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1409 18th St
C Composite 59.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$180,900

1409 18th St · Bridgeport, TX 76426
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,264 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1960 8,668 sqft lot $143/sqft · 18% below area Est $220k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Bridgeport, just minutes from downtown, local schools, shopping, and dining. This well-maintained property offers great curb appeal with its welcoming front porch, metal roof, and spacious gravel driveway with plenty of parking. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable and functional layout with abundant natural light throughout the home. Situated in a convenient location near everything Bridgeport has to offer, this property provides small-town charm with easy access to everyday amenities. Book your showing today!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Front porch
  • Natural light

Tags

FRONT PORCHMETAL ROOFGRAVEL DRIVEWAYNATURAL LIGHTCONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $181k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (0.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.3% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#472 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Bridgeport ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #356 of 826 in TX (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,619 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.27%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$220,363
List price
$180,900
Delta
-17.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1809 Stevens St 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+3%) 10mo $205,000 $158 81
1512 Edison Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,304 (+3%) 2mo $180,000 $138 77
1710 Kay Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,326 (+5%) 3mo $219,900 $166 69
2007 Edgewood Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+11%) 3mo $268,000 $191 64
1001 Turkey Creek Ct 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,325 (+5%) 1mo $249,000 $188 63
1513 Lawdwin Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,309 (+4%) 1mo $144,900 $111 63
1102 20th St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-11%) 5mo $220,000 $196 59
1406 Vine St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,207 (-4%) 2mo $224,000 $186 58
1203 Thompson St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (+11%) 7mo $159,000 $114 54
1024 Newby Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,341 (+6%) 12mo $229,000 $171 51
1001 Newby Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+9%) 3mo $237,500 $172 48
1022 Wootton Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,435 (+14%) 9mo $209,500 $146 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-3,305
Equity at exit
$45,232
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$24,903
Equity at exit
$48,843

Cash invested: $50,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76426

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
340
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$949
Tax from tax record
$256 /mo · $3,071/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,620
Max offer price $180,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $241 -5% $189 +0% $138 +5% $87 +10% $36
Rent -10% $-4 -5% $67 +0% $138 +5% $209 +10% $280
Rate -1.0pp $229 -0.5pp $184 base $138 +0.5pp $91 +1.0pp $44

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,225
Closing costs
$5,427
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1305 Edison St Unit B Bridgeport, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,695 $1.35 0d 1 0.47mi
2104 2nd Ave Bridgeport, TX 4.0 2.0 1683 $1,900 $1.13 0d 1 0.57mi
314 Cobb St Bridgeport, TX 3.0 2.0 1490 $1,800 $1.21 5d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,900 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,900 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,900 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,900 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,900 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,900 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,900 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,900 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,900 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,900 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $180,900 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,900 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,900 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,900 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,900 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-05-02
    price $184,900 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Bridgeport, just minutes from downtown, local schools, shopping, and dining. This well-maintained property offers great curb appeal with its welcoming front porch, metal roof, and spacious gravel driveway with plenty of parking. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable and functional layout with abundant natural light throughout the home. Situated in a convenient location near everything Bridgeport has to offer, this property provides small-town charm with easy access to everyday amenities. Book your showing today!

  17. 2026-03-05
    listed $189,900 Active 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Bridgeport, just minutes from downtown, local schools, shopping, and dining. This well-maintained property offers great curb appeal with its welcoming front porch, metal roof, and spacious gravel driveway with plenty of parking. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable and functional layout with abundant natural light throughout the home. Situated in a convenient location near everything Bridgeport has to offer, this property provides small-town charm with easy access to everyday amenities. Book your showing today!

  18. 2021-02-24
    historical
  19. 2021-01-05
    price $150,000
  20. 2020-12-22
    listed $160,000 Active
  21. 2006-07-18
    soldstatus
  22. 1986-06-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,071 · $256/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,310 · $276/mo
Expected delta
+$240/yr (+$20/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,541
− Mortgage interest
−$10,133
− Property taxes
−$3,071
− Insurance
−$904
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,723
− Management
−$1,723
− Depreciation
−$5,263
Taxable loss
−$1,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$306
After-tax cash flow
$1,964/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport ISD
NCES district ID
4811340
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$51,866
Composite
35.51/100
National rank
#4913
State rank
#356 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
68/100
State rank
#472
US rank
#9507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, TX
County
Wise County · 49,037 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
11,632
Household income
$92,130
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
74.0

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,620 people
By 2030
75,858 · +5.9%
By 2040
83,908 · +17.2%
By 2050
90,717 · +26.7%
By 2075
107,583 · +50.2%
By 2100
114,996 · +60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 27%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.7% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -55.7pp · 2024: -70.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.0 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+69.9 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+55.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.82%
Current HPI
417.89
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $184,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $189,900 NTREIS
  • 2021-02-24 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2021-01-05 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2020-12-22 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
  • 2006-07-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-06-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,071 · -13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…