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3 Lowber St
B+ Composite 75.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,777

3 Lowber St · Frederica, DE 19946
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,411 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1969 0.35 ac lot $134/sqft · 30% below area Est $271k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Handyman Special! Instant Equity to be Earned! Great opportunity for investors or handy buyers looking to build equity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch home in Frederica offers solid potential with a functional layout and plenty of space inside and out. The main level features a spacious living room, dining room, kitchen, family room, three bedrooms, and a full bathroom. A full unfinished basement provides endless possibilities for storage, workshop space, or future finishing potential. Outside, you’ll find a detached garage and a large, spacious yard perfect for entertaining, expansion, or outdoor enjoyment. With some TLC, this property could truly shine. Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Large spacious yard
  • Detached garage
  • 0.35 acre lot

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTLARGE SPACIOUS YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt driveway; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached structure; Shingle roof; Fee simple ownership; Year built estimated
  • Construction: Stick built construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the lot; Other structures above grade and below grade; Pets allowed with no restrictions

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units; Electric cooling fuel; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $995 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 7.0% in Frederica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#34 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lake Forest School District (rural): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #13 of 26 in DE (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Forest High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #16 of 40 statewide, top 38%, 870 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,930 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.59%
Cash-on-cash
22.47%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$270,629
List price
$189,777
Delta
-26.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 4th St 0.36mi 4/2.0 1,360 (-4%) 2mo $255,000 $188 72
5 Hillside Ave 0.37mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,440 (+2%) 8mo $290,000 $201 66
104 Coleman Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,274 (-10%) 8mo $287,500 $226 63
74 Frog Leg Ln 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (-4%) 11mo $164,000 $121 62
7 4th St 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,393 (-1%) 22mo $265,000 $190 58
1 Jackson St 0.24mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,536 (+9%) 6mo $324,900 $212 58
116 Jackson St 0.33mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,346 (-5%) 22mo $225,000 $167 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$32,567
Equity at exit
$28,296
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$109,722
Equity at exit
$16,408

Cash invested: $53,138 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19946

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,709 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$995
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $846/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$569
Net cashflow
$995

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,449
Max offer price $189,777
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,103 -5% $1,049 +0% $995 +5% $941 +10% $888
Rent -10% $781 -5% $888 +0% $995 +5% $1,102 +10% $1,209
Rate -1.0pp $1,091 -0.5pp $1,043 base $995 +0.5pp $946 +1.0pp $896

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,444
Closing costs
$5,693
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
39 Riptide Ct Frederica, DE 3.0 2.5 1855 $2,100 $1.13 45d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,777 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,777 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,777 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,777 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,777 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    price $189,777 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 2 DOM
  19. 2026-05-08
    listed $199,900 Active 693-char remark
  20. 2026-05-06
    historical $199,900 693-char remark
  21. 2026-04-23
    soldstatus $226,500
  22. 2026-04-01
    historical
  23. 2026-04-01
    historical
  24. 2026-04-01
    listed $170,000
  25. 2021-01-28
    soldstatus $151,500
  26. 2021-01-27
    soldstatus $151,500 Closed
  27. 2021-01-05
    status Pending
  28. 2020-12-19
    listed $165,000 Active
  29. 2017-06-12
    soldstatus $135,000
  30. 2017-06-09
    soldstatus $135,000
  31. 2017-06-09
    soldstatus $135,000 Sold
  32. 2017-06-09
    historical
  33. 2017-05-08
    status Under Contract
  34. 2017-05-06
    historical
  35. 2017-04-07
    price $145,000
  36. 2016-11-29
    price $146,000
  37. 2016-11-07
    status Active
  38. 2016-11-05
    historical
  39. 2016-09-28
    price $148,500
  40. 2016-05-23
    price $149,900
  41. 2016-05-16
    price $154,500
  42. 2016-02-01
    price $154,900
  43. 2016-01-11
    price $158,500
  44. 2015-11-06
    listed $159,900 Active
  45. 2015-11-06
    listed $145,000
  46. 2015-11-06
    listed $145,000
  47. 2006-10-19
    soldstatus $149,950
  48. 2006-10-09
    soldstatus $149,950
  49. 2006-09-01
    historical
  50. 2006-08-23
    listed $149,950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$846 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$973 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$127/yr (+$11/mo · 15.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,505
− Mortgage interest
−$10,630
− Property taxes
−$846
− Insurance
−$949
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,600
− Management
−$2,600
− Depreciation
−$5,521
Taxable income
$9,358
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,246
After-tax cash flow
$9,696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Forest School District
NCES district ID
1000790
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$52,034
Composite
30.47/100
National rank
#6225
State rank
#13 of 26 in DE

Livability — Frederica

Score
68/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#9737

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Frederica, DE
County
Kent County · 82,184 people
City population
5,603
Metro
Dover, DE
Population (ZIP)
5,603
Household income
$80,459
Rent vs Own
12.2% rent · 87.8% own
Severe rent burden
128.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,477 people
By 2030
204,351 · +5.1%
By 2040
222,135 · +14.2%
By 2050
236,483 · +21.6%
By 2075
266,327 · +36.9%
By 2100
275,335 · +41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.16%
Current HPI
189.0713
Rent YoY
Metro
Dover, DE
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+848.9% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $189,777 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $226,500 Public Records
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $151,500 Public Records
  • 2021-01-27 Sold (MLS) $151,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-19 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-09 Sold (MLS) $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-09 Sold (MLS) $135,000 TREND
  • 2017-05-08 Pending TREND
  • 2017-05-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-07 Price Changed $145,000 TREND
  • 2016-11-29 Price Changed $146,000 TREND
  • 2016-11-07 Relisted TREND
  • 2016-11-05 Delisted TREND
  • 2016-09-28 Price Changed $148,500 TREND
  • 2016-05-23 Price Changed $149,900 TREND
  • 2016-05-16 Price Changed $154,500 TREND
  • 2016-02-01 Price Changed $154,900 TREND
  • 2016-01-11 Price Changed $158,500 TREND
  • 2015-11-06 Listed $159,900 TREND
  • 2015-11-06 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-11-06 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $149,950 Public Records
  • 2006-10-09 Sold (MLS) $149,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-09-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-08-23 Listed $149,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $846 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…