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8626 Yawberg Rd
B Composite 72.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

8626 Yawberg Rd · Neapolis, OH 43571
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 11 Days on market
Built 2000 0.50 ac lot $390/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful and quiet country setting. Wheelchair ramp leading up to a huge screened in porch. Open layout with vaulted ceilings, a breakfast bar, and a built-in dry bar. Enjoy privacy with a separate primary suite. Newer refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave, and HVAC. Roof is 5 years old. Anthony Wayne Schools! Large garage for parking, storage, or a workshop, plus another shed. The landlord maintains the septic. Lot lease $390 per month.

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2000

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is level and wooded; Lot accessed via county and private roads with asphalt and gravel surfaces; Lot size about 0.5 acre
  • HOA & community: Association with a monthly fee of $390 (fee includes other services)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Garage door opener; Additional off-street parking; Gravel parking areas; Total parking for 4 vehicles; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
  • Security: Security lights
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected (220 volts available); Cable available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Raised foundation; Accessible approach with ramp
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Raised foundation; Asphalt roof; Mobile home make/model: Skyline
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Ramped accessible approach; Storage; Enclosed deck; Screened porch; Side porch; Asphalt roof; Garage(s) and shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary and additional bedrooms on the main level; Bedroom 2 on the main level; Bedroom 3 on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); ENERGY STAR qualified equipment; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Dry bar; Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Open floorplan; Ceiling fans; Vaulted ceilings; Built-in features; Primary bathroom; Bay window(s); French doors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet on main level; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $956 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#644 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Anthony Wayne Local (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #49 of 656 in OH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.38%
Cap rate
23.96%
Cash-on-cash
63.10%
DSCR
3.81
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.2%
Equity multiple
3.78×
Total profit
$50,576
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
66.8%
Equity multiple
7.79×
Total profit
$123,356
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43571

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $216/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$390
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$956

Break-even live

Break-even rent $981
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$390 · $4,680/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-05-15
    historical $64,900 443-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$216 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$614 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$398/yr (+$33/mo · 184.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,292
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$216
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,103
− Management
−$2,103
− HOA
−$4,680
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$11,342
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,722
After-tax cash flow
$8,744/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anthony Wayne Local
NCES district ID
3904820
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
81% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$77,345
Composite
69.43/100
National rank
#311
State rank
#49 of 656 in OH

Livability — Neapolis

Score
66/100
State rank
#644
US rank
#11433

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lucas · 437,818 people
City population
616
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
7,166
Household income
$99,435
Rent vs Own
17.3% rent · 82.7% own
Severe rent burden
6.1

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.79%
Current HPI
256.9157
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $64,900 NORIS
  • 2026-05-15 Coming Soon NORIS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $216 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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