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5318 Baldwin Blvd
D+ Composite 48.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$18,000

5318 Baldwin Blvd · Flint, MI 48505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1951 5,663 sqft lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

tenants right

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
  • Cap rate 51.5% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $605 of equity ($124 loan paydown + $481 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 15 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $18,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.64%
Cap rate
51.46%
Cash-on-cash
161.29%
DSCR
8.18
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$49,608
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5913 Glenn Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,272 (0%) 4mo $35,000 $28 79
5705 Winthrop Blvd 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,375 (+8%) 4mo $55,000 $40 73
5714 Suburban Ct 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,426 (+12%) 3mo $63,500 $45 65
609 W Marengo Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,412 (+11%) 7mo $55,000 $39 62
5709 Suburban Ct 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,440 (+13%) 8mo $74,900 $52 59
1323 Chatham Dr 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,374 (+8%) 2mo $51,000 $37 57
1909 Basil Ln 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-6%) 8mo $21,025 $18 56
306 W Bishop Ave 0.56mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,217 (-4%) 5mo $50,000 $41 56
605 W Foss Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,387 (+9%) 2mo $6,900 $5 53
606 Stewart Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+8%) 3mo $5,000 $4 53
6611 Sally Ct 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-12%) 2mo $21,420 $19 48
6610 Cranwood Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,452 (+14%) 5mo $78,000 $54 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.93×
Total profit
$45,021
Equity at exit
$7,765
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.88×
Total profit
$100,216
Equity at exit
$11,718

Cash invested: $5,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48505

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,015 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$94
Tax est. 1.5%
$22 /mo · $270/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$677

Break-even live

Break-even rent $157
Max offer price $18,000
Occupancy floor 28%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,500
Closing costs
$540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5413 DuPont St Flint, MI 4.0 1.5 1038 $900 $0.87 21d 1 0.12mi
5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $899 $0.60 14d 1 0.29mi
411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,072 $0.79 14d 1 0.40mi
100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI 2.0 1.5 1159 $947 $0.82 14d 1 0.50mi
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 940 $1,000 $1.06 14d 1 0.63mi
6802 DuPont St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 21d 1 0.78mi
514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $925 $1.03 14d 1 0.82mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1011 $925 $0.91 21d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 46 events

  1. 2025-06-27
    status Pending 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  2. 2025-06-27
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  3. 2025-03-25
    historical
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  4. 2025-03-25
    historical 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  5. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  6. 2024-12-17
    status Pending 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  7. 2022-09-23
    status Pending
  8. 2021-12-22
    soldstatus $17,000 Sold 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  9. 2021-12-22
    soldstatus $17,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  10. 2021-12-22
    soldstatus $17,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  11. 2021-12-21
    historical
  12. 2021-12-18
    status Pending
  13. 2021-12-18
    status Pending
  14. 2021-12-15
    status Pending 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  15. 2021-12-15
    listed $18,000 Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  16. 2021-12-15
    historical
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  17. 2021-12-15
    listed $18,000
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  18. 2021-12-15
    historical
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  19. 2021-12-15
    listed $18,000
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.

  20. 2021-11-24
    price $18,000
  21. 2021-11-24
    price $18,000
  22. 2021-10-11
    listed $25,000 Active
  23. 2021-10-11
    listed $25,000 Active
  24. 2021-09-09
    status Pending
  25. 2021-09-07
    historical 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  26. 2021-08-13
    listed $24,500 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  27. 2021-08-13
    listed $24,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    tenants right

  28. 2009-10-20
    historical
  29. 2009-10-20
    historical
  30. 2009-09-15
    listed $45,900
  31. 2009-09-15
    listed $45,900
  32. 2009-01-08
    soldstatus $10,500
  33. 2009-01-08
    soldstatus $10,500
  34. 2008-10-30
    historical
  35. 2008-06-06
    listed $10,800
  36. 2008-06-06
    listed $10,800
  37. 2001-07-11
    soldstatus $55,000
  38. 2001-07-11
    soldstatus $55,000
  39. 2001-05-14
    historical
  40. 2001-03-01
    listed $57,900
  41. 2001-03-01
    listed $57,900
  42. 2001-02-01
    soldstatus $25,000
  43. 2001-02-01
    soldstatus $25,000
  44. 2001-01-10
    historical
  45. 2000-10-23
    listed $25,000
  46. 2000-10-23
    listed $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,180
− Mortgage interest
−$1,008
− Property taxes
−$270
− Insurance
−$90
− Repairs & maintenance
−$974
− Management
−$974
− Depreciation
−$524
Taxable income
$8,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,001
After-tax cash flow
$6,128/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,032
Household income
$33,283
Rent vs Own
51.7% rent · 48.3% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.67%
Current HPI
202.4878
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.0% since first listed
46 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-09-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-15 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-15 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-15 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-24 Price Changed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-24 Price Changed $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-11 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-11 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-13 Listed $24,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-08-13 Listed $24,500 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-09-15 Listed $45,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-09-15 Listed $45,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-01-08 Sold (MLS) $10,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-01-08 Sold (MLS) $10,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-10-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-06 Listed $10,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-06 Listed $10,800 REALCOMP
  • 2001-07-11 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-07-11 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-05-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-03-01 Listed $57,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-03-01 Listed $57,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-02-01 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-02-01 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-01-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-10-23 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-10-23 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $998 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…