Duplex
902 3rd Ave · Troy, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2 family house in Lansingburg School District. Great investment property. 2 bedrooms each unit.
Key facts
- New chimney
- Vinyl flooring
- Two family home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $648/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $226k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 5.5% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lansingburgh Central School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $229k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.26%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,132
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 3rd Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,244 (0%) | 1mo | $231,540 | $103 | 100 |
| 847 5th Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 2,052 (-9%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $119 | 77 |
| 10 Northern Dr | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 2,168 (-3%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $67 | 76 |
| 799 5th Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,112 (-6%) | 6mo | $226,000 | $107 | 71 |
| 878 3rd Ave | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 2,042 (-9%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $81 | 70 |
| 797 1st Ave | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,336 (+4%) | 8mo | $425,000 | $182 | 63 |
| 782 3rd Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,160 (-4%) | 18mo | $200,000 | $93 | 58 |
| 141 Second St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,984 (-12%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $176 | 51 |
| 694 4th Ave | 0.57mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,486 (+11%) | 0mo | $190,500 | $77 | 50 |
| 670 5th Ave | 0.64mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,440 (+9%) | 5mo | $231,500 | $95 | 42 |
| 15-17 4th St | 0.54mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,548 (+14%) | 6mo | $354,000 | $139 | 38 |
| 2 4th St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 2,576 (+15%) | 16mo | $243,999 | $95 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $45,520
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $146,240
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12182
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,682 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$316 /mo · $3,795/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$773
- Net cashflow
- $1,296
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,426 | -5% $1,361 | +0% $1,296 | +5% $1,231 | +10% $1,167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,005 | -5% $1,151 | +0% $1,296 | +5% $1,442 | +10% $1,587 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,411 | -0.5pp $1,354 | base $1,296 | +0.5pp $1,237 | +1.0pp $1,176 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,682 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,841 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,841 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,682 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1185 | $1,711 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 53 Park Ave Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1875 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-04-02status Pending
-
2026-03-31price $229,000
-
2026-03-12$239,000 Active
-
2025-04-28historical $1,295
-
2025-03-25price $1,295
-
2025-02-17$1,395
-
2025-01-01historical $1,295
-
2024-11-22price $1,295
-
2024-11-18price $1,350
-
2024-10-25price $1,400
-
2024-10-03price $1,450
-
2024-09-18$1,500
-
2023-10-06historical $1,300
-
2023-09-12$1,300
-
2023-07-05soldstatus $150,000
-
2023-06-13soldstatus $150,000 Closed 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
2 family house in Lansingburg School District. Great investment property. 2 bedrooms each unit.
-
2023-04-18status Pending 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
2 family house in Lansingburg School District. Great investment property. 2 bedrooms each unit.
-
2023-04-07historical Contingent 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
2 family house in Lansingburg School District. Great investment property. 2 bedrooms each unit.
-
2022-08-02price $169,900 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
2 family house in Lansingburg School District. Great investment property. 2 bedrooms each unit.
-
2022-07-11price $179,900 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
2 family house in Lansingburg School District. Great investment property. 2 bedrooms each unit.
-
2022-06-23$189,900 Active 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
2 family house in Lansingburg School District. Great investment property. 2 bedrooms each unit.
-
2004-04-30soldstatus $95,500 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
PERFECT OWNER OCC. BLOCK. REFIN. HDWD FLRS, CURVED STAIRCASE, CERAMIC TILE FLOORS, CRWN MOLDING, WASHER/DRYER HKUPS, NEW KITCHENS W/ DISHWASHERS, WELL MAINT. SLATE ROOF. PARTIALLY FENCED YARD WHICH BACKS TO CITY LANE FOR PKING ACCESS. MOSTLY NEW PLUBMING -- Excellent Condition
-
2004-03-25historical 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
PERFECT OWNER OCC. BLOCK. REFIN. HDWD FLRS, CURVED STAIRCASE, CERAMIC TILE FLOORS, CRWN MOLDING, WASHER/DRYER HKUPS, NEW KITCHENS W/ DISHWASHERS, WELL MAINT. SLATE ROOF. PARTIALLY FENCED YARD WHICH BACKS TO CITY LANE FOR PKING ACCESS. MOSTLY NEW PLUBMING -- Excellent Condition
-
2004-01-29$92,000 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
PERFECT OWNER OCC. BLOCK. REFIN. HDWD FLRS, CURVED STAIRCASE, CERAMIC TILE FLOORS, CRWN MOLDING, WASHER/DRYER HKUPS, NEW KITCHENS W/ DISHWASHERS, WELL MAINT. SLATE ROOF. PARTIALLY FENCED YARD WHICH BACKS TO CITY LANE FOR PKING ACCESS. MOSTLY NEW PLUBMING -- Excellent Condition
-
2002-10-04soldstatus $72,000
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2002-09-19soldstatus $72,000
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2002-06-28historical
-
2002-01-06$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,795 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,833 · $319/mo
- Expected delta
- +$37/yr (+$3/mo · 1.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,795
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,535
- − Management
- −$3,535
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $12,685
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,044
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,510/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansingburgh Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,807
- Composite
- 28.19/100
- National rank
- #6810
- State rank
- #566 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- City population
- 53,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,273
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.58%
- Current HPI
- 273.5758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+205.7% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $229,000 Global MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $239,000 Global MLS
- 2025-04-28 Rental Removed $1,295 GLOBALMLS
- 2025-03-25 Price Changed $1,295 GLOBALMLS
- 2025-02-17 Listed for Rent $1,395 GLOBALMLS
- 2025-01-01 Rental Removed $1,295 GLOBALMLS
- 2024-11-22 Price Changed $1,295 GLOBALMLS
- 2024-11-18 Price Changed $1,350 GLOBALMLS
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $1,400 GLOBALMLS
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $1,450 GLOBALMLS
- 2024-09-18 Listed for Rent $1,500 GLOBALMLS
- 2023-10-06 Rental Removed $1,300 GLOBALMLS
- 2023-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,300 GLOBALMLS
- 2023-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-13 Sold (MLS) $150,000 Global MLS
- 2023-04-18 Pending — Global MLS
- 2023-04-07 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2022-08-02 Price Changed $169,900 Global MLS
- 2022-07-11 Price Changed $179,900 Global MLS
- 2022-06-23 Listed $189,900 Global MLS
- 2004-04-30 Sold (MLS) $95,500 Global MLS
- 2004-03-25 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2004-01-29 Listed $92,000 Global MLS
- 2002-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-19 Sold (MLS) $72,000 Global MLS
- 2002-06-28 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2002-01-06 Listed $74,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,795 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…