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410 Elks Dr
B Composite 73.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$39,000

410 Elks Dr · San Antonio, TX 78211
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 714 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1945 5,314 sqft lot $55/sqft · 68% below area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Prime investment opportunity in Harlandale on San Antonio's Southside! This 2-bed, 1-bath home offers 714 sq ft on a large lot with room to expand. Located next door to a recently flipped property, this is the perfect chance to renovate, rebuild, or hold as a rental. Bring your vision and bring this one back to life! LOT MEASURES 50X160 (5300SQFT)

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • 5,314 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945

Tags

LARGE LOTRECENTLY FLIPPED PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Not indicated eligible for Down Payment Resource

Exterior

  • Utilities: City water/sewer
  • Home design: Pre-owned home; Located in HARLANDALE subdivision
  • Construction: Approximately 81 years old; Roof: Not applicable
  • Exterior features: Wood and siding exterior; Neighborhood park/playground

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (8 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level with outside access (12 x 14); Second bedroom (8 x 10)
  • Flooring: Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: One living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Harlandale ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #748 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: V M Adams El (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,974 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 591 students, 95% FRL); Harlandale H S (math 17% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,348 of 1,632 statewide, top 83%, 1,664 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $95 of equity ($270 loan paydown + $-175 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.70%
Cap rate
23.62%
Cash-on-cash
61.87%
DSCR
3.75
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,805
List price
$39,000
Delta
-68.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1243 W Harlan Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 672 (-6%) 17mo $50,000 $74 68
1556 Flanders 0.39mi 2/1.0 657 (-8%) 14mo $125,400 $191 57
1254 Chalmers Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 638 (-11%) 18mo $75,000 $118 55
726 Southcross 0.56mi 2/1.0 770 (+8%) 11mo $106,999 $139 52
303 Oconee 0.65mi 2/1.0 770 (+8%) 6mo $75,000 $97 52
214 Eskimo St 0.75mi 2/1.0 720 (+1%) 19mo $75,000 $104 48
858 Division Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 818 (+15%) 20mo $85,000 $104 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.3%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$33,916
Equity at exit
$10,456
10-year hold
IRR
65.7%
Equity multiple
8.32×
Total profit
$79,982
Equity at exit
$11,896

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78211

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,054 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $585/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $341
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1222 Brighton Ave Unit B San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 725 $999 $1.38 17d 1 0.17mi
1202 Division Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 550 $1,100 $2.00 24d 1 0.39mi
620 Linden Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 733 $1,200 $1.64 43d 1 0.55mi
834 Division Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 24d 1 0.64mi
416 Collingsworth Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 570 $1,100 $1.93 43d 1 1.01mi
515 Humble Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $810 $1.16 43d 1 1.18mi
806 McCauley Blvd San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 670 $895 $1.34 43d 1 1.22mi
103 Stanley Ct Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 450 $900 $2.00 20d 1 1.31mi
107 Stanley Ct Apt 4 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 375 $825 $2.20 4d 1 1.31mi
107 Stanley Ct Apt 3 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 575 $950 $1.65 20d 1 1.31mi
520 Prado St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 620 $799 $1.29 43d 1 1.38mi
675 W Pyron Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 672 $1,150 $1.71 24d 1 1.42mi
2238 Interstate 35 Access Rd Unit 35 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 638 $850 $1.33 43d 1 1.42mi
350 Barrett Pl San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 616 $1,225 $1.99 4d 1 1.43mi
330 Barrett Pl San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 400 $900 $2.25 12d 1 1.43mi
165 Division Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 617 $700 $1.13 22d 1 1.49mi
165 Division Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 617 $725 $1.18 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $39,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Price Change 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,000 Price Change 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,000 Price Change 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,000 Price Change 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,000 Price Change 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,000 Price Change 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $43,000 New 351-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,646
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$585
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,012
− Management
−$1,012
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$6,523
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,566
After-tax cash flow
$5,190/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlandale ISD
NCES district ID
4822470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,850
Composite
19.25/100
National rank
#8806
State rank
#748 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
30,857
Household income
$55,436
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 30% White 5% Black 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
35% English-only · Spanish 65%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.45%
Current HPI
241.1709
Rent YoY
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $39,000 LERA
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $43,000 LERA

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,051 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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