintained unit features two bedrooms & two bathrooms with a combination of ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout, fresh paint in neutral colors, large kitchen with pantry closet, W & D hookup, and nice backyard space. HOA includes exterior maintenance, exterior insurance, lawn care, exterior pest control, and trash collection.

  12. 2025-01-10
    status Pending 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Great condo in a convenient location - walk to grocery stores, restaurants, and public transportation. This well-maintained unit features two bedrooms & two bathrooms with a combination of ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout, fresh paint in neutral colors, large kitchen with pantry closet, W & D hookup, and nice backyard space. HOA includes exterior maintenance, exterior insurance, lawn care, exterior pest control, and trash collection.

  13. 2024-10-19
    listed $169,500 Active 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Great condo in a convenient location - walk to grocery stores, restaurants, and public transportation. This well-maintained unit features two bedrooms & two bathrooms with a combination of ceramic tile and vinyl flooring throughout, fresh paint in neutral colors, large kitchen with pantry closet, W & D hookup, and nice backyard space. HOA includes exterior maintenance, exterior insurance, lawn care, exterior pest control, and trash collection.

  14. 2011-10-05
    soldstatus $38,000
  15. 2007-05-01
    soldstatus $84,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,192 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,192 · $183/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,364
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,192
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,309
− Management
−$1,309
− HOA
−$2,820
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$3,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$932
After-tax cash flow
$-663/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ocala

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocala, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
263,375
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,443
Household income
$52,083
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
771.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.74%
Current HPI
242.686
Rent YoY
▼ -0.07%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $149,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-06 Rental Removed $1,400 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Price Changed $1,400 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-02-08 Listed for Rent $1,500 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-01-22 Sold (MLS) $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-10 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-19 Listed $169,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,192 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…