3512 California Ave · Kenner, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Starter House or Investment Property! Located by West Esplanade and Williams. Price reflect cost for differential. Roof put on after Hurricane Ida. HVAC Operating. Conveniently located to Shopping, Airport and I-10!
Key facts
- Investment property
- Hvac operating
- 5,998 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Average condition
- Construction: Built with brick
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Shed(s); City lot; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 51 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 5.3% in Kenner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in LA, #2,414 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.51%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,348
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3512 California Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (0%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $93 | 100 |
| 3520 Colorado Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,231 (+9%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $122 | 80 |
| 3732 Arizona Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,117 (-2%) | 11mo | $209,000 | $187 | 75 |
| 3907 Connecticut Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (+1%) | 1mo | $122,000 | $106 | 73 |
| 3612 California Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,281 (+13%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $98 | 71 |
| 3620 Arkansas Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,269 (+12%) | 4mo | $119,900 | $94 | 69 |
| 3711 Arkansas Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+15%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $65 | 62 |
| 3807 Connecticut Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,018 (-10%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $157 | 58 |
| 3736 Arizona Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (-13%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $193 | 57 |
| 3911 Connecticut Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,265 (+12%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $142 | 48 |
| 4012 Colorado Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-11%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $74 | 46 |
| 4041 Alabama Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (+10%) | 8mo | $239,999 | $193 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $16,683
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $45,033
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70065
- Rents YoY
- -4.2%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,722 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,101/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3611 Arizona Ave Kenner, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3423 Delaware Ave Kenner, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1500 W Esplanade Ave Kenner, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $2,000 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1400 W Esplanade Ave Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 801 | $1,370 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3308 Delaware Ave Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3304 Delaware Ave Unit B Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 49 Antigua Dr Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1201 W Esplanade Ave Kenner, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 746 | $1,110 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 53 Antigua Dr Unit D Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1325 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 61 Emile Ave Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4018 Arkansas Ave Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1516 Mayfield St Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1516 Mayfield St Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1740 Vintage Dr Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1019 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1740 Vintage Dr Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1019 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4101 Delaware Ave Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,499 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4101 Delaware Ave #6 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1617 Newport Pl #23 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1617 Newport Pl #23 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1600 Newport Pl #4 Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1620 Newport Pl Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,550 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1616 Newport Pl Unit A Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1717 42nd St Unit D Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3101 Kansas Ave Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2921 Indiana Ave Unit 3 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4144 Georgia Ave Unit D Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4145 Idaho Ave Unit D Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2150 42nd St Unit B316 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,410 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2150 42nd St Unit B310 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2150 42nd St Unit A301 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 215 Avant Garde Cir Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 187 Avant Garde Cir #187 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4129 Chateau Blvd Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,425 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4204 Chateau Blvd Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4329 Idaho Ave Unit B Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4520 Williams Blvd Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,310 | $1.78 | 2d | 15 | 1.14mi |
| 4204 Asher Ct Apt D Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4230 Chateau Blvd Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 400 Coconut Beach Ct Unit 101 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2916 Maine Ave Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-22$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Great Starter House or Investment Property! Located by West Esplanade and Williams. Price reflect cost for differential. Roof put on after Hurricane Ida. HVAC Operating. Conveniently located to Shopping, Airport and I-10!
-
2026-05-22$105,000 Active 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Great Starter House or Investment Property! Located by West Esplanade and Williams. Price reflect cost for differential. Roof put on after Hurricane Ida. HVAC Operating. Conveniently located to Shopping, Airport and I-10!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,101 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,101 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,101
- − Insurance
- −$1,322
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,653
- − Management
- −$1,653
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $5,996
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,439
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Kenner
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenner, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- City population
- 66,707
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,936
- Household income
- $67,285
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1906.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 15% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.79%
- Current HPI
- 139.5115
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.19%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $105,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $105,000 GSREIN
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,101 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…