8626 Yawberg Rd · Neapolis, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful and quiet country setting. Wheelchair ramp leading up to a huge screened in porch. Open layout with vaulted ceilings, a breakfast bar, and a built-in dry bar. Enjoy privacy with a separate primary suite. Newer refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave, and HVAC. Roof is 5 years old. Anthony Wayne Schools! Large garage for parking, storage, or a workshop, plus another shed. The landlord maintains the septic. Lot lease $390 per month.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2000
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is level and wooded; Lot accessed via county and private roads with asphalt and gravel surfaces; Lot size about 0.5 acre
- HOA & community: Association with a monthly fee of $390 (fee includes other services)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Garage door opener; Additional off-street parking; Gravel parking areas; Total parking for 4 vehicles; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
- Security: Security lights
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected (220 volts available); Cable available
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Raised foundation; Accessible approach with ramp
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Raised foundation; Asphalt roof; Mobile home make/model: Skyline
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Ramped accessible approach; Storage; Enclosed deck; Screened porch; Side porch; Asphalt roof; Garage(s) and shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary and additional bedrooms on the main level; Bedroom 2 on the main level; Bedroom 3 on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); ENERGY STAR qualified equipment; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Dry bar; Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Open floorplan; Ceiling fans; Vaulted ceilings; Built-in features; Primary bathroom; Bay window(s); French doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet on main level; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $956 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#644 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Anthony Wayne Local (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #49 of 656 in OH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.10%
- DSCR
- 3.81
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $50,576
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 66.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.79×
- Total profit
- $123,356
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43571
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,191 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $216/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$390
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $956
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $390 · $4,680/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical $64,900 443-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $216 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $614 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$398/yr (+$33/mo · 184.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$216
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,103
- − Management
- −$2,103
- − HOA
- −$4,680
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $11,342
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,722
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anthony Wayne Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904820
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,345
- Composite
- 69.43/100
- National rank
- #311
- State rank
- #49 of 656 in OH
Livability — Neapolis
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #644
- US rank
- #11433
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lucas · 437,818 people
- City population
- 616
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,166
- Household income
- $99,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.1
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.79%
- Current HPI
- 256.9157
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $64,900 NORIS
- 2026-05-15 Coming Soon — NORIS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $216 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…