Duplex
12052 Sand · Adelanto, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON THE MARKET!!!REDUCE FOR QUICK SALE!!!GREAT INCOME PROPERTY! LIVE IN ONE RENT! THIS DUPLEX HAS 2 BED 1 BATH UNITS WITH SINGLE CAR GARAGE ATTACHED AND EACH UNIT HAS A PRIVATE REAR YARD. NEEDS SOME REPAIRS. LOCATED IN ADELANTO THE CITY OF UNLIMITED POTENTIAL. PURCHASE THIS HOME FOR AS LITTLE AS 5% DOWN. GREAT BUY. MAKE AN OFFER Association Amenities: NoneDIRT Model 14 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 15 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 1 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 2 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 3 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 4 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 5 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 6 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 7 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 8 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 9 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 10 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 11 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 12 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 13 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 14 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 15 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 14 Bedrooms: 0 Model 15 Bedrooms: 0 Model 14 # Of Units: 0 Model 14 # Of Units: 0 Model 1 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 2 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 3 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 4 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 5 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 6 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 7 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 8 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 9 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 10 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 11 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 12 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 13 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 14 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 15 # 1/4 Baths: 0 Model 14 Rent: 0.00 Model 15 Rent: 0.00 Model 1 SQFT: 900 Model 2 SQFT: 900 Model 3 SQFT: 0 Model 4 SQFT: 0 Model 5 SQFT: 0 Model 6 SQFT: 0 Model 7 SQFT: 0 Model 8 SQFT: 0 Model 9 SQFT: 0 Model 10 SQFT: 0 Model 11 SQFT: 0 Model 12 SQFT: 0 Model 13 SQFT: 0 Model 14 SQFT: 0 Model 15 SQFT: 0 Model 1 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 2 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 3 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 4 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 5 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 6 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 7 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 8 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 9 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 10 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 11 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 12 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 13 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 14 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Model 15 # 3/4 Baths: 0 Furnishings: None Patio: NO Special Features: None
Key facts
- Street-level lot
- Private patios
- Single-story duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total building area listed as 1,800; Two total units
- Financial info: Gross scheduled income: $35,040; Gross income: $35,040; Net operating income: $23,999; Operating expenses: $11,041 (includes trash $2,400; gardener $1,200; maintenance $1,300; insurance $1,600; water/sewer $540; electric $180; taxes $3,821); Unit rent example: one unit actual rent listed at $1,295; total rent listed at $2,920
- HOA & community: Subject to rent control
Exterior
- Parking: 2 garage spaces (attached); 2 total parking spaces
- Security:
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Public/District water; Separate meters: 1 water meter, 2 gas meters, 2 electric meters
- Home design: Community apartment (attached); Single-story
- Construction: Built according to public records; One building on the parcel
- Exterior features: No pool; Lot characterized as 2–5 units per acre; Rural, valley community setting; Directions: I-15 to Palmdale Rd, east to Hwy 395, north to Chamberlaine Way, west to Sand Ave.
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: Unit(s) include 2-bedroom units
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: Unit(s) include full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling:
- Interior features: Entry located on first level; Attached property with one common wall
- Laundry & utility: No laundry on-site (None listed)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $151/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $310k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $310k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in Adelanto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,250 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Victor Valley Union High (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #407 of 517 in CA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 631 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,098/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1345% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $360k implies a 422% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.60%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $500,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18415 Jonathan St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 | 2,048 (+14%) | 8mo | $570,000 | $278 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $220,491
- Equity at exit
- $324,317
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $645,401
- Equity at exit
- $699,401
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92301
- Home prices YoY
- 10.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 631
- Price-to-rent
- 19.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,098 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$651
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $506 | -5% $404 | +0% $302 | +5% $201 | +10% $99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $180 | +0% $302 | +5% $425 | +10% $547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $484 | -0.5pp $394 | base $302 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $114 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,098 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,549 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,549 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,098 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11715 Lee Ave Adelanto, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1916 | $3,195 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $360,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $360,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $360,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $360,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $360,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $360,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $360,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $360,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $360,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $360,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $360,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $360,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $360,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $360,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-01-20$360,000 Active
-
2014-07-11soldstatus $69,000 1907-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET!!!REDUCE FOR QUICK SALE!!!GREAT INCOME PROPERTY! LIVE IN ONE RENT! THIS DUPLEX HAS 2 BED 1 BATH UNITS WITH SINGLE CAR GARAGE ATTACHED AND EACH UNIT HAS A PRIVATE REAR YARD. NEEDS SOME REPAIRS. LOCATED IN ADELANTO THE CITY OF UNLIMITED POTENTIAL.PURCHASE THIS HOME FOR AS LITTLE AS 5% DOWN. GREAT BUY. MAKE AN OFFER Association Amenities: NoneDIRT Model 14 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 15 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 1 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 2 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 3 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 4 # 1/2 Baths
-
2014-07-11soldstatus $69,000 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET!!!REDUCE FOR QUICK SALE!!!GREAT INCOME PROPERTY! LIVE IN ONE RENT! THIS DUPLEX HAS 2 BED 1 BATH UNITS WITH SINGLE CAR GARAGE ATTACHED AND EACH UNIT HAS A PRIVATE REAR YARD. NEEDS SOME REPAIRS. LOCATED IN ADELANTO THE CITY OF UNLIMITED POTENTIAL.PURCHASE THIS HOME FOR AS LITTLE AS 5% DOWN. GREAT BUY. MAKE AN OFFER Association Amenities: NoneDIRT Model 14 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 15 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 1 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 2 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 3 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 4 # 1/2 Baths
-
2013-12-20$79,900 1907-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET!!!REDUCE FOR QUICK SALE!!!GREAT INCOME PROPERTY! LIVE IN ONE RENT! THIS DUPLEX HAS 2 BED 1 BATH UNITS WITH SINGLE CAR GARAGE ATTACHED AND EACH UNIT HAS A PRIVATE REAR YARD. NEEDS SOME REPAIRS. LOCATED IN ADELANTO THE CITY OF UNLIMITED POTENTIAL.PURCHASE THIS HOME FOR AS LITTLE AS 5% DOWN. GREAT BUY. MAKE AN OFFER Association Amenities: NoneDIRT Model 14 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 15 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 1 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 2 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 3 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 4 # 1/2 Baths
-
2013-12-20$79,900 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET!!!REDUCE FOR QUICK SALE!!!GREAT INCOME PROPERTY! LIVE IN ONE RENT! THIS DUPLEX HAS 2 BED 1 BATH UNITS WITH SINGLE CAR GARAGE ATTACHED AND EACH UNIT HAS A PRIVATE REAR YARD. NEEDS SOME REPAIRS. LOCATED IN ADELANTO THE CITY OF UNLIMITED POTENTIAL.PURCHASE THIS HOME FOR AS LITTLE AS 5% DOWN. GREAT BUY. MAKE AN OFFER Association Amenities: NoneDIRT Model 14 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 15 # of Full Baths: 0 Model 1 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 2 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 3 # 1/2 Baths: 0 Model 4 # 1/2 Baths
-
2013-06-10status Pending
-
2013-06-05$40,000 Active
-
2013-05-20status Pending
-
2013-05-16$40,000 Active
-
2004-11-23soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,285 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,736 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,451/yr (+$121/mo · 113.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,176
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$1,285
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,974
- − Management
- −$2,974
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$2,495
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$599
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Victor Valley Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0636972
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,112
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8296
- State rank
- #407 of 517 in CA
Livability — Adelanto
- Score
- 47/100
- State rank
- #1250
- US rank
- #26338
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adelanto, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 38,577
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,577
- Household income
- $68,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1345.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 34% Black 15% White 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 58%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 46%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 41.09%
- Current HPI
- 453.6071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.68%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+188.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Listed $360,000 CRMLS
- 2014-07-11 Sold (MLS) $69,000 SDMLS
- 2014-07-11 Sold (MLS) $69,000 CRMLS
- 2013-12-20 Listed $79,900 SDMLS
- 2013-12-20 Listed $79,900 CRMLS
- 2013-06-10 Pending — CRMLS
- 2013-06-05 Listed $40,000 CRMLS
- 2013-05-20 Pending — CRMLS
- 2013-05-16 Listed $40,000 CRMLS
- 2004-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,285 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…