640 Parson Dr · Beaumont, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4-bedroom home with over 1,600 sqft, featuring a flexible layout with a converted garage serving as the 4th bedroom, also ideal for a home office, game room, or additional living space. Original hardwood floors throughout, solid wood cabinets, gas cooking, and great natural light. Enjoy a large backyard with mature trees, covered patio, and plenty of room to make it your own. Convenient location with easy access to major roads, shopping, and more.
Key facts
- Customized style
- Large lot
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.24%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,503
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -21.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6285 Daisy Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,557 (-5%) | 10mo | $119,900 | $77 | 63 |
| 6215 Westgate Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,590 (-3%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $150 | 61 |
| 5650 Kohler St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,721 (+5%) | 8mo | $249,900 | $145 | 50 |
| 5590 Kohler St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,469 (-10%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $143 | 42 |
| 6350 Friartuck Ln | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,540 (-6%) | 20mo | $214,900 | $140 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-12,539
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,081
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77706
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,942 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$283 /mo · $3,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $369 | -5% $324 | +0% $278 | +5% $233 | +10% $188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $125 | -5% $202 | +0% $278 | +5% $355 | +10% $432 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $359 | -0.5pp $319 | base $278 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $195 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 770 Peyton Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $1,895 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 6286 Afton Ln Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2024 | $1,675 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 458 Belvedere Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 880 Lockwood Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $1,995 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 445 Longmeadow St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2048 | $2,100 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 405 Georgetown St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2191 | $1,600 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5195 Oriole Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1814 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1170 Brandywine St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $1,890 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7575 Chelsea Pl Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $2,495 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5110 Laurel St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6795 Greenwood Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 440 N Circuit Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1946 | $2,150 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 340 Maxwell Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1824 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1212 N Major Dr Unit 4820 Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1692 | $1,646 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1532 Bryant Way Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,750 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1915 Sams Way Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-16historical $1,675
-
2026-05-05price $160,000 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Owner financing available! Spacious 4-bedroom home with over 1,600 sqft, featuring a flexible layout with a converted garage serving as the 4th bedroom, also ideal for a home office, game room, or additional living space. Original hardwood floors throughout, solid wood cabinets, gas cooking, and great natural light. Enjoy a large backyard with mature trees, covered patio, and plenty of room to make it your own. Convenient location with easy access to major roads, shopping, and more.
-
2026-05-05$160,000 Active 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Owner financing available! Spacious 4-bedroom home with over 1,600 sqft, featuring a flexible layout with a converted garage serving as the 4th bedroom, also ideal for a home office, game room, or additional living space. Original hardwood floors throughout, solid wood cabinets, gas cooking, and great natural light. Enjoy a large backyard with mature trees, covered patio, and plenty of room to make it your own. Convenient location with easy access to major roads, shopping, and more.
-
2026-04-02$1,675
-
2026-02-06historical $1,675
-
2025-10-24price $170,000 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Spacious 4-bedroom home with over 1,600 sqft, featuring a flexible layout with a converted garage serving as the 4th bedroom, also ideal for a home office, game room, or additional living space. Original hardwood floors throughout, solid wood cabinets, gas cooking, and great natural light. Enjoy a large backyard with mature trees, covered patio, and plenty of room to make it your own. Convenient location with easy access to major roads, shopping, and more.
-
2025-08-27$175,000 Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
Spacious 4-bedroom home with over 1,600 sqft, featuring a flexible layout with a converted garage serving as the 4th bedroom, also ideal for a home office, game room, or additional living space. Original hardwood floors throughout, solid wood cabinets, gas cooking, and great natural light. Enjoy a large backyard with mature trees, covered patio, and plenty of room to make it your own. Convenient location with easy access to major roads, shopping, and more.
-
2025-08-23$1,675
-
2024-07-01historical $1,600
-
2024-05-16$1,600
-
2024-01-16soldstatus
-
2023-10-05historical
-
2023-09-03
-
2023-08-30historical
-
2021-10-01soldstatus
-
2021-09-30soldstatus Sold
-
2021-08-23status Pending
-
2021-08-20status Active
-
2021-06-02status Pending
-
2021-05-17historical
-
2021-05-01status Active
-
2021-04-27status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2020-12-06$110,000 Active
-
2007-02-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,400 · $283/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,400 · $283/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$3,400
- − Insurance
- −$1,598
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$230
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaumont ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809670
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,683
- Composite
- 15.43/100
- National rank
- #9316
- State rank
- #789 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beaumont
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #739
- US rank
- #13710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beaumont, TX
- County
- Jefferson County · 203,592 people
- City population
- 125,901
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,393
- Household income
- $73,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1299.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.53%
- Current HPI
- 159.4053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.66%
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-98.5% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Rental Removed $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $160,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $160,000 BBOR
- 2026-04-02 Listed for Rent $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2026-02-06 Rental Removed $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $170,000 HARMLS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2025-08-23 Listed for Rent $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2024-07-01 Rental Removed $1,600 BUILDIUM
- 2024-05-16 Listed for Rent $1,600 BUILDIUM
- 2024-01-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-10-05 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2023-09-03 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2023-08-30 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2021-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-08-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-08-20 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-06-02 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-05-17 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-05-01 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-04-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-12-06 Listed $110,000 HARMLS
- 2007-02-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,400 · -10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…