Duplex
333 Niagara Falls Blvd · Eggertsville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated duplex offering a fantastic opportunity for an owner-occupant, investor, or multi-generational living arrangement. Live in one unit and enjoy built-in rental income, keep extended family close by, or add a turnkey property to your investment portfolio. Please note: The lawn in this image has been digitally enhanced to illustrate its potential appearance with routine care, maintenance, and healthy growth.
Key facts
- 8,246 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1947
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property configured as a 2-unit multi-family with two total units
- Financial info: Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: other/see remarks; Rent includes: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking; Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story building; Existing (previously built) construction
- Construction: Construction details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Below-grade finished area present
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven/range; Refrigerator; Microwave; Other appliances/fixtures as noted in remarks
- Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Luxury vinyl flooring; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-47/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (5.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (9.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Eggertsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#34 in NY, #534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-.
- Amherst Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #209 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Windermere Blvd School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 748 students, 49% FRL); Amherst Middle School (math 36% / reading 69%, grade C+, #235 of 729 statewide, top 33%, 623 students, 34% FRL); Amherst Central High School (math 100% / reading 82%, grade A+, #226 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 870 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 22% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $113k; list at $300k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.34%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,538
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Hawthorne Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,928 (+2%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $119 | 73 |
| 141 Hawthorne Ave | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,760 (-7%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $125 | 67 |
| 190 Lyndale Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 2,016 (+6%) | 18mo | $263,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 3906 Bailey Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,695 (-10%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $127 | 59 |
| 240 Callodine Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,652 (-13%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 41 Wendel Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,760 (-7%) | 15mo | $265,000 | $151 | 55 |
| 2 Kettering Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,704 (-10%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $132 | 54 |
| 66 Montrose Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,860 (-2%) | 20mo | $193,750 | $104 | 54 |
| 108 Fairfield Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,136 (+13%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $117 | 38 |
| 168 Fairfield Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,786 (-6%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $126 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-40,010
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $23,666
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14226
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 18.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,727 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$550 /mo · $6,606/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $-94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $76 | -5% $-9 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-179 | +10% $-264 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-309 | -5% $-202 | +0% $-94 | +5% $14 | +10% $122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $57 | -0.5pp $-18 | base $-94 | +0.5pp $-172 | +1.0pp $-251 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,726 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,363 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,363 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,727 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1424 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 80 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2591 | $2,800 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 524 University Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4098 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2108 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2240 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 91 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2500 | $2,000 | $0.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2560 | $2,000 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 102 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2426 | $2,750 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 151 Lamson Rd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 19d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 24 Custer St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 59 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2521 | $1,250 | $0.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 3d | 10 | 1.24mi |
| 414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 427-char remark
-
2026-06-17$299,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,606 · $550/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,606 · $550/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$6,606
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,618
- − Management
- −$2,618
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$6,140
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,474
- After-tax cash flow
- $348/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amherst Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602920
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,551
- Composite
- 53.21/100
- National rank
- #1502
- State rank
- #209 of 590 in NY
Livability — Eggertsville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eggertsville, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 29,482
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,159
- Household income
- $84,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 856.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -270.71%
- Current HPI
- 331.1929
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.01%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+347.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $299,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,606 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…