10-Plex
119 W 81st St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$3,500,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 10 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
119 West 81st Street - Upper West Side Townhouse Investment Opportunity A rare opportunity to acquire a beautifully maintained, 10-unit circa-1885 townhouse on a coveted tree-lined block in the heart of the Upper West Side. This classic brownstone can be delivered approximately 40% vacant and spans 5 finished floors plus an unfinished basement, offering exceptional flexibility for both end-users and investors. Located just moments from American Museum of Natural History and Central Park, and within the sought-after Upper West Side/Central Park West Historic District, the property enjoys picturesque views of surrounding historic townhouses and an unbeatable neighborhood setting. Measuri
Key facts
- Elegant entry lobby
- Flexible layout
- Historic district
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Multifamily property with 10 total units
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Home design: 5-story building; Entry level on 1st floor; Green building
- Construction: Lot dimensions approximately 102.17 x 17.00
- Exterior features: Private outdoor space (over 60 sqft); Deck; Terrace
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 13; Contains basement space
- Bathrooms: 10 full bathrooms
- Interior features: High ceilings; Smoke-free building; Decorative fireplace
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 10 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $3.50M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10k ($125k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($46k rent vs $3.50M).
- Recommended offer: $3.40M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $45,863/mo this rent would consume 303% of the median local household income ($182k/yr) (locally 3388% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $210k of equity ($24k loan paydown + $186k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $980k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$337k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.40M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $3.50M implies a 5285% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.72%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.32% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $1,775,849
- Equity at exit
- $2,051,030
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.46×
- Total profit
- $5,353,316
- Equity at exit
- $3,597,017
Cash invested: $980,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10024
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 63.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $45,863 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$18,354
- Tax from tax record
- −$6,033 /mo · $72,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,458
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$9,631
- Net cashflow
- $10,386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $12,367 | -5% $11,377 | +0% $10,386 | +5% $9,395 | +10% $8,405 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $6,763 | -5% $8,574 | +0% $10,386 | +5% $12,198 | +10% $14,009 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $12,149 | -0.5pp $11,276 | base $10,386 | +0.5pp $9,479 | +1.0pp $8,556 |
10-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10× units | 1 | 1 | $45,860 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #7 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #8 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #9 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| #10 | 1 | 1 | $4,586 |
| Total (10 units) | $45,863 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $875,000
- Closing costs
- $105,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $3,500,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $3,500,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $3,500,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $3,500,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $3,500,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $3,500,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $3,500,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $3,500,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $3,500,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $3,500,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $3,500,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $3,500,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $3,500,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$3,500,000 Active
-
1983-11-30soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $72,396 · $6,033/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $72,396 · $6,033/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $550,356
- − Mortgage interest
- −$196,054
- − Property taxes
- −$72,396
- − Insurance
- −$17,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$44,028
- − Management
- −$44,028
- − Depreciation
- −$101,818
- Taxable income
- $74,531
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$17,887
- After-tax cash flow
- $106,745/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,115
- Household income
- $181,560
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3388.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.32%
- Current HPI
- 251.6447
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.15%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+5284.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $3,500,000 RLS at REBNY
- 1983-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $72,396 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…