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333 Niagara Falls Blvd Duplex
D- Composite 35.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

333 Niagara Falls Blvd · Eggertsville, NY 14226
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,894 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1947 8,246 sqft lot Est $241k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Beautifully updated duplex offering a fantastic opportunity for an owner-occupant, investor, or multi-generational living arrangement. Live in one unit and enjoy built-in rental income, keep extended family close by, or add a turnkey property to your investment portfolio. Please note: The lawn in this image has been digitally enhanced to illustrate its potential appearance with routine care, maintenance, and healthy growth.

Key facts

  • 8,246 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property configured as a 2-unit multi-family with two total units
  • Financial info: Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: other/see remarks; Rent includes: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking; Two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story building; Existing (previously built) construction
  • Construction: Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Below-grade finished area present

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven/range; Refrigerator; Microwave; Other appliances/fixtures as noted in remarks
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Luxury vinyl flooring; Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-47/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $273k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Eggertsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#34 in NY, #534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-.
  • Amherst Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #209 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Windermere Blvd School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 748 students, 49% FRL); Amherst Middle School (math 36% / reading 69%, grade C+, #235 of 729 statewide, top 33%, 623 students, 34% FRL); Amherst Central High School (math 100% / reading 82%, grade A+, #226 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 870 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 22% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $113k; list at $300k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $272,700 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.34%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,538
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
60 Hawthorne Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,928 (+2%) 7mo $230,000 $119 73
141 Hawthorne Ave 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,760 (-7%) 18mo $220,000 $125 67
190 Lyndale Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 2,016 (+6%) 18mo $263,000 $130 64
3906 Bailey Ave 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,695 (-10%) 2mo $215,000 $127 59
240 Callodine Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,652 (-13%) 3mo $285,000 $173 56
41 Wendel Ave 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,760 (-7%) 15mo $265,000 $151 55
2 Kettering Dr 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,704 (-10%) 20mo $225,000 $132 54
66 Montrose Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,860 (-2%) 20mo $193,750 $104 54
108 Fairfield Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 2,136 (+13%) 10mo $250,000 $117 38
168 Fairfield Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,786 (-6%) 20mo $225,000 $126 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-40,010
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$23,666
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14226

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
18.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,727 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$550 /mo · $6,606/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$573
Net cashflow
$-94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,846
Max offer price $283,331
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $76 -5% $-9 +0% $-94 +5% $-179 +10% $-264
Rent -10% $-309 -5% $-202 +0% $-94 +5% $14 +10% $122
Rate -1.0pp $57 -0.5pp $-18 base $-94 +0.5pp $-172 +1.0pp $-251

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,727

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
348 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1424 $2,200 $1.54 3d 1 0.22mi
80 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.5 2591 $2,800 $1.08 3d 1 0.32mi
524 University Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1840 $1,600 $0.87 3d 1 0.36mi
91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1660 $2,350 $1.42 25d 1 0.39mi
4098 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.5 2108 $2,200 $1.04 45d 1 0.52mi
63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2240 $2,000 $0.89 3d 1 0.53mi
91 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2500 $2,000 $0.80 3d 1 0.61mi
196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 2560 $2,000 $0.78 3d 1 0.61mi
102 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2426 $2,750 $1.13 3d 1 0.63mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 3d 1 0.65mi
151 Lamson Rd Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1382 $2,350 $1.70 19d 1 0.91mi
65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 1467 $2,500 $1.70 16d 1 0.92mi
24 Custer St Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 16d 1 0.94mi
85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2193 $3,750 $1.71 16d 1 0.99mi
59 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2521 $1,250 $0.50 25d 1 1.05mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 4d 1 1.05mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 25d 1 1.06mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 45d 1 1.06mi
175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 16d 1 1.07mi
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 16d 1 1.17mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,997 $2.93 3d 10 1.24mi
414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,700 $1.38 16d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 427-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $299,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,606 · $550/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,606 · $550/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,724
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$6,606
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,618
− Management
−$2,618
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$6,140
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,474
After-tax cash flow
$348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amherst Central School District
NCES district ID
3602920
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$68,551
Composite
53.21/100
National rank
#1502
State rank
#209 of 590 in NY

Livability — Eggertsville

Score
85/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#534

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime C- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eggertsville, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
29,482
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
29,159
Household income
$84,325
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
856.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, India
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -270.71%
Current HPI
331.1929
Rent YoY
▲ 9.01%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+347.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $299,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,606 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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