5318 Baldwin Blvd · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$18,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
tenants right
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
- Cap rate 51.5% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $605 of equity ($124 loan paydown + $481 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 15 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 51.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 161.29%
- DSCR
- 8.18
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $49,608
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5913 Glenn Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,272 (0%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $28 | 79 |
| 5705 Winthrop Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,375 (+8%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $40 | 73 |
| 5714 Suburban Ct | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,426 (+12%) | 3mo | $63,500 | $45 | 65 |
| 609 W Marengo Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,412 (+11%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $39 | 62 |
| 5709 Suburban Ct | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+13%) | 8mo | $74,900 | $52 | 59 |
| 1323 Chatham Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,374 (+8%) | 2mo | $51,000 | $37 | 57 |
| 1909 Basil Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-6%) | 8mo | $21,025 | $18 | 56 |
| 306 W Bishop Ave | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,217 (-4%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $41 | 56 |
| 605 W Foss Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,387 (+9%) | 2mo | $6,900 | $5 | 53 |
| 606 Stewart Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (+8%) | 3mo | $5,000 | $4 | 53 |
| 6611 Sally Ct | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-12%) | 2mo | $21,420 | $19 | 48 |
| 6610 Cranwood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+14%) | 5mo | $78,000 | $54 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.93×
- Total profit
- $45,021
- Equity at exit
- $7,765
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.88×
- Total profit
- $100,216
- Equity at exit
- $11,718
Cash invested: $5,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48505
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,015 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$94
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$22 /mo · $270/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $677
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,500
- Closing costs
- $540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5413 DuPont St Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1038 | $900 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $899 | $0.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,072 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $947 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6802 DuPont St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $925 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 711 W Dewey St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $925 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 46 events
-
2025-06-27status Pending 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
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2025-06-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
-
2025-03-25historical
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
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2025-03-25historical 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
-
2024-12-17status Pending
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
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2024-12-17status Pending 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
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2022-09-23status Pending
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2021-12-22soldstatus $17,000 Sold 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
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2021-12-22soldstatus $17,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
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2021-12-22soldstatus $17,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
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2021-12-21historical
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2021-12-18status Pending
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2021-12-18status Pending
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2021-12-15status Pending 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
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2021-12-15$18,000 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
-
2021-12-15historical
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
-
2021-12-15$18,000
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
-
2021-12-15historical
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
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2021-12-15$18,000
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Why rent when you can OWN this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch styled home! This property has been very well maintained for years; make this your very own home or a nice addition to your real estate portfolio! Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and expressways. All licensed agents must be present with buyer at showings. Please Do Not Disturb Tenants.
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2021-11-24price $18,000
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2021-11-24price $18,000
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2021-10-11$25,000 Active
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2021-10-11$25,000 Active
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2021-09-09status Pending
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2021-09-07historical 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
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2021-08-13$24,500 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
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2021-08-13$24,500 Active
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
tenants right
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2009-10-20historical
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2009-10-20historical
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2009-09-15$45,900
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2009-09-15$45,900
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2009-01-08soldstatus $10,500
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2009-01-08soldstatus $10,500
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2008-10-30historical
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2008-06-06$10,800
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2008-06-06$10,800
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2001-07-11soldstatus $55,000
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2001-07-11soldstatus $55,000
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2001-05-14historical
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2001-03-01$57,900
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2001-03-01$57,900
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2001-02-01soldstatus $25,000
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2001-02-01soldstatus $25,000
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2001-01-10historical
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2000-10-23$25,000
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2000-10-23$25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,008
- − Property taxes
- −$270
- − Insurance
- −$90
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$974
- − Management
- −$974
- − Depreciation
- −$524
- Taxable income
- $8,339
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,001
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,128/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,032
- Household income
- $33,283
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Current HPI
- 202.4878
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-32.0% since first listed46 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-23 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-12-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-15 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-15 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-15 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-24 Price Changed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-24 Price Changed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-11 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-11 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-09-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-08-13 Listed $24,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-08-13 Listed $24,500 REALCOMP
- 2009-10-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-09-15 Listed $45,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-09-15 Listed $45,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-01-08 Sold (MLS) $10,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-01-08 Sold (MLS) $10,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-10-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-06-06 Listed $10,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-06-06 Listed $10,800 REALCOMP
- 2001-07-11 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-07-11 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-05-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-03-01 Listed $57,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-03-01 Listed $57,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-02-01 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-02-01 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-01-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-10-23 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-10-23 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $998 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…