Duplex
642 Pennsylvania Ave · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 2-unit property in York City offering strong income potential and flexibility. The first-floor unit features an updated eat-in kitchen with tile flooring, cherry cabinets, and a gas stove, along with 1 bedroom and 1 full bath. The second-floor unit offers a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, an eat-in kitchen with ceramic flooring, gas stove, and in-unit laundry. Projected rents are approximately $900 for the first floor and $1,500 for the second floor, based on the landlord covering utilities. Central A/C adds additional tenant appeal and comfort. These units are not currently rented. Whether you’re looking to expand your investment portfolio or occupy o
Key facts
- 3,202 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two total residential units with two vacant units; Improvement assessed separately from land
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Fee simple ownership; Building not winterized
- Construction: Brick exterior; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Semi-detached building; Brick construction; Stone foundation; Other structures above and below grade; No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Central heating; Central air conditioning; Heating and hot water fueled by natural gas
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Property in very good condition; Two total units in the building
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $301/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $205k implies a 1223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.58%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,988
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 642 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.00mi | 4/— | 2,292 (0%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $89 | 100 |
| 658 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 2,292 (0%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $92 | 98 |
| 646 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.01mi | 3/— (-1) | 2,292 (0%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $92 | 94 |
| 730 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.12mi | 4/— | 2,292 (0%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $92 | 93 |
| 707 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.08mi | 3/— (-1) | 2,348 (+2%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $89 | 86 |
| 725 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.11mi | 4/— | 2,556 (+12%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $86 | 74 |
| 743 Madison Ave | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 2,555 (+12%) | 1mo | $229,000 | $90 | 74 |
| 700 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.06mi | 3/— (-1) | 2,601 (+14%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $75 | 69 |
| 632 Roosevelt Ave | 0.27mi | 3/— (-1) | 2,058 (-10%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 137 N West St | 0.30mi | 5/— (+1) | 2,076 (-9%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 611 W King St | 0.52mi | 4/— | 2,146 (-6%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 521 W Philadelphia St | 0.43mi | 4/— | 2,046 (-11%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $83 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $14,526
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $103,431
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17404
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,656 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$336 /mo · $4,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $602
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $718 | -5% $660 | +0% $602 | +5% $544 | +10% $486 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $497 | +0% $602 | +5% $707 | +10% $811 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $705 | -0.5pp $654 | base $602 | +0.5pp $548 | +1.0pp $494 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,278 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,378 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,656 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645 W Philadelphia St Unit 2ND FLOOR York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2124 | $1,100 | $0.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 702 W Philadelphia St Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2154 | $1,375 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 231 Roosevelt Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1584 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 121 S Belvidere Ave Unit 121 York, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1846 | $1,450 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 709 W Princess St York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1829 | $1,425 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 330 Smyser St York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1634 | $1,425 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 925 W College Ave York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1660 | $1,425 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 537 W Jackson St York, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 213 Kurtz Ave York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1921 | $1,850 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 119 W Jackson St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-27price $205,000
-
2026-04-27status Active
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-17$220,000 Active
-
2026-04-15historical $220,000
-
1983-01-01soldstatus $15,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,034 · $336/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,034 · $336/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$4,034
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,550
- − Management
- −$2,550
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable income
- $4,267
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,024
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,374
- Household income
- $78,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 722.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 237.5683
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.38%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+1222.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-15 Coming Soon $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1983-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,034 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…