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5503 Michael Hamburg Rd
B Composite 72.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$49,900

5503 Michael Hamburg Rd · Kampsville, IL 62065
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,434 sqft · Other · 61 Days on market
Built 1963 10,018 sqft lot $35/sqft · 52% below area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer Upper Opportunity in Michael, Calhoun County, IL! This three-bedroom, one bathroom home is ready for your vision. The property has been gutted and is awaiting a full renovation, making it a great project for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. All building materials on site will stay with the home, including a brand new electric hot water heater. With some TLC, this property has the potential to be transformed into a comfortable home or rental investment!

Key facts

  • Full renovation
  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

FULL RENOVATIONBUILDING MATERIALS ON SITEELECTRIC HOT WATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,273 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Calhoun CUSD 40 (rural): math 24% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #320 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Calhoun County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Recommended offer $46,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.34%
Cap rate
19.19%
Cash-on-cash
46.06%
DSCR
3.05
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,773
List price
$49,900
Delta
-51.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.4%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$40,209
Equity at exit
$22,437
10-year hold
IRR
51.0%
Equity multiple
7.82×
Total profit
$95,341
Equity at exit
$34,578

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62065

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,253/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$536

Break-even live

Break-even rent $490
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $564 -5% $550 +0% $536 +5% $522 +10% $508
Rent -10% $444 -5% $490 +0% $536 +5% $582 +10% $629
Rate -1.0pp $561 -0.5pp $549 base $536 +0.5pp $523 +1.0pp $510

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,900 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,900 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,900 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 39 DOM
  18. 2026-04-21
    listed $49,900 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Fixer Upper Opportunity in Michael, Calhoun County, IL! This three-bedroom, one bathroom home is ready for your vision. The property has been gutted and is awaiting a full renovation, making it a great project for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. All building materials on site will stay with the home, including a brand new electric hot water heater. With some TLC, this property has the potential to be transformed into a comfortable home or rental investment!

  19. 2025-09-22
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,253 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,253 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,022
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,253
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$6,029
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,447
After-tax cash flow
$4,988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calhoun CUSD 40
NCES district ID
1718180
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$49,447
Composite
22.01/100
National rank
#8205
State rank
#320 of 620 in IL

Livability — Kampsville

Score
54/100
State rank
#1273
US rank
#23924

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,253 · -37.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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