3018, 3020 Carswell Dr · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* GREAT INVESTment Opportunity Very close to FORT GORDON * TWO Completely remodeled mobile homes on large quiet lot. Already clean and ready for tenants to move right in. One mobile home is 3B/2B and the other one is 2B/2B with a shop. Must see to appreciate!
Key facts
- Large quiet lot
- Shop
- Own septic systems
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R
- Financial info: Land is leased
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One level; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block foundation; Metal and composition roof; Built with additional details in remarks
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Partial wood fencing; Outbuilding; Has a view; Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Belair K-8 School (math 18% / reading 20%, grade F, #917 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 1,032 students, 98% FRL); Westside High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #385 of 424 statewide, top 92%, 999 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 303 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.26%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,051
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 80.61%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,285
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $13,532
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30909
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 303
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $466/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $394
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1191 Bison Way Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2207 Jasmine Way Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2207 Jasmine Way Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2000 Kennesaw Way Unit 01 2220 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $1,590 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2000 Kennesaw Way Unit 01 2202 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $1,590 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1802 Honeysuckle Way Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,995 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1802 Honeysuckle Way Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,995 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 801 Trailside Ct Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1478 | $1,770 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2106 Collister Ct Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-04-20price $150,000
-
2026-01-28$175,000 Active
-
2026-01-28$150,000 Active 260-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $466 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$914/yr (+$76/mo · 196.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,474
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$466
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,377
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$570
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,501
- Household income
- $71,364
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2113.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.4587
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.48%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $150,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $175,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $466 · +27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…