379 A P Carter Hwy · Hiltons, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Mini-split system
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Metal roof; House
- Exterior features: Front porch; Outbuilding; Rolling slope lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Other cooling and heating
- Interior features: Electric range; Carpet and vinyl flooring; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($639/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Hilton Elementary (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A+, #71 of 1,108 statewide, top 8%, 130 students, 81% FRL); Gate City Middle (math 74% / reading 71%, grade A, #61 of 342 statewide, top 18%, 333 students, 78% FRL); Gate City High (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A-, #63 of 319 statewide, top 22%, 619 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 48% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $119k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.92%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,111
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -17.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $6,683
- Equity at exit
- $41,816
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $33,702
- Equity at exit
- $56,502
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24258
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $965 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $429/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $87 | +0% $53 | +5% $20 | +10% $-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-23 | -5% $15 | +0% $53 | +5% $91 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $113 | -0.5pp $84 | base $53 | +0.5pp $22 | +1.0pp $-9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $119,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $128,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $128,000 883-char remark
-
2026-04-28$138,000 Active 883-char remark
-
2024-09-11price $40,000 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.
-
2024-09-11soldstatus $30,000 Closed 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.
-
2024-09-03status Pending 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.
-
2024-07-28$60,000 Active 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Attention investors. Great opportunity to own a great investment property in the country. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home features a metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has some floor framing damage in the dining room and the kitchen needs updated. The 1 bathroom has been updated and just needs some minor repairs to make it a great rental or Airbnb. Home is being sold ''AS IS''. Bring us your best offer.
-
2000-03-20soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $429 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $976 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$547/yr (+$46/mo · 127.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥99°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$429
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$927
- − Management
- −$927
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$1,421
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$341
- After-tax cash flow
- $980/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103480
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,567
- Composite
- 57.65/100
- National rank
- #1061
- State rank
- #33 of 131 in VA
Livability — Hiltons
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hiltons, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,237
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,405 people
- By 2030
- 19,379 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 17,325 · -15.1%
- By 2050
- 15,464 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 11,845 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 8,516 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 14% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.19%
- Current HPI
- 203.8636
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+495.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Price Changed $119,000 TVRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $128,000 TVRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $138,000 TVRMLS
- 2024-09-11 Price Changed $40,000 TVRMLS
- 2024-09-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 TVRMLS
- 2024-09-03 Pending — TVRMLS
- 2024-07-28 Listed $60,000 TVRMLS
- 2000-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $429 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…