Duplex
118 Old Roosa Gap Rd · Bloomingburg, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.6/10.0
$579,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Duplex 2 units Multi Family Home Pine Bush Schools Private Multi-Family Retreat on 7+ Acres multi-family farmhouse nestled on over 7 serene acres in Bloomingburg. This property features two spacious units, needs work, a spring-fed pond, and expansive grounds offering privacy, natural beauty, and endless potential. Located in the Pine Bush School District, it's ideal for extended family living, rental income, or a peaceful country escape. This home is sold as is.
Key facts
- Spring-fed pond
- Expansive grounds
- 7.2 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $579k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $71/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $540k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $540k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Bloomingburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,175 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: cost of living D+, housing D+, crime F.
- Pine Bush Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #468 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pine Bush Senior High School (math 92% / reading 67%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 1,615 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 29% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pine Bush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($544k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.05%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-84,611
- Equity at exit
- $86,331
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-61,381
- Equity at exit
- $50,061
Cash invested: $162,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12721
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 17.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,036
- Tax from tax record
- −$846 /mo · $10,155/yr
- Insurance
- −$241
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,134
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $306 | +0% $142 | +5% $-22 | +10% $-186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-284 | -5% $-71 | +0% $142 | +5% $355 | +10% $569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $434 | -0.5pp $289 | base $142 | +0.5pp $-8 | +1.0pp $-160 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $5,400 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,700 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,700 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,400 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $144,750
- Closing costs
- $17,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Evergreen Ln Bloomingburg, NY | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-22days on market $579,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $579,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $579,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $579,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $579,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $579,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $579,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $579,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $579,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $579,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $589,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $589,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $589,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $589,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $589,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $589,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-04-09$589,900 Active 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Duplex 2 units Multi Family Home Pine Bush Schools Private Multi-Family Retreat on 7+ Acres multi-family farmhouse nestled on over 7 serene acres in Bloomingburg. This property features two spacious units, needs work, a spring-fed pond, and expansive grounds offering privacy, natural beauty, and endless potential. Located in the Pine Bush School District, it's ideal for extended family living, rental income, or a peaceful country escape. This home is sold as is.
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2026-03-31historical
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2026-02-06price $595,000
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2025-12-16price $672,500
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2025-11-28price $675,000
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2025-11-09price $689,000
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2025-10-04$725,000 Active
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2025-09-29price $725,000
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2025-09-21historical
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2025-09-18historical
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2025-09-17historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,155 · $846/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,155 · $846/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $64,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,433
- − Property taxes
- −$10,155
- − Insurance
- −$2,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,184
- − Management
- −$5,184
- − Depreciation
- −$16,844
- Taxable loss
- −$7,894
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,895
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pine Bush Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623010
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,525
- Composite
- 37.87/100
- National rank
- #4324
- State rank
- #468 of 590 in NY
Livability — Bloomingburg
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1175
- US rank
- #25817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,590
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,974 people
- By 2030
- 65,609 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 58,878 · -14.6%
- By 2050
- 52,500 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 39,941 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 28,880 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scandinavian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.80%
- Current HPI
- 320.383
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-18.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $589,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $595,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $672,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $675,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-09 Price Changed $689,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-04 Listed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-21 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-17 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $10,155 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…