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11662 W N Ham Ln #29
C- Composite 53.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

11662 W N Ham Ln #29 · Lodi, CA 95242
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 204 Days on market
Built 1969 Excellent condition $153/sqft · 118% above area ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Large closet
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTER TOPSNEW CABINETRYBREAKFAST NOOKLARGE CLOSETLARGE MASTER BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.9% in Lodi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#730 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lodi Unified (urban): math 24% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #325 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ellerth E. Larson Elementary (math 42% / reading 48%, grade D-, #490 of 1,571 statewide, top 31%, 858 students, 59% FRL); Lodi Middle (math 19% / reading 33%, grade F, #256 of 498 statewide, top 52%, 898 students, 80% FRL); Tokay High (math 31% / reading 49%, grade F, #514 of 1,170 statewide, top 44%, 2,059 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 100% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $220k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.49%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,125
List price
$220,000
Delta
117.55%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11662 N Ham Ln #39 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,296 (-10%) 13mo $105,000 $81 73
11662 N Ham Ln #69 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 21mo $160,000 $128 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-14,781
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$22,512
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95242

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,281 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,925
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $434 -5% $358 +0% $282 +5% $206 +10% $130
Rent -10% $102 -5% $192 +0% $282 +5% $372 +10% $462
Rate -1.0pp $393 -0.5pp $338 base $282 +0.5pp $225 +1.0pp $167

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 204 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 201 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 200 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 199 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 198 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $220,000 Active 196 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $220,000 Active 193 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 192 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 191 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 190 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $220,000 Active 187 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 186 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 185 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 184 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 183 DOM
  16. 2023-11-15
    soldstatus $70,000 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  17. 2023-11-15
    soldstatus $70,000 Sold 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  18. 2023-10-16
    status Pending (Do Not Show) 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  19. 2023-10-07
    status Active 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  20. 2023-09-14
    historical Contingent 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  21. 2023-08-27
    price $89,000 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  22. 2023-07-31
    price $99,000 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  23. 2023-07-21
    listed $110,000 Active 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

  24. 2023-07-21
    listed $89,000 1019-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1019 chars)

    Beautifully maintained in a cozy country setting! You'll love the awesome floorplan and the flexibility to meet all of your needs with its huge living room, dining room and separate family room that flow around the galley style kitchen. Light and bright throughout, neutral colors, many features including: updated Heat & A/C, installed about 2 years ago, dual pane windows, super cute kitchen with lots of space & storage, gas oven/range, refrigerator and microwave are all included. Laundry room, washer & dryer are included, extra freezer too! Inviting front porch, big back yard, 2 sheds, back porch. Carport will easily fit two cars. Settled in lovely Il Vineto, a clean, quiet, 55+ park, with sparkling pool, BBQ area, clubhouse & pool tables. Close to Costco, Sprouts, Micke Grove Park with golf & zoo & Wineries! Camanche Lake, Historic Sutter Creek & Jackson, the delta or Sky River Casino all less than an hours drive! Something for everyone plus an amazing price!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,376
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,300
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,190
− Management
−$2,190
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$128
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$31
After-tax cash flow
$3,413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This manufactured home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, including new flooring, exterior paint, and landscaping. It is move-in ready and offers a good return on investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and partial fence — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring — Improves aesthetics and adds value
  • Both New exterior paint — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and partial fence — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring — Improves aesthetics and adds value
  • Both New exterior paint — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lodi Unified
NCES district ID
0622230
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$57,165
Composite
26.84/100
National rank
#7108
State rank
#325 of 517 in CA

Livability — Lodi

Score
58/100
State rank
#730
US rank
#21523

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
City population
78,944
Metro
Stockton, CA
Population (ZIP)
28,427
Household income
$104,721
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
778.0

Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
796,965 people
By 2030
828,849 · +4.0%
By 2040
885,611 · +11.1%
By 2050
929,798 · +16.7%
By 2075
994,578 · +24.8%
By 2100
971,291 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 17% Asian 7% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -488.67%
Current HPI
265.9974
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Stockton, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2023-11-15 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MLSListings
  • 2023-11-15 Sold (MLS) $70,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2023-10-16 Pending MLSListings
  • 2023-10-07 Relisted MLSListings
  • 2023-09-14 Contingent MLSListings
  • 2023-08-27 Price Changed $89,000 MLSListings
  • 2023-07-31 Price Changed $99,000 MLSListings
  • 2023-07-21 Listed $110,000 MLSListings
  • 2023-07-21 Listed $89,000 San Francisco MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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