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379 A P Carter Hwy
C Composite 57.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

379 A P Carter Hwy · Hiltons, VA 24258
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 957 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1943 0.63 ac lot $124/sqft · 18% below area Est $145k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Mini-split system
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

MINI-SPLIT SYSTEMREMODELED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMMETAL ROOFVINYL SIDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Metal roof; House
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Outbuilding; Rolling slope lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Other cooling and heating
  • Interior features: Electric range; Carpet and vinyl flooring; Six total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($639/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Hilton Elementary (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A+, #71 of 1,108 statewide, top 8%, 130 students, 81% FRL); Gate City Middle (math 74% / reading 71%, grade A, #61 of 342 statewide, top 18%, 333 students, 78% FRL); Gate City High (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A-, #63 of 319 statewide, top 22%, 619 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 48% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $119k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,538 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.92%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,111
List price
$119,000
Delta
-17.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$6,683
Equity at exit
$41,816
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$33,702
Equity at exit
$56,502

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24258

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$965 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $429/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $898
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $121 -5% $87 +0% $53 +5% $20 +10% $-14
Rent -10% $-23 -5% $15 +0% $53 +5% $91 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $113 -0.5pp $84 base $53 +0.5pp $22 +1.0pp $-9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    price $119,000 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $128,000 Active 33 DOM
  19. 2026-05-05
    price $128,000 883-char remark
  20. 2026-04-28
    listed $138,000 Active 883-char remark
  21. 2024-09-11
    price $40,000 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.

  22. 2024-09-11
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.

  23. 2024-09-03
    status Pending 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.

  24. 2024-07-28
    listed $60,000 Active 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.

  25. 2000-03-20
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$429 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$976 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$547/yr (+$46/mo · 127.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥99°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,585
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$429
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$1,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$341
After-tax cash flow
$980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103480
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$36,567
Composite
57.65/100
National rank
#1061
State rank
#33 of 131 in VA

Livability — Hiltons

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Hiltons, VA
Population (ZIP)
1,237

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,405 people
By 2030
19,379 · -5.0%
By 2040
17,325 · -15.1%
By 2050
15,464 · -24.2%
By 2075
11,845 · -42.0%
By 2100
8,516 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Italian 14% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.19%
Current HPI
203.8636
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+495.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Price Changed $119,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $128,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $138,000 TVRMLS
  • 2024-09-11 Price Changed $40,000 TVRMLS
  • 2024-09-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 TVRMLS
  • 2024-09-03 Pending TVRMLS
  • 2024-07-28 Listed $60,000 TVRMLS
  • 2000-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $429 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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