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4013 W Broadway
B- Composite 67.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

4013 W Broadway · Louisville, KY 40211
8 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,234 sqft · SingleFamily · 2 Days on market
Built 1915 5,401 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity! Motivated seller, ready to negotiate.

Key facts

  • 5,401 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Jansings subdivision
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Traditional single-family residence; 2 stories; Built in 1915
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and wood frame construction; Shingle roof; About 2,234 above-grade finished area; 816 below-grade unfinished area
  • Exterior features: No fencing; Lot approximately 0.12 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: 8 bedrooms total; Three bedrooms on the first floor; Four bedrooms on the second floor; One bedroom on the upper/third floor; Additional living room and bedroom located on the third floor
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 11 total rooms; Unfinished basement with outside entry; Living room present
  • Laundry & utility: Basement houses utility space (outside entry); No first-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,843/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.59%
Cash-on-cash
18.90%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$19,560
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$80,850
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40211

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,843 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,154/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$595

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,089
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 67-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,154 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,161 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$7/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,112
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,154
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,769
− Management
−$1,769
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$5,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,262
After-tax cash flow
$5,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
20,407
Household income
$31,749
Rent vs Own
58.6% rent · 41.4% own
Severe rent burden
1483.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.22%
Current HPI
176.337
Rent YoY
▲ 4.87%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+800.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $135,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-02-17 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-10-30 Price Changed $147,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-06-17 Listed $155,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2016-05-26 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2016-05-26 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2016-04-15 Listed $15,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,154 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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