716 N Grand Ave Unit J1 · Covina, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.5
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller Cozy Mobile Home featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in a friendly, well-maintained community! The second bedroom offers a private side entrance, ideal for added flexibility. Enjoy an open living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen. The kitchen is beautifully appointed with ample cabinetry and a designated dining area. Laminated flooring runs throughout the home for a modern, low-maintenance finish. Conveniently located with easy access to transportation and close to great schools. Community amenities include a swimming pool, laundry facilities, and a clubhouse perfect for gatherings with family and friends. Pets are welcome, subject to park restrictions. Buyer and buyer’s agent to perform their own due diligence regarding the mobile home square footage and park requirements.
Key facts
- Open living room
- Laminated flooring
- Community amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $933 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 2.4% in Covina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#181 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Charter Oak Unified (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #387 of 1,400 in CA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cedargrove Elementary (563 students, 67% FRL); Royal Oak Middle (622 students, 66% FRL); Charter Oak High (math 46% / reading 57%, grade D+, #312 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,329 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 43% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $65k implies a 665% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.50%
- DSCR
- 3.74
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,600
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -18.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 N Grand Unit G8 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 420 (-3%) | 23mo | $43,000 | $102 | 72 |
| 19548 Cypress St #33 | 0.17mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 396 (-8%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $202 | 69 |
| 19548-26 E Cypress #26 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 390 (-10%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $205 | 68 |
| 19548 E Cypress St #40 | 0.17mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 480 (+11%) | 22mo | $80,000 | $167 | 50 |
| 375 E San Bernardino Rd Unit A12 | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 432 (0%) | 21mo | $84,999 | $197 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $48,900
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 65.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.55×
- Total profit
- $119,184
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $63,400 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 268 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +35.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 91724
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,749 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $933
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $978 | -5% $955 | +0% $933 | +5% $910 | +10% $888 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $795 | -5% $864 | +0% $933 | +5% $1,002 | +10% $1,071 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $965 | -0.5pp $949 | base $933 | +0.5pp $916 | +1.0pp $899 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $65,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $65,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $65,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $65,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $65,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $65,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $65,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $65,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $65,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $65,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $65,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $65,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $65,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $65,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $65,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $65,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $65,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $65,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $65,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $65,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $65,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $65,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $65,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $65,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $65,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $65,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $65,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $65,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $65,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $65,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $65,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $65,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $65,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $65,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $65,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $65,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $65,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $65,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $65,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,679
- − Management
- −$1,679
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $10,801
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,592
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
The property is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics, increasing its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Chipping paint on exterior
- Minor Siding — Weathered appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale Replace dated bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathroom and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charter Oak Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0608190
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,756
- Composite
- 46.95/100
- National rank
- #5160
- State rank
- #387 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Covina
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #5811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covina, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 10,940,515 people
- City population
- 81,184
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,352
- Household income
- $103,163
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 22% Two or more races 19% Asian 14% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 33% Chinese 5% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -732.51%
- Current HPI
- 370.5956
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+218.2% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $70,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2025-03-03 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-02-24 Listed $80,000 CRMLS
- 2024-12-11 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-11-13 Price Changed $55,000 CRMLS
- 2024-11-02 Price Changed $65,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-19 Price Changed $70,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-07 Price Changed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2024-08-28 Price Changed $70,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-30 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-09 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-12-06 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-12-06 Price Changed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2023-11-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-09-28 Price Changed $80,000 CRMLS
- 2023-09-15 Price Changed $85,000 CRMLS
- 2023-07-21 Price Changed $90,000 CRMLS
- 2023-06-19 Listed $100,000 CRMLS
- 2020-05-19 Sold (MLS) $8,500 CRMLS
- 2020-05-05 Pending — CRMLS
- 2020-04-08 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2020-02-06 Price Changed $14,900 CRMLS
- 2019-12-12 Listed $16,000 CRMLS
- 2015-04-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-04-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-02-25 Listed $7,500 CRMLS
- 2015-02-20 Listed $22,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…