81 Tunis Rd · Stockbridge, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom single-story home! This perfect location is just minutes from 75 interstate and easy access to schools, shopping and restaurants. Whether you're looking to invest or purchase your first home, this property is ready and waiting for you. There are NO HOA and NO rental restriction. Home is sold "As-Is" subject to Due Diligence. Schedule your showing today and see for yourself.
Key facts
- Sold as-is
- No hoa
- 2,178 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.3% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $200k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.31%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $271,157
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -26.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Tunis Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,570 (0%) | 0mo | $178,500 | $114 | 98 |
| 222 Eagles Crest Ct | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (-6%) | 1mo | $256,000 | $173 | 82 |
| 304 Tunis Rd | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,627 (+4%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $160 | 76 |
| 325 Highland Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,624 (+3%) | 0mo | $199,900 | $123 | 75 |
| 800 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (-14%) | 14mo | $181,500 | $134 | 62 |
| 90 Sunset Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-4%) | 8mo | $232,000 | $153 | 60 |
| 155 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-5%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 994 Chase Trl | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (-12%) | 10mo | $249,900 | $180 | 46 |
| 245 Pleasant Valley Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,788 (+14%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $143 | 46 |
| 205 Summerfield Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-10%) | 5mo | $259,999 | $185 | 44 |
| 464 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,784 (+14%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $140 | 44 |
| 260 Pleasant Valley Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-13%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $190 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-14,438
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-6,790
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30253
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 663
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,324 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$317 /mo · $3,799/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $444 | +0% $388 | +5% $331 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $204 | -5% $296 | +0% $388 | +5% $479 | +10% $571 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $488 | -0.5pp $438 | base $388 | +0.5pp $336 | +1.0pp $283 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Eagles Crest Ln McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $1,760 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 632 Verdant Crane Ct McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1931 | $2,945 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 206 Eagles Crest Ct McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,080 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 525 Fiery Warbler St McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2228 | $3,200 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 460 Avocet Sea Ln McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1833 | $2,655 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 431 Avocet Sea Ln McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $2,645 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 145 Highland Dr McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,605 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 609 Verdant Crane Ct McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1931 | $2,920 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 608 Verdant Crane Ct McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1931 | $2,945 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 601 Verdant Crane Ct McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1830 | $3,020 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 713 Holiday Birch Pass McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1931 | $2,845 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 50 Wake Rd McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,745 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 55 Sunnybrook Dr McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,605 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 418 Kenley Ct McDonough, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1737 | $2,000 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 271 Meadowbrook Dr McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,811 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 483 Chase Marion Way McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $1,855 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1427 Wilshire Way McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,719 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1447 Wilshire Way McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,935 | $1.30 | 11d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1285 Winwood Dr McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 300 Argento Dr McDonough, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1115 | $2,499 | $2.24 | 0d | 39 | 0.98mi |
| 237 Grayson Trl McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1579 | $2,155 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2153 Jodeco Rd McDonough, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 2075 | $2,750 | $1.32 | 2d | 34 | 1.12mi |
| 160 Windy Cir McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2225 | $1,650 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 416 Heathcliff Ct McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2232 | $2,020 | $0.91 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 155 Greenland Dr McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 269 Grayson Trl McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $2,300 | $1.36 | 11d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 190 Greenland Dr McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2186 | $2,368 | $1.08 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1331 Vine Cir McDonough, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,820 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 449 Plantation Ct Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1819 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 654 Highpoint Way McDonough, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,265 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 250 Foster Dr McDonough, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1510 | $3,306 | $2.19 | 0d | 34 | 1.29mi |
| 104 Nanci Ct Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,005 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 547 Horseshoe Cir Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $2,159 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-10status $199,900 Pending 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-01$199,900 New 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom single-story home! This perfect location is just minutes from 75 interstate and easy access to schools, shopping and restaurants. Whether you're looking to invest or purchase your first home, this property is ready and waiting for you. There are NO HOA and NO rental restriction. Home is sold “As-Is” subject to Due Diligence. Schedule your showing today and see for yourself.
-
2026-04-01$199,900 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom single-story home! This perfect location is just minutes from 75 interstate and easy access to schools, shopping and restaurants. Whether you're looking to invest or purchase your first home, this property is ready and waiting for you. There are NO HOA and NO rental restriction. Home is sold “As-Is” subject to Due Diligence. Schedule your showing today and see for yourself.
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-10-16$199,900 New
-
2025-10-16$199,900 Active
-
2007-01-26soldstatus $112,000
-
1991-01-25soldstatus $68,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,799 · $317/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,799 · $317/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$3,799
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,231
- − Management
- −$2,231
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $1,613
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$387
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,265/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Stockbridge
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #19479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 71,603
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,779
- Household income
- $81,892
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2591.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 61% White 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.51%
- Current HPI
- 210.679
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.35%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+190.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $199,900 FMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $199,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listed $199,900 FMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listed $199,900 GAMLS
- 2007-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 1991-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,799 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…