5503 Michael Hamburg Rd · Kampsville, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer Upper Opportunity in Michael, Calhoun County, IL! This three-bedroom, one bathroom home is ready for your vision. The property has been gutted and is awaiting a full renovation, making it a great project for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. All building materials on site will stay with the home, including a brand new electric hot water heater. With some TLC, this property has the potential to be transformed into a comfortable home or rental investment!
Key facts
- Full renovation
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,273 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Calhoun CUSD 40 (rural): math 24% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #320 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Calhoun County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.06%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,773
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -51.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $40,209
- Equity at exit
- $22,437
- IRR
- 51.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.82×
- Total profit
- $95,341
- Equity at exit
- $34,578
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62065
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,253/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $536
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $564 | -5% $550 | +0% $536 | +5% $522 | +10% $508 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $444 | -5% $490 | +0% $536 | +5% $582 | +10% $629 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $561 | -0.5pp $549 | base $536 | +0.5pp $523 | +1.0pp $510 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $49,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-04-21$49,900 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Fixer Upper Opportunity in Michael, Calhoun County, IL! This three-bedroom, one bathroom home is ready for your vision. The property has been gutted and is awaiting a full renovation, making it a great project for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. All building materials on site will stay with the home, including a brand new electric hot water heater. With some TLC, this property has the potential to be transformed into a comfortable home or rental investment!
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2025-09-22$55,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,253 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,253 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,253
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $6,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,447
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calhoun CUSD 40
- NCES district ID
- 1718180
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,447
- Composite
- 22.01/100
- National rank
- #8205
- State rank
- #320 of 620 in IL
Livability — Kampsville
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1273
- US rank
- #23924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-22 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,253 · -37.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…