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3018, 3020 Carswell Dr
C Composite 57.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

3018, 3020 Carswell Dr · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30909
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Other · 6 Days on market
Built 1992 1.73 ac lot $150/sqft · 81% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* GREAT INVESTment Opportunity Very close to FORT GORDON * TWO Completely remodeled mobile homes on large quiet lot. Already clean and ready for tenants to move right in. One mobile home is 3B/2B and the other one is 2B/2B with a shop. Must see to appreciate!

Key facts

  • Large quiet lot
  • Shop
  • Own septic systems

Tags

LARGE QUIET LOTSHOPOWN SEPTIC SYSTEMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R
  • Financial info: Land is leased

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One level; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block foundation; Metal and composition roof; Built with additional details in remarks
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Partial wood fencing; Outbuilding; Has a view; Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Belair K-8 School (math 18% / reading 20%, grade F, #917 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 1,032 students, 98% FRL); Westside High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #385 of 424 statewide, top 92%, 999 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 303 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.26%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,051
List price
$150,000
Delta
80.61%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,285
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$13,532
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30909

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
303
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,623 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $466/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,124
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1191 Bison Way Grovetown, GA 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,450 $1.33 14d 1 0.81mi
2207 Jasmine Way Grovetown, GA 3.0 3.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 44d 1 0.84mi
2207 Jasmine Way Grovetown, GA 3.0 3.0 1500 $1,725 $1.15 23d 1 0.84mi
2000 Kennesaw Way Unit 01 2220 Grovetown, GA 2.0 3.0 1380 $1,590 $1.15 23d 1 0.91mi
2000 Kennesaw Way Unit 01 2202 Grovetown, GA 2.0 3.0 1380 $1,590 $1.15 14d 1 0.91mi
1802 Honeysuckle Way Grovetown, GA 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,995 $1.83 23d 1 0.95mi
1802 Honeysuckle Way Grovetown, GA 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,995 $1.83 44d 1 0.95mi
801 Trailside Ct Grovetown, GA 3.0 3.0 1478 $1,770 $1.20 14d 1 1.10mi
2106 Collister Ct Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,800 $1.26 14d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on marketlisting id $150,000 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-05-11
    historical
  7. 2026-04-20
    price $150,000
  8. 2026-01-28
    listed $175,000 Active
  9. 2026-01-28
    listed $150,000 Active 260-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$466 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,380 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$914/yr (+$76/mo · 196.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,474
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$466
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,558
− Management
−$1,558
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$570
After-tax cash flow
$4,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County
NCES district ID
1304380
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,069
Composite
13.43/100
National rank
#9524
State rank
#154 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
County
Richmond County · 190,917 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
46,501
Household income
$71,364
Rent vs Own
52.5% rent · 47.5% own
Severe rent burden
2113.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
200,753 people
By 2030
200,232 · -0.3%
By 2040
196,813 · -2.0%
By 2050
190,347 · -5.2%
By 2075
172,496 · -14.1%
By 2100
146,284 · -27.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.14%
Current HPI
280.4587
Rent YoY
▲ 0.48%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $150,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $175,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $466 · +27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…