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642 Pennsylvania Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 63.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

642 Pennsylvania Ave · York, PA 17404
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,292 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1900 3,202 sqft lot Est $204k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 2-unit property in York City offering strong income potential and flexibility. The first-floor unit features an updated eat-in kitchen with tile flooring, cherry cabinets, and a gas stove, along with 1 bedroom and 1 full bath. The second-floor unit offers a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, an eat-in kitchen with ceramic flooring, gas stove, and in-unit laundry. Projected rents are approximately $900 for the first floor and $1,500 for the second floor, based on the landlord covering utilities. Central A/C adds additional tenant appeal and comfort. These units are not currently rented. Whether you’re looking to expand your investment portfolio or occupy o

Key facts

  • 3,202 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two total residential units with two vacant units; Improvement assessed separately from land

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Fee simple ownership; Building not winterized
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Semi-detached building; Brick construction; Stone foundation; Other structures above and below grade; No tidal water on the lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Central heating; Central air conditioning; Heating and hot water fueled by natural gas
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Property in very good condition; Two total units in the building

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $301/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
  • York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $205k implies a 1223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
9.81%
Cash-on-cash
12.58%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,988
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
642 Pennsylvania Ave 0.00mi 4/— 2,292 (0%) 1mo $205,000 $89 100
658 Pennsylvania Ave 0.03mi 4/2.0 2,292 (0%) 0mo $210,000 $92 98
646 Pennsylvania Ave 0.01mi 3/— (-1) 2,292 (0%) 1mo $210,000 $92 94
730 Pennsylvania Ave 0.12mi 4/— 2,292 (0%) 1mo $210,000 $92 93
707 Pennsylvania Ave 0.08mi 3/— (-1) 2,348 (+2%) 1mo $210,000 $89 86
725 Pennsylvania Ave 0.11mi 4/— 2,556 (+12%) 1mo $220,000 $86 74
743 Madison Ave 0.13mi 4/2.0 2,555 (+12%) 1mo $229,000 $90 74
700 Pennsylvania Ave 0.06mi 3/— (-1) 2,601 (+14%) 0mo $195,000 $75 69
632 Roosevelt Ave 0.27mi 3/— (-1) 2,058 (-10%) 0mo $215,000 $104 65
137 N West St 0.30mi 5/— (+1) 2,076 (-9%) 1mo $155,000 $75 64
611 W King St 0.52mi 4/— 2,146 (-6%) 1mo $160,000 $75 64
521 W Philadelphia St 0.43mi 4/— 2,046 (-11%) 0mo $170,000 $83 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$14,526
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$103,431
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17404

Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,656 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$336 /mo · $4,034/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$558
Net cashflow
$602

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,894
Max offer price $205,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $718 -5% $660 +0% $602 +5% $544 +10% $486
Rent -10% $392 -5% $497 +0% $602 +5% $707 +10% $811
Rate -1.0pp $705 -0.5pp $654 base $602 +0.5pp $548 +1.0pp $494

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,278
1× unit 3 1 $1,378
Total (2 units) $2,656

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
645 W Philadelphia St Unit 2ND FLOOR York, PA 3.0 1.0 2124 $1,100 $0.52 44d 1 0.30mi
702 W Philadelphia St Unit 2 York, PA 3.0 1.0 2154 $1,375 $0.64 44d 1 0.30mi
231 Roosevelt Ave York, PA 3.0 1.5 1584 $1,750 $1.10 14d 1 0.44mi
121 S Belvidere Ave Unit 121 York, PA 5.0 1.5 1846 $1,450 $0.79 44d 1 0.53mi
709 W Princess St York, PA 5.0 1.0 1829 $1,425 $0.78 44d 1 0.59mi
330 Smyser St York, PA 5.0 1.0 1634 $1,425 $0.87 44d 1 0.64mi
925 W College Ave York, PA 4.0 1.0 1660 $1,425 $0.86 14d 1 0.71mi
537 W Jackson St York, PA 3.0 2.0 1795 $1,795 $1.00 14d 1 1.18mi
213 Kurtz Ave York, PA 5.0 1.0 1921 $1,850 $0.96 14d 1 1.26mi
119 W Jackson St York, PA 4.0 1.0 1800 $1,395 $0.78 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    price $205,000
  3. 2026-04-27
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-18
    status Pending
  5. 2026-04-17
    listed $220,000 Active
  6. 2026-04-15
    historical $220,000
  7. 1983-01-01
    soldstatus $15,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,034 · $336/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,034 · $336/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,872
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$4,034
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,550
− Management
−$2,550
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable income
$4,267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,024
After-tax cash flow
$6,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
York City SD
NCES district ID
4226820
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$29,470
Composite
7.61/100
National rank
#9943
State rank
#534 of 539 in PA

Livability — York

Score
75/100
State rank
#427
US rank
#3987

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
York, PA
County
York County · 278,806 people
City population
184,764
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
Population (ZIP)
39,374
Household income
$78,506
Rent vs Own
28.9% rent · 71.1% own
Severe rent burden
722.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 12% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.44%
Current HPI
237.5683
Rent YoY
▲ 6.38%
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1222.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Coming Soon $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1983-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,034 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…