5112 E 122nd Ave · Temple Terrace, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great 5 bedroom 2 bath house with pool that sits on close to 1/2 acre in Temple Terrace! This house needs some updating and tlc but is priced very well for the condition.
Key facts
- 0.44 acre lot
- Garage
- Pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.44 acre (approximately 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre); Building area reported at 2,968 total (2,412 living area); Zoned R-9; Unfurnished; No CDD; No association approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; Multi/split levels; Faces south; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Block and other construction materials; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built using residential construction methods
- Exterior features: Private gunite pool; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($798/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $278k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#123 in FL, #1,870 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pizzo K-8 School (math 25% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,057 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 902 students, 71% FRL); Greco Middle Magnet School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #542 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 700 students, 77% FRL); King High School (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 1,422 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,783/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 3295% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $154k; list at $350k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.81%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-60,770
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-79,528
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33617
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 285
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,783 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,809/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$584
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $166 | +0% $66 | +5% $-33 | +10% $-132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-43 | +0% $66 | +5% $176 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $243 | -0.5pp $156 | base $66 | +0.5pp $-24 | +1.0pp $-116 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5116 E 122nd Ave Temple Terrace, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $2,990 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5001 Sunridge Palms Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2075 | $2,590 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5028 Sunridge Palms Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1844 | $2,250 | $1.22 | 26d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 12802 N 53rd St Temple Terrace, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2331 | $4,500 | $1.93 | 16d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5709 Las Ventanas Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 3.5 | 1550 | $1,995 | $1.29 | 6d | 4 | 0.42mi |
| 6066 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1778 | $2,145 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6066 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1778 | $2,145 | $1.21 | 26d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6064 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1423 | $1,724 | $1.21 | 1d | 6 | 0.62mi |
| 6054 Gibson Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1780 | $1,875 | $1.05 | 26d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6010 Soaring Ave Unit 1053149P Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2454 | $6,407 | $2.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5008 E Liberty St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1935 | $3,000 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6204 Tanager Pl Temple Terrace, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2531 | $3,500 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10410 N Ojus Dr Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6121 Whiteway Dr Temple Terrace, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2176 | $2,895 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 13701 Lazy Oak Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,600 | $1.53 | 26d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 518 Crestover Dr Temple Terrace, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2078 | $3,500 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 10420 McKinley Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1347 | $3,598 | $2.67 | 0d | 93 | 1.49mi |
| 4729 E 98th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $2,995 | $1.52 | 26d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 170-char remark
-
2026-06-18$350,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,809 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,905 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,096/yr (+$91/mo · 60.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$1,809
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,672
- − Management
- −$2,672
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$5,294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,271
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Temple Terrace
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #1870
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple Terrace, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 65,509
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,851
- Household income
- $50,948
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3295.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 36% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 15% Arabic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -243.20%
- Current HPI
- 352.4572
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.33%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+127.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $350,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,809 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…