288 Ampersand Ave · Saranac Lake, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome To 288 Ampersand Ave! Located Near Lake Colby, The Saranac Lake Civic Center, And The Adirondack Medical Center. This Parcel Features: -Open Floor Plan. -Extra Room On The First Floor. -Front And Backyard With A Driveway. -Municipal Sewer And Water. Property Needs Rehab. Cash. As Is. Assignment Of Contract.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Extra room
- Front and backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 2.5% in Saranac Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#274 in NY, #4,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities D+.
- Saranac Lake Central School District (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #497 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Petrova Elementary School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 308 students, 49% FRL); Saranac Lake Senior High School (math 98% / reading 90%, grade A+, #124 of 1,100 statewide, top 12%, 385 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 30% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 67% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Saranac Lake Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.16%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,509
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Charles St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (-9%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $221 | 66 |
| 35 Mcclelland St. St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,397 (+8%) | 17mo | $205,000 | $147 | 62 |
| 162 Neil Street St | 0.28mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,403 (+8%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $46 | 61 |
| 84 Park Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (-11%) | 12mo | $82,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 29 Canaras Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,377 (+6%) | 7mo | $395,000 | $287 | 51 |
| 18 Sumner Pl | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,206 (-7%) | 20mo | $205,000 | $170 | 48 |
| 52 Lake St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,363 (+5%) | 7mo | $405,000 | $297 | 46 |
| 154 Old Lake Colby Rd | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,399 (+8%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $197 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $25,371
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.21×
- Total profit
- $71,807
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12983
- Home prices YoY
- -12.9%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $600
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-02-28status Pending
-
2026-02-04status Active
-
2026-01-01status Pending
-
2025-12-21$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,335 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,335 · $278/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$3,335
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,616
- − Management
- −$1,616
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $6,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,544
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,650/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saranac Lake Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625740
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,434
- Composite
- 35.73/100
- National rank
- #4856
- State rank
- #497 of 590 in NY
Livability — Saranac Lake
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #4341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saranac Lake, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,410
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,098 people
- By 2030
- 46,790 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 44,400 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 41,256 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 32,190 · -33.1%
- By 2100
- 23,407 · -51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 45.5% · R 54.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.2pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+2.2 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+22.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.20%
- Current HPI
- 318.7218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-28 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-01-01 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-12-21 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,335 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…