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118 Old Roosa Gap Rd Duplex
D Composite 43.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.6/10.0

$579,000

118 Old Roosa Gap Rd · Bloomingburg, NY 12721
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,533 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1920 7.20 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Duplex 2 units Multi Family Home Pine Bush Schools Private Multi-Family Retreat on 7+ Acres multi-family farmhouse nestled on over 7 serene acres in Bloomingburg. This property features two spacious units, needs work, a spring-fed pond, and expansive grounds offering privacy, natural beauty, and endless potential. Located in the Pine Bush School District, it's ideal for extended family living, rental income, or a peaceful country escape. This home is sold as is.

Key facts

  • Spring-fed pond
  • Expansive grounds
  • 7.2 acre lot

Tags

PRIVATE MULTI-FAMILY RETREATSPRING-FED PONDEXPANSIVE GROUNDSPINE BUSH SCHOOL DISTRICT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $579k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $71/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $540k (6.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $540k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Bloomingburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,175 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: cost of living D+, housing D+, crime F.
  • Pine Bush Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #468 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Bush Senior High School (math 92% / reading 67%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 1,615 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 29% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pine Bush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($544k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $540,000 (6.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-84,611
Equity at exit
$86,331
10-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-61,381
Equity at exit
$50,061

Cash invested: $162,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12721

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
17.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,036
Tax from tax record
$846 /mo · $10,155/yr
Insurance
$241
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,134
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,220
Max offer price $579,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $470 -5% $306 +0% $142 +5% $-22 +10% $-186
Rent -10% $-284 -5% $-71 +0% $142 +5% $355 +10% $569
Rate -1.0pp $434 -0.5pp $289 base $142 +0.5pp $-8 +1.0pp $-160

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,400

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$144,750
Closing costs
$17,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6 Evergreen Ln Bloomingburg, NY 5.0 3.0 2500 $2,800 $1.12 45d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $579,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $579,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $579,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $579,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $579,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $579,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $579,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $579,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $579,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $579,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $589,900 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $589,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $589,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $589,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $589,900 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $589,900 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    listed $589,900 Active 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Duplex 2 units Multi Family Home Pine Bush Schools Private Multi-Family Retreat on 7+ Acres multi-family farmhouse nestled on over 7 serene acres in Bloomingburg. This property features two spacious units, needs work, a spring-fed pond, and expansive grounds offering privacy, natural beauty, and endless potential. Located in the Pine Bush School District, it's ideal for extended family living, rental income, or a peaceful country escape. This home is sold as is.

  18. 2026-03-31
    historical
  19. 2026-02-06
    price $595,000
  20. 2025-12-16
    price $672,500
  21. 2025-11-28
    price $675,000
  22. 2025-11-09
    price $689,000
  23. 2025-10-04
    listed $725,000 Active
  24. 2025-09-29
    price $725,000
  25. 2025-09-21
    historical
  26. 2025-09-18
    historical
  27. 2025-09-17
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$10,155 · $846/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,155 · $846/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$64,800
− Mortgage interest
−$32,433
− Property taxes
−$10,155
− Insurance
−$2,895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,184
− Management
−$5,184
− Depreciation
−$16,844
Taxable loss
−$7,894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,895
After-tax cash flow
$3,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pine Bush Central School District
NCES district ID
3623010
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$72,525
Composite
37.87/100
National rank
#4324
State rank
#468 of 590 in NY

Livability — Bloomingburg

Score
49/100
State rank
#1175
US rank
#25817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime F Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,590

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scandinavian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -6.80%
Current HPI
320.383
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $589,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $595,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $672,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $675,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-09 Price Changed $689,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-04 Listed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-21 Coming Soon OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-18 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-17 Coming Soon OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,155 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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