104 Royal Oak Dr #103 · Florida Ridge, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity to Purchase this Well Priced 1st Floor unit. A/C is 4-5 years old as well as the Hot Water Heater. Active community has multiple Pools, Club House with exercise room and a Meeting Room with many Daily scheduled Events. Tennis and Golf is available. This is a Light and Bright End Unit
Key facts
- Exercise room
- 1st floor unit
- Meeting room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Campbell association; Monthly association fee of $496; HOA covers common areas, insurance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, game room, tennis courts, and pool; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned uncovered parking
- Utilities: Public water; County sewer
- Home design: Two-story building
- Construction: Concrete construction; Built-up roof; Tar and gravel roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Screened porch (16 x 8); Community pool; Less than quarter acre lot; Has a view; Faces west; Property attached (attached unit)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Pantry (in kitchen area)
- Bedrooms: One bedroom (16 x 12)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Sliding doors; Pantry; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.5% in Florida Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $78k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 33% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.56%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,750
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Vista Gardens Trl #103 | 0.11mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $105 | 91 |
| 78 Royal Oak Dr #103 | 0.16mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 2mo | $111,000 | $148 | 89 |
| 14 Vista Gardens Trl #103 | 0.25mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $112 | 86 |
| 14 Vista Gardens Trl #203 | 0.25mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $160 | 84 |
| 18 Vista Gardens Trl #105 | 0.31mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 2mo | $132,000 | $176 | 82 |
| 89 Crooked Tree Ln #103 | 0.32mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 2mo | $66,000 | $88 | 82 |
| 22 Vista Gardens Trl #103 | 0.38mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $133 | 79 |
| 44 Vista Gardens Trl W #103 | 0.40mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $113 | 79 |
| 55 Woodland Dr #203 | 0.40mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $120 | 78 |
| 31 Vista Gardens Trl #205 | 0.58mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 1mo | $89,500 | $119 | 70 |
| 34 Pine Arbor Ln #203 | 0.65mi | 1/1.5 | 750 (0%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $160 | 66 |
| 35 Vista Gardens Trl #204 | 0.57mi | 1/1.0 | 700 (-7%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $157 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $983
- Equity at exit
- $11,615
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $24,573
- Equity at exit
- $6,735
Cash invested: $21,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32962
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $185/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$496
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,475
- Closing costs
- $2,337
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Royal Oak Dr #106 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 102 Royal Oak Dr #105 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 101 Spring Lake Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,275 | $2.02 | 20d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 80 Crooked Tree Ln #106 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 74 Royal Oak Ct #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,175 | $1.87 | 20d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 95 Spring Lake Dr #103 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 20d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 85 Crooked Tree Ln #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,450 | $1.93 | 20d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 15 Vista Gardens Trl #104 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,300 | $2.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 86 Crooked Tree Ln #102 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 65 Woodland Dr #207 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 60 Woodland Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,250 | $1.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 60 Woodland Dr Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,125 | $1.79 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 52 Woodland Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,300 | $2.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 58 Woodland Dr #206 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 50 Woodland Dr #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 23 Vista Gardens Trl #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 43 Vista Gardens Trl #205 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,450 | $1.93 | 20d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 26 Vista Gardens Trl #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 33 Vista Gardens Trl #104 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,500 | $2.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 34 Vista Gardens Trl #107 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 36 Vista Gardens Trl #201 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,390 | $1.39 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 28 Vista Gardens Trl #102 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 35 Vista Gardens Trl #205 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 934 | $1,400 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4 Vista Gardens Trl #207 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11 Vista Gardens Trl #106 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 37 Pine Arbor Ln #101 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 36 Pine Arbor Ln Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 20d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 5 Vista Palm Ln #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 528 7th Sq #102 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $3,000 | $2.74 | 20d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 441 7th Pl #441 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,250 | $2.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 462 7th Pl Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,400 | $2.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 522 7th Pl Unit 522 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,500 | $2.73 | 20d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 28 Pine Arbor Ln #103 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 16 Vista Palm Ln Vero Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 20d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 19 Pine Arbor Ln #105 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1135 3rd Ave #101 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,800 | $1.99 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1200 6th Dr Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $496 · $5,952/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-13status $77,900 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $77,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $77,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $77,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $77,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $77,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $77,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $77,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $77,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-16$81,900 Active
-
1995-12-04soldstatus $36,500
-
1979-06-01soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $185 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $647 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$462/yr (+$38/mo · 249.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,364
- − Property taxes
- −$185
- − Insurance
- −$1,187
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − HOA
- −$5,952
- − Depreciation
- −$2,266
- Taxable income
- $1,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$322
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Florida Ridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #6129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florida Ridge, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 25,629
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,522
- Household income
- $66,664
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 425.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.13%
- Current HPI
- 333.3274
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.18%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+121.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $81,900 RAIRCMLS
- 1995-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
- 1979-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $185 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…