🏗️ New Construction
Plymouth IV G - Garden Lot Plan · Youngsville, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
- Open Floor Plan - Three Bedroom, Two Baths - Two Car Garage - Brick & Vinyl Exterior - Walk-In Master Closet - Walk-In Pantry - Optional Fireplace
Key facts
- Upgraded cabinetry
- Under mount sinks
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-782/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Youngsville Middle School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #37 of 218 statewide, top 18%, 646 students, 49% FRL); O. Comeaux High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #86 of 265 statewide, top 33%, 1,098 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 811 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 557 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 557 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.07%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $261,801
- List price
- $229,990
- Delta
- -12.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245 Tatum Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 2mo | $230,337 | $158 | 92 |
| 229 Tatum Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $158 | 91 |
| 1116 Briar Patch | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+1%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $144 | 89 |
| 134 Ridley Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (+14%) | 1mo | $256,098 | $155 | 73 |
| 237 Tatum Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (+12%) | 1mo | $242,778 | $149 | 72 |
| 208 Tatum Ln | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+8%) | 0mo | $239,790 | $153 | 72 |
| 240 Tatum Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (+12%) | 1mo | $244,348 | $150 | 71 |
| 214 Tatum Ln | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+8%) | 3mo | $241,367 | $154 | 70 |
| 219 Tatum Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (+12%) | 3mo | $241,448 | $148 | 70 |
| 233 Tatum Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,659 (+14%) | 0mo | $248,061 | $150 | 70 |
| 206 Tatum Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (+12%) | 2mo | $241,683 | $148 | 68 |
| 210 Tatum Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,659 (+14%) | 2mo | $250,752 | $151 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-49,497
- Equity at exit
- $39,035
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-60,125
- Equity at exit
- $22,636
Cash invested: $73,304 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 24 active · 23 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.6 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $251,990 ($153/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 557 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +17.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 70592
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 811
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,208 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,373
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$327 /mo · $3,927/yr
- Insurance
- −$109
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $-65
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $116 | -5% $25 | +0% $-65 | +5% $-156 | +10% $-246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-240 | -5% $-152 | +0% $-65 | +5% $22 | +10% $109 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $67 | -0.5pp $1 | base $-65 | +0.5pp $-133 | +1.0pp $-202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,450
- Closing costs
- $7,854
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Ridley Ln Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 62d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 4400 Chemin Metairie Pkwy Youngsville, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,330 | $1.94 | 62d | 32 | 0.31mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $229,990 Active 557 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $229,990 Active 556 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $229,990 Active 555 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $229,990 Active 554 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $229,990 Active 553 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $229,990 Active 552 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $229,990 Active 549 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $229,990 Active 548 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $229,990 Active 547 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $229,990 Active 545 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $229,990 Active 541 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $229,990 Active 540 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $229,990 Active 539 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $229,990 Active 536 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $229,990 Active 534 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $229,990 Active 533 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $229,990 Active 532 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $229,990 Active 531 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $229,990 Active 530 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $229,990 Active 529 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $229,990 Active 528 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $229,990 Active 527 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $229,990 Active 526 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $229,990 Active 525 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $229,990 Active 524 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $229,990 Active 523 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $229,990 Active 522 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $229,990 Active 521 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $229,990 Active 520 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $229,990 Active 519 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $229,990 Active 518 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $229,990 Active 517 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $229,990 Active 516 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $229,990 Active 515 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $229,990 Active 514 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $229,990 Active 512 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $229,990 Active 510 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $229,990 Active 509 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $229,990 Active 506 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $229,990 Active 505 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $229,990 Active 504 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $229,990 Active 503 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $229,990 Active 501 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $229,990 Active 500 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $229,990 Active 498 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $229,990 Active 497 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $229,990 Active 496 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $229,990 Active 495 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $229,990 Active 492 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $229,990 Active 491 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,665
- − Property taxes
- −$3,927
- − Insurance
- −$1,309
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,119
- − Management
- −$2,119
- − Depreciation
- −$7,616
- Taxable loss
- −$5,263
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,263
- After-tax cash flow
- $482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can further enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace landscaping with more drought-resistant plants — Improves curb appeal and reduces maintenance costs ↑
- Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and adds modern amenities ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Youngsville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngsville, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 280,930 people
- City population
- 32,167
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,167
- Household income
- $93,204
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 24% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.24%
- Current HPI
- 135.2825
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+2.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $229,990 Zillow
- 2025-01-28 Listed $224,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…