770 NW Seneca · Krebs, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Adorable, spacious, home on an enormous lot in Krebs known as "Oklahoma's Little Italy. " Home offers a great layout, three bedrooms, one and a half bath, one car size garage/workspace, and open concept. Sellers plan to pay for new roof and new HVAC at closing.
Key facts
- Great layout
- New hvac
- Enormous lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detectors; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces north; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Disposal; Electric water heater; Country-style kitchen with breakfast nook
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first floor); Additional bedrooms (first floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Tile
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (hall); One half bathroom (master)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Insulated and storm doors; Laminate countertops; Ceiling fans; Electric oven and range connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room (inside, first floor)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($827/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#294 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Krebs (town): math 25% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #99 of 270 in OK (top 37%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Krebs Public School (math 25% / reading 26%, grade F, #345 of 845 statewide, top 41%, 494 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Pittsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pittsburg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $98k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.11%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,380
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 NW Bocci Dr | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,406 (-5%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $100 | 76 |
| 720 Bocci | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,368 (-8%) | 13mo | $140,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 285 NW Miami Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,437 (-3%) | 10mo | $91,000 | $63 | 60 |
| 602 NW 8th St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+9%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $108 | 56 |
| 173 NW 3rd St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (-4%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $112 | 40 |
| 210 W Creek Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,615 (+9%) | 17mo | $206,000 | $128 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-18,354
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-10,558
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74501
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $678/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $148 | -5% $109 | +0% $69 | +5% $29 | +10% $-10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-23 | -5% $23 | +0% $69 | +5% $115 | +10% $161 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $139 | -0.5pp $104 | base $69 | +0.5pp $33 | +1.0pp $-4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$140,000 Active
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2025-09-12$140,000 Active
-
2005-11-08soldstatus $97,500
-
2005-06-27soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $678 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$582/yr (+$48/mo · 85.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$678
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,581
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$379
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Krebs
- NCES district ID
- 4016720
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,002
- Composite
- 22.09/100
- National rank
- #8185
- State rank
- #99 of 270 in OK
Livability — Krebs
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #294
- US rank
- #17457
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Krebs, OK
- City population
- 1,822
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,687
Population outlook (Pittsburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,795 people
- By 2030
- 41,901 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 40,680 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 39,952 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 38,858 · -9.2%
- By 2100
- 36,031 · -15.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 17% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pittsburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.0) · D 19.8% · R 78.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.6pp · 2024: -59.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.0 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+38.3 2008: R+36.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.14%
- Current HPI
- 212.9867
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+180.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-12 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2005-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
- 2005-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $678 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…