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5112 E 122nd Ave
D Composite 42.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

5112 E 122nd Ave · Temple Terrace, FL 33617
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,412 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1965 0.44 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great 5 bedroom 2 bath house with pool that sits on close to 1/2 acre in Temple Terrace! This house needs some updating and tlc but is priced very well for the condition.

Key facts

  • 0.44 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.44 acre (approximately 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre); Building area reported at 2,968 total (2,412 living area); Zoned R-9; Unfurnished; No CDD; No association approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Multi/split levels; Faces south; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Block and other construction materials; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built using residential construction methods
  • Exterior features: Private gunite pool; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($798/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (20.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $278k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#123 in FL, #1,870 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pizzo K-8 School (math 25% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,057 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 902 students, 71% FRL); Greco Middle Magnet School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #542 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 700 students, 77% FRL); King High School (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 1,422 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,783/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 3295% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $154k; list at $350k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $278,290 (20.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.81%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-60,770
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-79,528
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33617

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
285
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,783 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,809/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$584
Net cashflow
$66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,699
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $265 -5% $166 +0% $66 +5% $-33 +10% $-132
Rent -10% $-153 -5% $-43 +0% $66 +5% $176 +10% $286
Rate -1.0pp $243 -0.5pp $156 base $66 +0.5pp $-24 +1.0pp $-116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5116 E 122nd Ave Temple Terrace, FL 4.0 3.0 2500 $2,990 $1.20 26d 1 0.06mi
5001 Sunridge Palms Dr Tampa, FL 3.0 3.5 2075 $2,590 $1.25 19d 1 0.17mi
5028 Sunridge Palms Dr Tampa, FL 3.0 4.0 1844 $2,250 $1.22 26d 1 0.20mi
12802 N 53rd St Temple Terrace, FL 4.0 3.0 2331 $4,500 $1.93 16d 1 0.34mi
5709 Las Ventanas Dr Tampa, FL 3.0–4.0 3.5 1550 $1,995 $1.29 6d 4 0.42mi
6066 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL 4.0 4.0 1778 $2,145 $1.21 1d 1 0.62mi
6066 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL 4.0 4.0 1778 $2,145 $1.21 26d 1 0.62mi
6064 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 3.5 1423 $1,724 $1.21 1d 6 0.62mi
6054 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 3.5 1780 $1,875 $1.05 26d 1 0.63mi
6010 Soaring Ave Unit 1053149P Tampa, FL 4.0 3.0 2454 $6,407 $2.61 0d 1 0.70mi
5008 E Liberty St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.5 1935 $3,000 $1.55 19d 1 0.75mi
6204 Tanager Pl Temple Terrace, FL 4.0 3.0 2531 $3,500 $1.38 26d 1 0.94mi
10410 N Ojus Dr Tampa, FL 4.0 2.0 1637 $2,200 $1.34 26d 1 1.14mi
6121 Whiteway Dr Temple Terrace, FL 4.0 2.0 2176 $2,895 $1.33 23d 1 1.18mi
13701 Lazy Oak Dr Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,600 $1.53 26d 1 1.26mi
518 Crestover Dr Temple Terrace, FL 4.0 3.0 2078 $3,500 $1.68 4d 1 1.30mi
10420 McKinley Dr Tampa, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1347 $3,598 $2.67 0d 93 1.49mi
4729 E 98th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1968 $2,995 $1.52 26d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 170-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $350,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,809 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,905 · $242/mo
Expected delta
+$1,096/yr (+$91/mo · 60.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,395
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$1,809
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,672
− Management
−$2,672
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$5,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,271
After-tax cash flow
$2,069/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Temple Terrace

Score
80/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#1870

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Temple Terrace, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
65,509
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,851
Household income
$50,948
Rent vs Own
56.8% rent · 43.2% own
Severe rent burden
3295.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 36% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 15% Arabic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -243.20%
Current HPI
352.4572
Rent YoY
▼ -0.33%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $350,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,809 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…