13906 Elm Dr · Plato, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potential in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in the Plato school district. This property is ready for your finishing touches and would make an excellent candidate for a 203(k) FHA renovation loan or investor rehab. Featuring a wood-burning fireplace, large living spaces and a generous yard, this home offers plenty of space to reimagine and update. Bring your ideas! Property Highlights: • 3 Bedrooms / 2 Full Bathrooms • Wood-burning fireplace • Large yard — room for outdoor living, gardening, or expansion • Ideal for 203(k) or renovation financing • Solid layout with great potential for improvement • Located in the Plato school district Don’t miss this chance to unlock value and create something special — excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants ready to put in sweat equity!
Key facts
- Large yard
- 1 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-356/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (26.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#424 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Plato R-V (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #198 of 324 in MO (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.75%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $198,360
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -14.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $27,595
- Equity at exit
- $86,068
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $90,039
- Equity at exit
- $140,711
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65552
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $721/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $-30
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $169,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-02$169,900 Active 861-char remark
Show marketing remark (861 chars)
Great potential in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in the Plato school district. This property is ready for your finishing touches and would make an excellent candidate for a 203(k) FHA renovation loan or investor rehab. Featuring a wood-burning fireplace, large living spaces and a generous yard, this home offers plenty of space to reimagine and update. Bring your ideas! Property Highlights: • 3 Bedrooms / 2 Full Bathrooms • Wood-burning fireplace • Large yard — room for outdoor living, gardening, or expansion • Ideal for 203(k) or renovation financing • Solid layout with great potential for improvement • Located in the Plato school district Don’t miss this chance to unlock value and create something special — excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants ready to put in sweat equity!
-
2022-04-12soldstatus Closed 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!
-
2022-02-16status Pending 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!
-
2022-01-30price $139,900 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!
-
2021-11-20$144,900 Active 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Great location to the South Gate of Fort Leonard Wood. Adorable 3 bedroom/ 2 bath home sitting on a one acre corner lot. Nice sized rooms with beautiful fireplace and a septic system installed in 2019. The house has central heat and air but also has ductwork ran for a wood heater if buyer chooses to install. Nice deck and flat yard gives that country feel yet close to Fort. Such a cute house. It's a must see!
-
2018-11-13soldstatus
-
2018-03-28$94,900
-
2016-11-23$97,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $721 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$927/yr (+$77/mo · 128.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$721
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,206
- − Management
- −$1,206
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$3,370
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$809
- After-tax cash flow
- $453/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plato R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2925210
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,961
- Composite
- 31.04/100
- National rank
- #6085
- State rank
- #198 of 324 in MO
Livability — Plato
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #424
- US rank
- #17568
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,259
Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,648 people
- By 2030
- 23,981 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 22,840 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 21,832 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 19,481 · -21.0%
- By 2100
- 16,634 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Texas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -71.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+35.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.99%
- Current HPI
- 184.3328
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+74.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Listed $169,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-12 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-16 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-30 Price Changed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-20 Listed $144,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-13 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-28 Listed $94,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-23 Listed $97,500 SOMO
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $721 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…