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13906 Elm Dr
C- Composite 50.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$169,900

13906 Elm Dr · Plato, MO 65552
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Other public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1988 1.00 ac lot $118/sqft · 14% below area Est $198k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great potential in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in the Plato school district. This property is ready for your finishing touches and would make an excellent candidate for a 203(k) FHA renovation loan or investor rehab. Featuring a wood-burning fireplace, large living spaces and a generous yard, this home offers plenty of space to reimagine and update. Bring your ideas! Property Highlights: • 3 Bedrooms / 2 Full Bathrooms • Wood-burning fireplace • Large yard — room for outdoor living, gardening, or expansion • Ideal for 203(k) or renovation financing • Solid layout with great potential for improvement • Located in the Plato school district Don’t miss this chance to unlock value and create something special — excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants ready to put in sweat equity!

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • 1 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACELARGE YARDPLATO SCHOOL DISTRICT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-356/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (3.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (26.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#424 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Plato R-V (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #198 of 324 in MO (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,596 (26.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.75%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$198,360
List price
$169,900
Delta
-14.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$27,595
Equity at exit
$86,068
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$90,039
Equity at exit
$140,711

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65552

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $721/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$-30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,294
Max offer price $164,658
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $169,900 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 121 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 118 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 117 DOM
  17. 2026-02-02
    listed $169,900 Active 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Great potential in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in the Plato school district. This property is ready for your finishing touches and would make an excellent candidate for a 203(k) FHA renovation loan or investor rehab. Featuring a wood-burning fireplace, large living spaces and a generous yard, this home offers plenty of space to reimagine and update. Bring your ideas! Property Highlights: • 3 Bedrooms / 2 Full Bathrooms • Wood-burning fireplace • Large yard — room for outdoor living, gardening, or expansion • Ideal for 203(k) or renovation financing • Solid layout with great potential for improvement • Located in the Plato school district Don’t miss this chance to unlock value and create something special — excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants ready to put in sweat equity!

  18. 2022-04-12
    soldstatus Closed 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!

  19. 2022-02-16
    status Pending 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!

  20. 2022-01-30
    price $139,900 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!

  21. 2021-11-20
    listed $144,900 Active 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!

  22. 2018-11-13
    soldstatus
  23. 2018-03-28
    listed $94,900
  24. 2016-11-23
    listed $97,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$721 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,648 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$927/yr (+$77/mo · 128.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,072
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$721
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,206
− Management
−$1,206
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$3,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$809
After-tax cash flow
$453/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plato R-V
NCES district ID
2925210
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$48,961
Composite
31.04/100
National rank
#6085
State rank
#198 of 324 in MO

Livability — Plato

Score
61/100
State rank
#424
US rank
#17568

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,259

Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,648 people
By 2030
23,981 · -2.7%
By 2040
22,840 · -7.3%
By 2050
21,832 · -11.4%
By 2075
19,481 · -21.0%
By 2100
16,634 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Texas

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -71.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+35.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.99%
Current HPI
184.3328
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $169,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-12 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-16 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-30 Price Changed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-20 Listed $144,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-13 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-28 Listed $94,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-23 Listed $97,500 SOMO

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $721 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…