7605 E Obsidian · California City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The bones are here — this is a true fixer with serious potential. Discover wide-open desert living on 2 usable acres in Cantil! This 1,700 sq ft single-story home, built in 1958, offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a spacious layout ready for renovation. If you’ve been looking for room to spread out, park equipment, add outbuildings, or simply enjoy big desert skies, this property delivers. The home features a classic mid-century structure with an attached 1-car garage, fireplace, and generous living areas. Large windows bring in natural light and frame the surrounding High Desert landscape. While the property needs updating and improvements, the layout and footprint provide a strong starting point for your vision. The 2-acre parcel offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. The seller will be clearing the lot around the house, improving visibility and accessibility. This will open up the immediate yard area and allow buyers to better envision outdoor use, parking, and future improvements. Located in the rural community of Cantil, just outside California City and near the foothills of the High Sierra, this property offers peaceful desert living with convenient access to Neuralia Road and Highway 14. Whether you’re looking for a renovation project, investment opportunity, desert getaway, or property with room to expand, this is a solid opportunity with upside potential. Bring your tools, your contractor, and your imagination — and make this High Desert property your own!
Key facts
- Outdoor use
- Usable acres
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 5.2% in California City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 44/100 on livability (#1,329 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mojave Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #411 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hacienda Elementary (528 students, 92% FRL); California City Middle (501 students, 87% FRL); California City High (655 students, 85% FRL).
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $79k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 9→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.41%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $300,054
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -73.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $39,326
- Equity at exit
- $35,522
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.44×
- Total profit
- $98,177
- Equity at exit
- $54,743
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93519
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $437/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $468
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $513 | -5% $491 | +0% $468 | +5% $446 | +10% $424 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $373 | -5% $421 | +0% $468 | +5% $516 | +10% $564 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $508 | -0.5pp $488 | base $468 | +0.5pp $448 | +1.0pp $427 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $79,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-03-15price $120,000 1518-char remark
Show marketing remark (1518 chars)
The bones are here — this is a true fixer with serious potential. Discover wide-open desert living on 2 usable acres in Cantil! This 1,700 sq ft single-story home, built in 1958, offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a spacious layout ready for renovation. If you’ve been looking for room to spread out, park equipment, add outbuildings, or simply enjoy big desert skies, this property delivers. The home features a classic mid-century structure with an attached 1-car garage, fireplace, and generous living areas. Large windows bring in natural light and frame the surrounding High Desert landscape. While the property needs updating and improvements, the layout and footprint provide a strong starting point for your vision. The 2-acre parcel offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. The seller will be clearing the lot around the house, improving visibility and accessibility. This will open up the immediate yard area and allow buyers to better envision outdoor use, parking, and future improvements. Located in the rural community of Cantil, just outside California City and near the foothills of the High Sierra, this property offers peaceful desert living with convenient access to Neuralia Road and Highway 14. Whether you’re looking for a renovation project, investment opportunity, desert getaway, or property with room to expand, this is a solid opportunity with upside potential. Bring your tools, your contractor, and your imagination — and make this High Desert property your own!
-
2026-02-20$135,000 Active 1518-char remark
Show marketing remark (1518 chars)
The bones are here — this is a true fixer with serious potential. Discover wide-open desert living on 2 usable acres in Cantil! This 1,700 sq ft single-story home, built in 1958, offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a spacious layout ready for renovation. If you’ve been looking for room to spread out, park equipment, add outbuildings, or simply enjoy big desert skies, this property delivers. The home features a classic mid-century structure with an attached 1-car garage, fireplace, and generous living areas. Large windows bring in natural light and frame the surrounding High Desert landscape. While the property needs updating and improvements, the layout and footprint provide a strong starting point for your vision. The 2-acre parcel offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. The seller will be clearing the lot around the house, improving visibility and accessibility. This will open up the immediate yard area and allow buyers to better envision outdoor use, parking, and future improvements. Located in the rural community of Cantil, just outside California City and near the foothills of the High Sierra, this property offers peaceful desert living with convenient access to Neuralia Road and Highway 14. Whether you’re looking for a renovation project, investment opportunity, desert getaway, or property with room to expand, this is a solid opportunity with upside potential. Bring your tools, your contractor, and your imagination — and make this High Desert property your own!
-
1996-09-12soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $437 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $600 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$163/yr (+$14/mo · 37.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 9 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$437
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,157
- − Management
- −$1,157
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $4,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,102
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mojave Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625230
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,017
- Composite
- 21.4/100
- National rank
- #8350
- State rank
- #411 of 517 in CA
Livability — California City
- Score
- 44/100
- State rank
- #1329
- US rank
- #26753
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+313.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $120,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $135,000 CRMLS
- 1996-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $437 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…