2081 Bayou Plaquemine Rd · Rayne, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious home on beautiful 1.48 m/l acre lot with mature trees and quiet surroundings. this spacious 2 bed 2 bath residence features generous layout, fireplace, and screened porch. With TLC and personalization this will be a beautiful family home or an investor-worthy project.
Key facts
- 1.48 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 27 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-space carport
- Utilities: Gas service: Entergy; Electric: City; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fixer condition
- Construction: Brick veneer and brick construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered patio/porch; Shed(s), storage, workshop; Acreage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate shower; Formica counters; Window treatments; 1 fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $681 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 6.0% in Rayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in LA, #3,895 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Acadia Parish (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in LA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: North Crowley Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #307 of 646 statewide, top 49%, 310 students, 89% FRL); Crowley Middle School (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #189 of 218 statewide, top 87%, 449 students, 83% FRL); Crowley High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 265 statewide, top 62%, 536 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 62% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Acadia Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Acadia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.39%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $30,692
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $82,484
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70578
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,470 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $468/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $681
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $725 | -5% $703 | +0% $681 | +5% $658 | +10% $636 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $564 | -5% $623 | +0% $681 | +5% $739 | +10% $797 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $720 | -0.5pp $700 | base $681 | +0.5pp $660 | +1.0pp $640 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $78,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $78,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $78,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $78,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $78,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-25$78,000 Active
-
2019-03-27$110,000
-
2018-07-06$89,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$468
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,411
- − Management
- −$1,411
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $7,319
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,756
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,410/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Acadia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,012
- Composite
- 31.65/100
- National rank
- #5929
- State rank
- #28 of 98 in LA
Livability — Rayne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #3895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 16,279
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,279
Population outlook (Acadia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,846 people
- By 2030
- 64,141 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 63,922 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 62,263 · -2.5%
- By 2075
- 56,507 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 46,316 · -27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Acadia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.0) · D 17.6% · R 81.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -45.7pp · 2024: -64.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.0 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+49.8 2008: R+45.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.19%
- Current HPI
- 118.9619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-12.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $78,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-03-27 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2018-07-06 Listed $89,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $468 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…