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6625 State Highway 56
A Composite 88.75
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$66,240

6625 State Highway 56 · Potsdam, NY 13676
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 303 Days on market
Built 1951 0.90 ac lot $75/sqft · 35% below area Est $101k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

For sale only. This 2 bedroom 1 bathroom ranch property is located just outside the village of Potsdam, but is still in the Highway Development District. The front portion of the lot is cleared and provides a nicely sized yard with parking and a shaded back yard. The back portion of the property is wooded. Inside, the central living room has access to the back yard and is open to the dining area that also doubles as a space for the stacked washer & dryer. The kitchen features wood cabinetry, an electric range, fridge, and sink area that overlooks the side yard. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom with a tub. This versatile property may be just what you are looking for! From the Town of Potsdam Code: The purpose of the Highway Development District is to provide for a wide variety of residential, commercial and light industrial activities along a major transportation corridor while still preserving the highway function and preventing the intermixture of incompatible uses.

Key facts

  • Nicely sized yard
  • Shaded back yard
  • Open to dining area

Tags

NICELY SIZED YARDSHADED BACK YARDWOODED BACK PORTIONCENTRAL LIVING ROOMOPEN TO DINING AREAWOOD CABINETRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.9% in Potsdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in NY, #3,908 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Potsdam Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #258 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($458 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $66k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,291 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
12.67%
Cash-on-cash
22.77%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,370
List price
$66,240
Delta
-34.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$58,601
Equity at exit
$59,674
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
9.37×
Total profit
$155,158
Equity at exit
$128,690

Cash invested: $18,547 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13676

Home prices YoY
17.7%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$347
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,758/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $766
Max offer price $66,240
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $389 -5% $371 +0% $352 +5% $333 +10% $314
Rent -10% $256 -5% $304 +0% $352 +5% $400 +10% $448
Rate -1.0pp $385 -0.5pp $369 base $352 +0.5pp $335 +1.0pp $317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,560
Closing costs
$1,987
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $66,240 Active 303 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $66,240 Active 301 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $66,240 Active 300 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $66,240 Active 299 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $66,240 Active 298 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $66,240 Active 296 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $66,240 Active 295 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $66,240 Active 292 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $66,240 Active 291 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $66,240 Active 290 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $66,240 Active 289 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $66,240 Active 286 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $66,240 Active 285 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $66,240 Active 284 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $66,240 Active 283 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    price $73,600 998-char remark
    Show marketing remark (998 chars)

    For sale only. This 2 bedroom 1 bathroom ranch property is located just outside the village of Potsdam, but is still in the Highway Development District. The front portion of the lot is cleared and provides a nicely sized yard with parking and a shaded back yard. The back portion of the property is wooded. Inside, the central living room has access to the back yard and is open to the dining area that also doubles as a space for the stacked washer & dryer. The kitchen features wood cabinetry, an electric range, fridge, and sink area that overlooks the side yard. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom with a tub. This versatile property may be just what you are looking for! From the Town of Potsdam Code: The purpose of the Highway Development District is to provide for a wide variety of residential, commercial and light industrial activities along a major transportation corridor while still preserving the highway function and preventing the intermixture of incompatible uses.

  17. 2026-02-19
    price $92,000 998-char remark
    Show marketing remark (998 chars)

    For sale only. This 2 bedroom 1 bathroom ranch property is located just outside the village of Potsdam, but is still in the Highway Development District. The front portion of the lot is cleared and provides a nicely sized yard with parking and a shaded back yard. The back portion of the property is wooded. Inside, the central living room has access to the back yard and is open to the dining area that also doubles as a space for the stacked washer & dryer. The kitchen features wood cabinetry, an electric range, fridge, and sink area that overlooks the side yard. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom with a tub. This versatile property may be just what you are looking for! From the Town of Potsdam Code: The purpose of the Highway Development District is to provide for a wide variety of residential, commercial and light industrial activities along a major transportation corridor while still preserving the highway function and preventing the intermixture of incompatible uses.

  18. 2025-08-21
    listed $102,000 Active 998-char remark
    Show marketing remark (998 chars)

    For sale only. This 2 bedroom 1 bathroom ranch property is located just outside the village of Potsdam, but is still in the Highway Development District. The front portion of the lot is cleared and provides a nicely sized yard with parking and a shaded back yard. The back portion of the property is wooded. Inside, the central living room has access to the back yard and is open to the dining area that also doubles as a space for the stacked washer & dryer. The kitchen features wood cabinetry, an electric range, fridge, and sink area that overlooks the side yard. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom with a tub. This versatile property may be just what you are looking for! From the Town of Potsdam Code: The purpose of the Highway Development District is to provide for a wide variety of residential, commercial and light industrial activities along a major transportation corridor while still preserving the highway function and preventing the intermixture of incompatible uses.

  19. 2008-10-30
    soldstatus $33,000
  20. 2006-09-08
    soldstatus $48,000
  21. 2004-04-23
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,758 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,758 · $230/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,533
− Mortgage interest
−$3,710
− Property taxes
−$2,758
− Insurance
−$331
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$1,927
Taxable income
$3,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$835
After-tax cash flow
$3,388/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Potsdam Central School District
NCES district ID
3623670
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$44,144
Composite
50.05/100
National rank
#1915
State rank
#258 of 590 in NY

Livability — Potsdam

Score
75/100
State rank
#249
US rank
#3908

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Potsdam, NY
City population
2,123
Population (ZIP)
13,408

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 48.01%
Current HPI
318.7704
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $73,600 SLCMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $92,000 SLCMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $102,000 SLCMLS
  • 2008-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 2006-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2004-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,758 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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