102 West Fifth St · Oil City, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.6/15.0
$90,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained Oil City South Side 3-bedroom home is now available for purchase. Located close to 7th Street Elementary School, and a short walking distance to Mitchell Park for family activities! This home features a main floor laundry, main floor quarter bath off kitchen, has mostly all original hardwood flooring throughout. The updated kitchen has easy care laminate flooring installed & built-in dishwasher, that makes clean up a breeze. The colonial style dining room features beautiful hardwood paneling wainscoting on its walls, & a coffered beamed ceiling for those special holidays or big family meals; you'll enjoy the warmth of this home and more! This Home is being sold" as is" without warranty or repair. Owner must find suitable housing prior to possession. Pre-qualified Buyers Only! Call Us Today to Start Your Home Buying Process!
Key facts
- 2,613 sq ft lot
- Built 1880
- Listed 64 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $91k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $91k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#704 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($628 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.78%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,406
- List price
- $90,900
- Delta
- 13.05%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 Moran | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,748 (+0%) | 11mo | $85,500 | $49 | 82 |
| 104 W 6th St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,612 (-8%) | 4mo | $73,000 | $45 | 81 |
| 33 West 5th St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,648 (-6%) | 7mo | $45,000 | $27 | 80 |
| 14 East Fifth St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,726 (-1%) | 13mo | $18,000 | $10 | 76 |
| 102 Hiland Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,881 (+8%) | 4mo | $59,000 | $31 | 70 |
| 609 E 4th St | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,720 (-1%) | 3mo | $10,000 | $6 | 65 |
| 405 W Third St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,948 (+12%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $80 | 65 |
| 318 W 3rd St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,948 (+12%) | 7mo | $29,400 | $15 | 56 |
| 1201 Riverside Dr | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,661 (-5%) | 8mo | $36,000 | $22 | 48 |
| 108 Mitchell Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,600 (-8%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $31 | 45 |
| 1110 W 3rd St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,994 (+14%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $85 | 41 |
| 1108 W Second St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,968 (+13%) | 12mo | $44,000 | $22 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $20,304
- Equity at exit
- $36,721
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $58,862
- Equity at exit
- $53,554
Cash invested: $25,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16301
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,115 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$477
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,905/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,725
- Closing costs
- $2,727
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Central Ave Unit 1 Oil City, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 815 W 1st St Oil City, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1674 | $1,300 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 306 Plummer St Oil City, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1950 W 1st St Oil City, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $995 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $90,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-14$95,900 Active 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
This well-maintained Oil City South Side 3-bedroom home is now available for purchase. Located close to 7th Street Elementary School, and a short walking distance to Mitchell Park for family activities! This home features a main floor laundry, main floor quarter bath off kitchen, has mostly all original hardwood flooring throughout. The updated kitchen has easy care laminate flooring installed & built-in dishwasher, that makes clean up a breeze. The colonial style dining room features beautiful hardwood paneling wainscoting on its walls, & a coffered beamed ceiling for those special holidays or big family meals; you'll enjoy the warmth of this home and more! This Home is being sold" as is" without warranty or repair. Owner must find suitable housing prior to possession. Pre-qualified Buyers Only! Call Us Today to Start Your Home Buying Process!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,905 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,905 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,092
- − Property taxes
- −$1,905
- − Insurance
- −$454
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,070
- − Management
- −$1,070
- − Depreciation
- −$2,644
- Taxable income
- $1,142
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oil City Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218090
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,451
- Composite
- 27.39/100
- National rank
- #6973
- State rank
- #436 of 539 in PA
Livability — Oil City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #6931
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oil City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,067
Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,827 people
- By 2030
- 46,061 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 39,989 · -18.1%
- By 2050
- 34,094 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 22,500 · -53.9%
- By 2100
- 13,659 · -72.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Venango
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.18%
- Current HPI
- 218.0124
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $95,900 AVBREALTORS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,905 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…