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603 Falcon Dr
C- Composite 53.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

603 Falcon Dr · Dothan, AL 36301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,423 sqft · SingleFamily · 21 Days on market
Built 1970 Fair condition 0.28 ac lot $81/sqft · 10% below area Est $128k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come take a look at this quaint full brick home conveniently located just blocks away from Southeast Health and ACOM. . Spacious yard fully fenced in the back with a great covered patio to enjoy your morning coffee!! Breakfast bar in the kitchen overlooking into the spacious dining room. This home is just waiting for you and your perfect touch. . The ROOF and HVAC have recently been updated .

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Covered patio
  • Updated roof

Tags

FULL BRICK HOMESPACIOUS YARDCOVERED PATIOBREAKFAST BARUPDATED ROOFUPDATED HVAC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storage structure; Waterfront property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Aluminum frame windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
  • Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.76%
Cash-on-cash
5.25%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,518
List price
$115,000
Delta
-9.82%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1003 Torino Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-0%) 8mo $127,000 $89 85
610 Pinto Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,381 (-3%) 2mo $143,000 $104 75
903 Dixie Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,418 (-0%) 4mo $195,000 $138 69
1603 Squire Ct 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,566 (+10%) 3mo $170,000 $109 68
305 Cyclone Cir 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-1%) 2mo $154,500 $110 68
209 Pearl St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,432 (+1%) 0mo $500,000 $349 65
509 Lagrand Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,215 (-15%) 10mo $110,000 $91 57
138 Radford Cir 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,621 (+14%) 3mo $179,000 $110 49
166 Radford Cir 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,240 (-13%) 4mo $145,000 $117 49
332 Darlington Cir 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,227 (-14%) 1mo $170,000 $139 47
142 Tree Crest Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,261 (-11%) 1mo $179,000 $142 44
1204 Judson St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-14%) 5mo $132,000 $109 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-9,645
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,226
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36301

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
410
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,184 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $220 -5% $181 +0% $141 +5% $101 +10% $61
Rent -10% $47 -5% $94 +0% $141 +5% $188 +10% $234
Rate -1.0pp $199 -0.5pp $170 base $141 +0.5pp $111 +1.0pp $81

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
306 Mustang Dr Dothan, AL 3.0 1.0 1301 $1,050 $0.81 44d 1 0.21mi
1581 E Selma St Aurora, AL 3.0 1.5 1426 $1,149 $0.81 44d 1 0.23mi
1009 Jonathan St Dothan, AL 3.0 1.5 1318 $1,300 $0.99 44d 1 0.32mi
1301 Alexander Dr Dothan, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 833 $795 $0.95 44d 1 0.33mi
1000 Fairlane Dr Dothan, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 44d 1 0.42mi
131 Hedstrom Dr Greenwood, AL 3.0 2.0 1526 $1,400 $0.92 44d 1 0.43mi
151 Radford Cir Dothan, AL 2.0 1.5 1171 $1,400 $1.20 44d 1 0.51mi
806 S Ussery St Dothan, AL 3.0 1.0 934 $895 $0.96 44d 1 1.17mi
105 St Lawrence Dr Dothan, AL 2.0 2.0 1580 $1,500 $0.95 44d 1 1.24mi
2211 Shannondoah Dr Dothan, AL 3.0 2.0 1409 $1,450 $1.03 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-05-14
    listed $115,000 Active 396-char remark
  7. 2026-05-13
    listed $115,000 Active 370-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,212
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,137
− Management
−$1,137
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$149
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$36
After-tax cash flow
$1,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and bathrooms. Upgrading these areas will significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate kitchen flooring — dated and in need of replacement
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of updating
  • Minor exterior paint — some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers
  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint will make the home more appealing
  • Resale replace carpeted floors — new flooring will make the home more appealing
  • Both trim and maintain landscaping — a well-maintained yard will increase curb appeal and attract more renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen countertops · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen flooring · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of updating Minor $500–3,000
exterior paint · some discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $10,000–51,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers
  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint will make the home more appealing
  • Resale replace carpeted floors — new flooring will make the home more appealing
  • Both trim and maintain landscaping — a well-maintained yard will increase curb appeal and attract more renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dothan City
NCES district ID
0101230
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,279
Composite
24.56/100
National rank
#7640
State rank
#73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

Score
64/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dothan, AL
City population
47,783
Population (ZIP)
38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.46%
Current HPI
161.1212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $115,000 SAMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $115,000 WBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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