6315 S Ash Ln · Seminole Manor, FL 33462

$24,500

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market

Built 1980 8,276 sqft lot $1300/mo HOA · 59% of rent ↓ 55% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Just Listed !!! Hurry this won't last ! Sold partially furnished or unfurnished , this 2 bedroom 1 bath home has an open floor , large kitchen and living room , carport , open bricked patio, storage unit, wood focus wall in the living room and kitchen backsplash, drywall walls, AC compressor replaced 2020, roof has 3 coats of sealant material, laminate and tile flooring, located on a very nice street close to the pool and clubhouse.

Key facts

• Living room
• Carport
• Large kitchen

Tags

• LARGE KITCHEN
• LIVING ROOM
• CARPORT
• OPEN BRICKED PATIO
• STORAGE UNIT
• KITCHEN BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Pets allowed (number and size limits; yes)
• HOA & community: Homeowners association (fee applies); HOA fee covers common areas, laundry, grounds maintenance, pools, recreation facilities, sewer, security, taxes, trash and water; Community amenities include barbecue, billiard room, bocce court, clubhouse, fitness center, game room, gated entrance, kitchen facilities, laundry facilities, library, park, pool, shuffleboard and tennis courts; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: 1 parking space, 1 covered
• Utilities: Electricity connected (110V and 220V)
• Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
• Construction: Manufactured construction
• Exterior features: Community pool

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Tub/shower

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $24k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $24k).
• Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#711 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $23,030 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 9.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 48.87%
• DSCR: 3.17
• GRM: 0.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 52.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.49×
• Total profit: $17,111
• Equity at exit: $3,653

10-year hold

• IRR: 59.8%
• Equity multiple: 8.51×
• Total profit: $51,490
• Equity at exit: $2,118

Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33462

• Rents YoY: 4.1%
• Active inventory: 383
• Price-to-rent: 0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,214 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$128
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$31 /mo · $368/yr
• Insurance: −$10
• HOA: −$1,300
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$465
• Net cashflow: $279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,860

Max offer price $24,500

Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,125
• Closing costs: $735
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 21 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
580 Tallulah Rd Lake Worth, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$2,500	$3.33	22d	1	0.30mi
6511 Seminole Dr Unit 2 Atlantis, FL	2.0	1.0	845	$2,150	$2.54	5d	1	0.36mi
4350 Peregrine Way Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1025	$2,704	$2.64	2d	18	0.69mi
7132 Colony Club Dr Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1087	$2,510	$2.31	2d	14	0.98mi
6289 Lear Dr Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	792	$1,975	$2.49	15d	2	1.10mi
6289 Lear Dr #203 Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.0	1044	$2,200	$2.11	24d	1	1.10mi
4725 Via Bari Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1150	$2,290	$1.99	3d	10	1.16mi
712 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$2,400	$2.61	24d	1	1.18mi
6175 Reflections Blvd Lake Worth, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	814	$2,307	$2.83	2d	15	1.20mi
5056 Lantana Rd #4302 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	979	$2,295	$2.34	8d	1	1.20mi
1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	900	$1,850	$2.06	3d	1	1.22mi
1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	900	$1,895	$2.11	22d	1	1.22mi
316 Meadows Cir #316 Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$2,100	$2.28	2d	1	1.24mi
1120 Meadows Cir Unit 1120 Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	900	$1,980	$2.20	24d	1	1.24mi
1205 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	909	$1,900	$2.09	24d	1	1.24mi
1707 Meadows Cir W Unit W Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,650	$2.34	3d	1	1.24mi
1617 Meadows Cir W Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,700	$2.41	11d	1	1.24mi
5048 Lantana Rd #5112 Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.0	1115	$2,200	$1.97	8d	1	1.25mi
5064 Lantana Rd #6203 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	929	$2,100	$2.26	24d	1	1.26mi
1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,700	$2.41	17d	1	1.27mi
1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,700	$2.41	15d	1	1.27mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $1,300 · $15,600/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $24,500 Active 70 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $24,500 Active 69 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $24,500 Active 68 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $24,500 Active 67 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $24,500 Active 65 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $24,500 Active 61 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $24,500 Active 60 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $24,500 Active 59 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $24,500 Active 56 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $24,500 Active 55 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $24,500 Active 54 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $24,500 Active 53 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $24,500 Active 52 DOM
14. 2026-04-09
    listed $24,500 Active
15. 2026-01-16
    historical
16. 2025-10-16
    listed $42,500 Active
17. 2025-03-31
    historical
18. 2025-03-25
    price $42,500
19. 2025-01-26
    listed $49,000 Active
20. 2024-12-14
    historical
21. 2024-10-14
    price $53,000
22. 2024-07-13
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,563
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,372
• − Property taxes: −$368
• − Insurance: −$122
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,125
• − Management: −$2,125
• − HOA: −$15,600
• − Depreciation: −$713
• Taxable income: $4,137
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$993
• After-tax cash flow: $2,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Seminole Manor

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #711
• US rank: #15076

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,371
• Household income: $73,997
• Rent vs Own: 35.1% rent · 64.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1852.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: White 44% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 14% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 31% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 60% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -295.48%
• Current HPI: 361.5391
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.09%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-55.5% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Listed $24,500 MCRTC
• 2026-01-16 Listing Removed — MCRTC
• 2025-10-16 Listed $42,500 MCRTC
• 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — MCRTC
• 2025-03-25 Price Changed $42,500 MCRTC
• 2025-01-26 Listed $49,000 MCRTC
• 2024-12-14 Listing Removed — MCRTC
• 2024-10-14 Price Changed $53,000 MCRTC
• 2024-07-13 Listed $55,000 MCRTC